AU - Warren - Race 3

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

18.6K

VIEW

Verdict

FETES DES MERES (5) is the horse to beat after a strong Dubbo sequence, finishing second to Nimble Star two runs back and then fourth to Crook in Open grade, beaten just over a length. She now drops to BM82 company, draws barrier 1 and has already won at this track and distance. Hard to hold out. ZAMPANO (4) was below expectations when ninth at Scone after being near the top of betting, but his Tamworth third on soft ground and wet-track record give him clear scope to rebound. CASTLEBAR ROAD (1) brings the most seasoned form, having gone under by only a long neck in Open company at Dubbo, with Gabrielle Johnston's record aboard adding weight to his claims. GREAT POINT (6) was better than fifth first-up at Scone, making ground after a slow start and late traffic, and the return of Leeshelle Small is a genuine plus. KEADOOL (7) drops sharply in weight and ready for this trip and rise in grade.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	Presents as the horse to beat after another honest Dubbo run, finishing fourth to Crook in Open grade and beaten just over a length while near the top of betting. That followed a narrow second to Nimble Star over 7f, so her current form has real substance. Sets the standard from the low draw. 1st Pick 5 Fetes Des Meres Jockey: Clayton Gallagher Trainer: Garry Lunn J: Clayton Gallagher T: Garry Lunn	157	-	-	-	50%
Analysis Presents as the horse to beat after another honest Dubbo run, finishing fourth to Crook in Open grade and beaten just over a length while near the top of betting. That followed a narrow second to Nimble Star over 7f, so her current form has real substance. Sets the standard from the low draw.
4	Had been building well this campaign before a plain ninth at Scone, where he was near the top of betting but gave away a big start and was just fair through the line. His Tamworth third behind Somerton Smart on soft ground reads better, and he has two wins plus a placing from six wet-track starts. Ready for this trip and gets map favours. 2nd Pick 4 Zampano Jockey: Shannen Llewellyn Trainer: Melissa Dennett J: Shannen Llewellyn T: Melissa Dennett	152	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Had been building well this campaign before a plain ninth at Scone, where he was near the top of betting but gave away a big start and was just fair through the line. His Tamworth third behind Somerton Smart on soft ground reads better, and he has two wins plus a placing from six wet-track starts. Ready for this trip and gets map favours.
1	Went within a long neck of Crook in Open grade at Dubbo last start and had some excuse after being tightened near the 5f. His Tamworth run prior was plain, but he is race fit, drops into BM82 company and has five wins plus five placings from 21 starts around 6f. Class relief and Johnston's good record aboard keep him right in the place mix. 3rd Pick 1 Castlebar Road Jockey: Gabrielle Johnston Trainer: Jane Clement J: Gabrielle Johnston T: Jane Clement	160	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Went within a long neck of Crook in Open grade at Dubbo last start and had some excuse after being tightened near the 5f. His Tamworth run prior was plain, but he is race fit, drops into BM82 company and has five wins plus five placings from 21 starts around 6f. Class relief and Johnston's good record aboard keep him right in the place mix.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.