AU - Warren - Race 2

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

20.6K

VIEW

Verdict

OVERSHOOT (11) is the top pick after closing strongly into fifth at Coonabarabran, beaten two and a half lengths in a large maiden field when sent out at long odds. Her Queanbeyan fifth before that was also competitive, beaten a length and a half on soft ground, and she has a 3lbs claim for a stable ranked strongly at this track. ARGYLE SPRINGS (9) is the main danger after going under by a head at Forbes as a well-supported favourite, with the lost gear passing the ¾f adding merit to that near miss. ANDERS DIAMOND (7) still has to prove himself at around 6f, but he strips fitter second-up, gets a 3lbs claim and has Jacob Stiff, the top-ranked jockey for wins at this track, aboard. COMBY (10) has been safely held in two runs but caught the eye late on debut and is fitter third-up. Can improve enough to be a place-to-win fringe hope if the extra ground brings her on.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
11	Closed strongly at Coonabarabran last start for fifth in a 14-runner race, beaten two and a half lengths, and that was a better run than the finishing position suggests. She had also been competitive at Queanbeyan, beaten a length and a half on soft ground after working home evenly. Race fit, claims 3lbs and looks the one to beat. 1st Pick 11 Overshoot Jockey: Gabrielle Johnston Trainer: Jane Clement J: Gabrielle Johnston T: Jane Clement	98	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Closed strongly at Coonabarabran last start for fifth in a 14-runner race, beaten two and a half lengths, and that was a better run than the finishing position suggests. She had also been competitive at Queanbeyan, beaten a length and a half on soft ground after working home evenly. Race fit, claims 3lbs and looks the one to beat.
9	Went very close at Forbes last start, finishing second and beaten a head as a well-supported favourite, with the lost rein, whip or stirrup passing the ¾f adding context. Her Dubbo fourth two back was sound enough after being checked near the 5 ½f. Clear winning chance from the low draw. 2nd Pick 9 Argyle Springs Jockey: Jake Pracey-Holmes Trainer: Alison Smith J: Jake Pracey-Holmes T: Alison Smith	113	-	-	-	12%
Analysis Went very close at Forbes last start, finishing second and beaten a head as a well-supported favourite, with the lost rein, whip or stirrup passing the ¾f adding context. Her Dubbo fourth two back was sound enough after being checked near the 5 ½f. Clear winning chance from the low draw.
7	Made some ground into fifth when resuming at Orange over 5f, beaten four and a half lengths after being sent around at long odds. His debut at Dubbo was plain, but he did race keenly early there and should be fitter for the latest outing. The new 6f trip is the main query. 3rd Pick 7 Anders Diamond Jockey: Jacob Stiff Trainer: Sharon Jeffries J: Jacob Stiff T: Sharon Jeffries	89	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Made some ground into fifth when resuming at Orange over 5f, beaten four and a half lengths after being sent around at long odds. His debut at Dubbo was plain, but he did race keenly early there and should be fitter for the latest outing. The new 6f trip is the main query.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.