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Resulted

AU - Warren - Race 1

Thoroughbred
8 Runners
8f
Class 1
Turf
SOFT 5
10.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Very even but HASIME (5) could be value. Just missed two back then was wide throughout in the latest and never featured. Best form stacks up this level and with the claim and a low draw gets a chance to atone. NOTLEANORMEAN (6) has been racing over shorter journeys, the latest midfield over 6 ½f at Narromine. Has placed 2/3 this trip though and after drawing the outside last time has the inside gate here. Should run well. ALPINE ROSE (4) finished runner-up in the same race and meets the winner better at the weights. Senior rider goes aboard and looks a serious danger again. ST ROY (3) finds it hard to win with just the sole success from 30 tries. Best form stacks up and aided by the 7lbs claim here. Could sneak a place with the right run.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Hasime silk

Most recently 7th of 12 at Narromine Bm58 on December 2 over 1m, 5 len behind Laisvas with 121lbs at $61. Before that 3rd of 7 at Bathurst Cl1 on November 15 over 7f, slow going 1.2 len behind Joshua with 122lbs at $13. Well off best when wide last time but best form stacks up and worth another chance.

1st Pick
5

Hasime

Jockey: Izzy Neale

Trainer: Melissa Harrison

J: Izzy Neale

T: Melissa Harrison

139---20%

Analysis

Most recently 7th of 12 at Narromine Bm58 on December 2 over 1m, 5 len behind Laisvas with 121lbs at $61. Before that 3rd of 7 at Bathurst Cl1 on November 15 over 7f, slow going 1.2 len behind Joshua with 122lbs at $13. Well off best when wide last time but best form stacks up and worth another chance.

6
Notleanormean silk

At the latest run eased back early on 6th of 11 at Narromine Bm58 on December 2 over 6 ½f, 4 len behind Ivy Diva with 123lbs at $31. Before that 6th of 8 at Bathurst Bm50 on November 15 over 5 ½f, slow going 5 len behind Glowing Rapids carrying 134lbs at $6.50. Placed 2/3 this trip and off the inside gate gets chance.

2nd Pick
6

Notleanormean

Jockey: Mikayla Weir

Trainer: Connie Greig

J: Mikayla Weir

T: Connie Greig

118---25%

Analysis

At the latest run eased back early on 6th of 11 at Narromine Bm58 on December 2 over 6 ½f, 4 len behind Ivy Diva with 123lbs at $31. Before that 6th of 8 at Bathurst Bm50 on November 15 over 5 ½f, slow going 5 len behind Glowing Rapids carrying 134lbs at $6.50. Placed 2/3 this trip and off the inside gate gets chance.

1
Billabong Alvin silk

At the latest run won by 1.5 len at Wellington Cl1-Sw November 24 over 1 ¹/16m defeating Alpine Rose with 125lbs at $4.80. Before that 6th of 10 at this track Mdn on November 9 over 7f, 12 len behind Yiasou with 127lbs at $9.50. Led throughout to score latest and can make it back to back wins.

3rd Pick
1

Billabong Alvin

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Brett Thompson

J: Non Runner

T: Brett Thompson

126---1%

Scratched

Analysis

At the latest run won by 1.5 len at Wellington Cl1-Sw November 24 over 1 ¹/16m defeating Alpine Rose with 125lbs at $4.80. Before that 6th of 10 at this track Mdn on November 9 over 7f, 12 len behind Yiasou with 127lbs at $9.50. Led throughout to score latest and can make it back to back wins.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.