AU - Walcha - Race 5

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

OPEN

Turf

GOOD 3

24.5K

VIEW

Verdict

Talented sprinter CRESTA RUN (7) comes to this target race off a seven-week let-up. Led all the way to win two in a row then tired late and missed the frame at her latest outing over 5 ½f at Gosford. Perfectly placed over this trip while fresh. Nicely weighted so she has all the right credentials. DIS IS HEAVEN (2) rarely runs a bad race and has a 67% top three strike rate from 24 starts over this trip. Disappointed at his last appearance at Ballina but is much better than that. RIVKIN (1) tried hard but found one better when resuming over this distance at Muswellbrook recently. In the money at ten of 12 tries over 5f so he looks a pretty sound each-way proposition. GOLD LOVER (3) last appeared when third over this trip at Warwick Farm seven weeks ago. Subsequent trial winner who is nicely drawn and talented enough to stretch this field. DUNE AND DUSTED (9) returned in good order at Grafton last time out and from the excellent drawn is a live chance.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
7	Returns from a 50-day let-up. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 8 at Gosford Bm64 on December 18 over 5 ½f, 5.5 len behind Be Quiet with 132lbs at $2.80. The start before that favourite, won by 0.7 len at Scone Bm66 November 18 over 5 ½f defeating King Larry carrying 133lbs at $2.15. Hard to go past in this suitable contest. 1st Pick 7 Cresta Run Jockey: Braith Nock Trainer: Brett & Georgie Cavanough J: Braith Nock T: Brett & Georgie Cavanough	127	-	-	-	40%
Analysis Returns from a 50-day let-up. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 8 at Gosford Bm64 on December 18 over 5 ½f, 5.5 len behind Be Quiet with 132lbs at $2.80. The start before that favourite, won by 0.7 len at Scone Bm66 November 18 over 5 ½f defeating King Larry carrying 133lbs at $2.15. Hard to go past in this suitable contest.
2	Most recently ran last in a small field at Ballina Bm82 on January 16 over 5f, 6 len behind Tiger Tie carrying 130lbs at $9. The start before that ran on from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Inverell Inv Shorts Bm82 on January 1 over 5 ¼f, 0.9 len behind Hellcibell with 129lbs at $3.90. Going well before that last run and this looks a winnable race. 2nd Pick 2 Dis Is Heaven Jockey: Luke Rolls Trainer: Colt Prosser J: Luke Rolls T: Colt Prosser	121	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Most recently ran last in a small field at Ballina Bm82 on January 16 over 5f, 6 len behind Tiger Tie carrying 130lbs at $9. The start before that ran on from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Inverell Inv Shorts Bm82 on January 1 over 5 ¼f, 0.9 len behind Hellcibell with 129lbs at $3.90. Going well before that last run and this looks a winnable race.
1	Second-up. First-up after four months tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 at Muswellbrook Sizzler Bm82 on January 13 over 5f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Boss with 129lbs at $4.60. Previously second-up 3rd of 10 at Sandown-Hillside Bm70 on June 18 over 5f, 4 len behind Cheerstothat carrying 133lbs at $20. In the money when second-up in the past and can add to that record today. 3rd Pick 1 Rivkin Jockey: Aaron Bullock Trainer: Lyle Chandler J: Aaron Bullock T: Lyle Chandler	201	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after four months tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 at Muswellbrook Sizzler Bm82 on January 13 over 5f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Boss with 129lbs at $4.60. Previously second-up 3rd of 10 at Sandown-Hillside Bm70 on June 18 over 5f, 4 len behind Cheerstothat carrying 133lbs at $20. In the money when second-up in the past and can add to that record today.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.