AU - Tuncurry - Race 8

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

19.3K

VIEW

Verdict

CRESTA RUN (6) talented mare thereabouts in all three runs this time in. Gripped on late when back in trip for a solid second over 5f at Muswellbrook. Hard to stop in this suitable race. THE PICCOLINO (11) in career best form and can return to form in this company from the good gate. Just over a month between runs when fifth over 5f at Taree. Best figures measure up nicely and assess on earlier runs. ALTERCATION (9) appreciated the firmer surface with a barnstorming win over 5f at Quirindi at the good each way price. Has a solid record over this course and trip and proven in all conditions. GRASSBURN (10) finished off strongly when beaten 1.1 lengths last time at Taree. Should be winding up late again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
6	Recent form sound. At the latest run 2nd of 7 in a Bm74 at Muswellbrook on August 9 over 5f, 2.75 len behind Where'stheprofit carrying 128lbs at $5. The start before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 14 in a Bengalla Bm87 at Muswellbrook on July 26 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Hellcibell with 121lbs at $8.50. Can improve again. Progressing well and a win is on the cards. 1st Pick 6 Cresta Run Jockey: Mitchell Bell Trainer: Brett & Georgie Cavanough J: Mitchell Bell T: Brett & Georgie Cavanough	150	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run 2nd of 7 in a Bm74 at Muswellbrook on August 9 over 5f, 2.75 len behind Where'stheprofit carrying 128lbs at $5. The start before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 14 in a Bengalla Bm87 at Muswellbrook on July 26 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Hellcibell with 121lbs at $8.50. Can improve again. Progressing well and a win is on the cards.
11	Last start 5th of 8 in a Bm82 at Taree on August 14 over 5f, 6 len behind Debussy carrying 121lbs at $6. The race before that ran second last in a small field in a Cg&E Bm64 at Gosford on July 9 over 5 ½f, on heavy track, 2 len behind Tartaglia with 123lbs at $6. Excellent winning chance with the help of an inside draw. 2nd Pick 11 The Piccolino Jockey: Anna Roper Trainer: Paul Perry J: Anna Roper T: Paul Perry	106	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Last start 5th of 8 in a Bm82 at Taree on August 14 over 5f, 6 len behind Debussy carrying 121lbs at $6. The race before that ran second last in a small field in a Cg&E Bm64 at Gosford on July 9 over 5 ½f, on heavy track, 2 len behind Tartaglia with 123lbs at $6. Excellent winning chance with the help of an inside draw.
9	Most recently settled well back, won by a neck at Quirindi on August 4 over 5f defeating Star Whisperer with 125lbs at $8. The start before that ran last in a small field in a F&M Bm64 at Gosford on July 9 over 5 ½f, on a wet track, 6 len behind Powerful Tune carrying 125lbs at $3.80. Confidence is high and stays in the calculations. 3rd Pick 9 Altercation Jockey: Ashley Morgan Trainer: Jason Deamer J: Ashley Morgan T: Jason Deamer	142	-	-	-	12%
Analysis Most recently settled well back, won by a neck at Quirindi on August 4 over 5f defeating Star Whisperer with 125lbs at $8. The start before that ran last in a small field in a F&M Bm64 at Gosford on July 9 over 5 ½f, on a wet track, 6 len behind Powerful Tune carrying 125lbs at $3.80. Confidence is high and stays in the calculations.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.