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6:49 AM

AU - Townsville - Race 9

Thoroughbred
21 Runners
6.5f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
14.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Big fields and lots of chances but hard to go past the talented BITTER SPIRIT (5) who has won his last two. Drawn for a good run and building a good record. Expected to go close. LOOMING ONE (6) ran on well to score fresh then was fourth latest here and not beaten far. Fitter and might be over the odds today. SMASHING ROSIE (9) continues to race well, the latest a narrow loss at Rocky. Tricky gate but going well and worth following up. HEART 'N' POWER (10) is a progressive type who comes into this off a last start maiden win. Won by a space and still has upside. Will just need some luck from the horror draw.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Bitter Spirit silk

Chasing a hat-trick. Most recently favourite, won by a nose at Mackay Bm55 December 30 over 6 ½f defeating Saddles with 128lbs at $1.75. The race before that favourite, won by 0.5 len at Mackay Mdn December 6 over 5 ½f defeating Lady De Vega with 129lbs at $1.90. Promising type in great form and expected to go close again.

1st Pick
5

Bitter Spirit

Jockey: Ashley Butler

Trainer: Clinton Taylor

J: Ashley Butler

T: Clinton Taylor

181---27%11/4

Analysis

Chasing a hat-trick. Most recently favourite, won by a nose at Mackay Bm55 December 30 over 6 ½f defeating Saddles with 128lbs at $1.75. The race before that favourite, won by 0.5 len at Mackay Mdn December 6 over 5 ½f defeating Lady De Vega with 129lbs at $1.90. Promising type in great form and expected to go close again.

6
Looming One silk

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up came from midfield and won by a head at Cairns Cl1-Sw December 4 over 6 ¼f on a soft track defeating Alabama Moonlight carrying 132lbs at $11. Last start made ground from midfield, 4th of 14 at this track 0 - 55 on January 6 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Dalt Jaz with 132lbs at $9.50. Racing well. Well placed to make amends.

2nd Pick
6

Looming One

Jockey: Aidan Holt

Trainer: Rhein Sewell

J: Aidan Holt

T: Rhein Sewell

148---5%20/1

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up came from midfield and won by a head at Cairns Cl1-Sw December 4 over 6 ¼f on a soft track defeating Alabama Moonlight carrying 132lbs at $11. Last start made ground from midfield, 4th of 14 at this track 0 - 55 on January 6 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Dalt Jaz with 132lbs at $9.50. Racing well. Well placed to make amends.

9
Smashing Rosie silk

At the latest run 2nd of 15 at Rockhampton Bm62 on January 8 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.2 len behind Kareem carrying 115lbs at $6. Before that crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 6th of 12 at Rockhampton Bm55 on December 18 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind El Fortress carrying 123lbs at $2.30. Tricky gate but going well and worth following up.

3rd Pick
9

Smashing Rosie

Jockey: Sean Cormack

Trainer: Toni Schofield

J: Sean Cormack

T: Toni Schofield

155---20%4/1

Analysis

At the latest run 2nd of 15 at Rockhampton Bm62 on January 8 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.2 len behind Kareem carrying 115lbs at $6. Before that crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 6th of 12 at Rockhampton Bm55 on December 18 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind El Fortress carrying 123lbs at $2.30. Tricky gate but going well and worth following up.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.