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5:12 AM

AU - Townsville - Race 5

Thoroughbred
8 Runners
6f
OPEN
Turf
SOFT 5
15.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

COLOURS OF AUTUMN (7) has a good affinity with rider Morrison who is yet to miss a drum in four rides and is drawn to get all the favours from the inside alley. Rarely puts in a poor one and should be right there when the judge calls a halt. BURRANEER BUOY (4) is a bit hit or miss but has won five from eight around this circuit and is more than capable enough on his day. Will take some holding out on best figures. The well-related ARMOUR FORCE (2) (half to G2 winner and G1 placed Bella Martini) has put back-to-back wins together and is racing high on confidence of late. Top-three candidate. SWEET KISSES (3) gets some weight relief with the 4lbs claim and looks a must for the exotics players. GOING NUCLEAR (5) next best.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Colours Of Autumn silk

At the latest run 2nd in a small field at Cairns Hcp on April 9 over 6 ¼f, slow going 0.9 len behind Armour Force carrying 121lbs at $1.60. The race before that favourite, came from midfield and won by 0.7 len at Cairns Cl3-Sw March 26 over 6 ¼f in the wet defeating Alabama Moonlight carrying 128lbs at $3. Winning chance.

1st Pick
7

Colours Of Autumn

Jockey: Lacey Morrison

Trainer: Roy Chillemi

J: Lacey Morrison

T: Roy Chillemi

164---45%5/4

Analysis

At the latest run 2nd in a small field at Cairns Hcp on April 9 over 6 ¼f, slow going 0.9 len behind Armour Force carrying 121lbs at $1.60. The race before that favourite, came from midfield and won by 0.7 len at Cairns Cl3-Sw March 26 over 6 ¼f in the wet defeating Alabama Moonlight carrying 128lbs at $3. Winning chance.

4
Burraneer Buoy silk

Returns from a 53-day let-up. At the latest run won by 0.6 len at this track Hcp February 27 over 6 ½f on a soft track defeating Beau Rain with 121lbs at $7. The race before that eased back early on 5th of 10 at this track Hcp on January 16 over 7f, slow going 1.5 len behind Northern Pride with 119lbs at $4.60. Hard to beat on that latest effort.

2nd Pick
4

Burraneer Buoy

Jockey: Ivo Fry

Trainer: Graham Hughes

J: Ivo Fry

T: Graham Hughes

122---17%5/1

Analysis

Returns from a 53-day let-up. At the latest run won by 0.6 len at this track Hcp February 27 over 6 ½f on a soft track defeating Beau Rain with 121lbs at $7. The race before that eased back early on 5th of 10 at this track Hcp on January 16 over 7f, slow going 1.5 len behind Northern Pride with 119lbs at $4.60. Hard to beat on that latest effort.

2
Armour Force silk

Half-brother to Group 2 winner and Group 1 placed Bella Martini. Chasing a hat-trick. Last start settled well back, won by 0.9 len at Cairns Hcp April 9 over 6 ¼f in soft going defeating Colours Of Autumn with 122lbs at $2.50. The race before that won by a nose at Cairns Hcp March 26 over 6 ¼f on a heavy track defeating Smart Legend with 121lbs at $5.50. Shapes as a top chance on recent form.

3rd Pick
2

Armour Force

Jockey: Sean Cormack

Trainer: Stephen Massingham

J: Sean Cormack

T: Stephen Massingham

178---23%7/2

Analysis

Half-brother to Group 2 winner and Group 1 placed Bella Martini. Chasing a hat-trick. Last start settled well back, won by 0.9 len at Cairns Hcp April 9 over 6 ¼f in soft going defeating Colours Of Autumn with 122lbs at $2.50. The race before that won by a nose at Cairns Hcp March 26 over 6 ¼f on a heavy track defeating Smart Legend with 121lbs at $5.50. Shapes as a top chance on recent form.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.