AU - Townsville - Race 5

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

14.8K

VIEW

Verdict

KEEP ON RUNNING (1) has hit a purple patch of form with three wins and two seconds from his past five starts and is racing with a lot of confidence of late. Winning rider Cormack stays on top and should be right there when the judge calls a halt. MARCH MADNESS (10) got a well-deserved win around this circuit last time out and the extra furlong here should suit. Serious top-three contender. KOBAYASTAR (5) is a four-time winner here who gets 3lbs off with the claim and jumps from a low draw. Ticks a few boxes for a race like this. PROMINENT LAD (2) is having his first run for the new stable but should find this easier than recent metro efforts. Include in calculations. UNIFIES (6) will be rock-hard fit for this and may earn a cheque with luck in running.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Comes off a 48 day let-up. Last start favourite, won by 0.9 len at this track Bm62 January 16 over 7f on a soft track defeating Buffet Buster carrying 134lbs at $2.90. The start before that came from midfield, 2nd of 9 at this track Cl4 on December 28 over 1m, slow going 0.6 len behind Garinion Righ with 130lbs at $6.50. Hard to beat in this type of form. 1st Pick 1 Keep On Running Jockey: Sean Cormack Trainer: Terry Mcgovern J: Sean Cormack T: Terry Mcgovern	167	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Comes off a 48 day let-up. Last start favourite, won by 0.9 len at this track Bm62 January 16 over 7f on a soft track defeating Buffet Buster carrying 134lbs at $2.90. The start before that came from midfield, 2nd of 9 at this track Cl4 on December 28 over 1m, slow going 0.6 len behind Garinion Righ with 130lbs at $6.50. Hard to beat in this type of form.
10	At the latest run favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 1.75 len at this track Mdn February 27 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating She's Got Lyrics with 119lbs at $2. The race before that 2nd of 8 at Cairns Mdn-Sw on February 16 over 6 ¼f, on rain affected going, nose behind Mr Oreo carrying 129lbs at $3.10. Big chance on the back of that encouraging effort last time. 2nd Pick 10 March Madness Jockey: Courtney Bellamy Trainer: Michael Geaney J: Courtney Bellamy T: Michael Geaney	105	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis At the latest run favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 1.75 len at this track Mdn February 27 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating She's Got Lyrics with 119lbs at $2. The race before that 2nd of 8 at Cairns Mdn-Sw on February 16 over 6 ¼f, on rain affected going, nose behind Mr Oreo carrying 129lbs at $3.10. Big chance on the back of that encouraging effort last time.
5	Comes here off a 30-day let-up. Most recently won by 1.2 len at this track 0 - 60 February 3 over 6 ½f defeating Unifies carrying 127lbs at $4.80. Before that 3rd of 11 at this track Bm62 on January 16 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Keep On Running carrying 125lbs at $5. Draws a nice barrier and will be very competitive again. 3rd Pick 5 Kobayastar Jockey: Olivia Kendal Trainer: Matthew Mcguire J: Olivia Kendal T: Matthew Mcguire	151	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Comes here off a 30-day let-up. Most recently won by 1.2 len at this track 0 - 60 February 3 over 6 ½f defeating Unifies carrying 127lbs at $4.80. Before that 3rd of 11 at this track Bm62 on January 16 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Keep On Running carrying 125lbs at $5. Draws a nice barrier and will be very competitive again.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.