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3:42 AM

AU - Townsville - Race 3

Thoroughbred
8 Runners
5f
OPEN
Turf
SOFT 5
14.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MIND OVER MATTER (1) grows a leg for rider Cormack who has three wins from as many steers and didn't put a hoof wrong when last in work. Boasts a win when first-up before and should be right there when the judge calls a halt. NOTTINGTON PRINCE (3) has won over this track and trip, draws the inside alley and gets 4lbs off with the claim. Ticks a few boxes for a race like this. DRAGON TALES (2) may have suffered from the dreaded second-up syndrome last time out but go on the strong win over this course and distance when resuming. Can bounce back. HOT COCOA (7) is lightly raced but has plenty of upside and may make her presence felt. GOLD CLASSIC (8) gets in well at the weights with the claim and may earn some minor money.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Mind Over Matter silk

Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of three-and-a-half months. Finished off last campaign won by neck this track Cl3-Sw February 27 over 5f slow track defeating Materialist with 127lbs at $1.85. Previous preparation first-up favourite, to post a big 4.5 len win. This track Mdn January 6 over 5f slow track defeating Niven carrying 126lbs at $2.90. Expect he is primed for a big first-up performance.

1st Pick
1

Mind Over Matter

Jockey: Sean Cormack

Trainer: Terry Mcgovern

J: Sean Cormack

T: Terry Mcgovern

162---58%8/11

Analysis

Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of three-and-a-half months. Finished off last campaign won by neck this track Cl3-Sw February 27 over 5f slow track defeating Materialist with 127lbs at $1.85. Previous preparation first-up favourite, to post a big 4.5 len win. This track Mdn January 6 over 5f slow track defeating Niven carrying 126lbs at $2.90. Expect he is primed for a big first-up performance.

3
Nottington Prince silk

Last start 5th of 9 at this track 3yo Hcp on May 31 over 6 ½f, 2.5 len behind Toranaga with 131lbs at $6. The run before that 4th in a small field at Cairns 3yo Hcp on May 15 over 6 ¼f, on rain affected going, 4 len behind Betterlucknexttime carrying 132lbs at $6.50. Terrific chance to find winning form.

2nd Pick
3

Nottington Prince

Jockey: Fiona Sandkuhl

Trainer: Joanna Hassett

J: Fiona Sandkuhl

T: Joanna Hassett

189---10%9/1

Analysis

Last start 5th of 9 at this track 3yo Hcp on May 31 over 6 ½f, 2.5 len behind Toranaga with 131lbs at $6. The run before that 4th in a small field at Cairns 3yo Hcp on May 15 over 6 ¼f, on rain affected going, 4 len behind Betterlucknexttime carrying 132lbs at $6.50. Terrific chance to find winning form.

2
Dragon Tales silk

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up won by a nose at this track 3yo Hcp May 8 over 5f on a rain affected track defeating Nottington Prince with 127lbs at $3. Second-up 7th of 10 at this track Bm60 on May 31 over 5f, 4 len behind Gee Eye Why carrying 133lbs at $6.50. One of the top-three chances.

3rd Pick
2

Dragon Tales

Jockey: Aidan Holt

Trainer: Georgina Holt

J: Aidan Holt

T: Georgina Holt

171---14%13/2

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up won by a nose at this track 3yo Hcp May 8 over 5f on a rain affected track defeating Nottington Prince with 127lbs at $3. Second-up 7th of 10 at this track Bm60 on May 31 over 5f, 4 len behind Gee Eye Why carrying 133lbs at $6.50. One of the top-three chances.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.