AU - Townsville - Race 3

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

16.5K

VIEW

Verdict

AMBER AFFAIR (4) has hit the top-four in all four runs this preparation and looks to be building up to a maiden victory. Will be at peak fitness for this and maps ideally from gate three. Rates the testing material. BREECHES (3) resumes here but the form she showed when last in work was good enough for a race of this calibre. Can make her presence felt. NICCO NOTA FIGHTER (2) has hit the frame in both career outings to date and jockey Thomas stays on top. Shapes as a leading contender. BOOMING BELIEF (7) strips fitter third-up from the break and looks one for the multiples. AGNAR (1) is a first-starter who should be kept very safe.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 8 at this track Mdn on April 14 over 6f, 1.1 len behind Princess Shanghai with 129lbs at $1.80. The run before that 3rd of 11 at this track Mdn on March 31 over 6f, on a slow track, 3 len behind She's A Beauty carrying 119lbs at $3.40. One of the leading chances. 1st Pick 4 Amber Affair Jockey: Chris Whiteley Trainer: Rhein Sewell J: Chris Whiteley T: Rhein Sewell	155	-	-	-	37%	7/4
Analysis Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 8 at this track Mdn on April 14 over 6f, 1.1 len behind Princess Shanghai with 129lbs at $1.80. The run before that 3rd of 11 at this track Mdn on March 31 over 6f, on a slow track, 3 len behind She's A Beauty carrying 119lbs at $3.40. One of the leading chances.
3	Resumes. Finished off last campaign second last of 7 at this track Mdn-Sw October 21 over 7f, 6 len behind Ellis Beach carrying 121lbs at $2.90. First up last campaign second last of 8 at Seymour 3yo Mdn-Sw May 27 over 5f, 5.5 len behind Supervise carrying 123lbs at $5. This is an ideal race to kick off. Looks a key runner. 2nd Pick 3 Breeches Jockey: Ryan Wiggins Trainer: Matthew Mcguire J: Ryan Wiggins T: Matthew Mcguire	135	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Resumes. Finished off last campaign second last of 7 at this track Mdn-Sw October 21 over 7f, 6 len behind Ellis Beach carrying 121lbs at $2.90. First up last campaign second last of 8 at Seymour 3yo Mdn-Sw May 27 over 5f, 5.5 len behind Supervise carrying 123lbs at $5. This is an ideal race to kick off. Looks a key runner.
2	Raced two times to date. At debut, 3rd in a small field at Cairns 2yo Hcp on March 26 over 4 ¾f, on rain affected going, 2.75 len behind Persefono with 130lbs at $13. Second-up 3rd of 10 at Cairns 2yo Mdn-Sw on April 9 over 4 ¾f, on a slow track, 0.7 len behind Red Light Power with 128lbs at $10. Shapes as a key runner. 3rd Pick 2 Nicco Nota Fighter Jockey: Nathan Thomas Trainer: Matthew Mcguire J: Nathan Thomas T: Matthew Mcguire	100	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Raced two times to date. At debut, 3rd in a small field at Cairns 2yo Hcp on March 26 over 4 ¾f, on rain affected going, 2.75 len behind Persefono with 130lbs at $13. Second-up 3rd of 10 at Cairns 2yo Mdn-Sw on April 9 over 4 ¾f, on a slow track, 0.7 len behind Red Light Power with 128lbs at $10. Shapes as a key runner.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.