AU - Townsville - Race 2

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

15.9K

VIEW

Verdict

BLAZING FUTURE (1) steps out in new colours and drops back from two provincial fourths at Hawkesbury. The two-month freshening, inside draw, and positive gear angle give him enough upside. IT'S SHOWTIME (3) is the most reliable exposed maiden, fourth at this track last start after a Cairns second and already placed five times from seven attempts at the distance. BELINDA'S RUBI (9) is better judged on her third at this venue two runs ago, when well-supported favourite and beaten just over half a length, rather than the Bowen run where she raced wide throughout. TOI TOI (8) was pipped at this venue two back and had some interference late at Bowen, so she remains a genuine place-to-winning hope if she handles the rise back to 6f. FARNANHEIT (2) has caught the eye in his last two and can cause a late scare if the pace is genuine.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Returns from a two-month let-up after two sound Hawkesbury fourths over 7 ½f, the latest beaten three and a half lengths by Rapid Revenue in soft-ground provincial company. The drop back to 6f is a query, but he has placed twice around this trip, draws barrier 1 and adds a positive gear change. Draws barrier 1, adds blinkers and looks well placed to break through. 1st Pick 1 Blazing Future Jockey: Ben Kennedy Trainer: Belynda Kliese J: Ben Kennedy T: Belynda Kliese	152	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Returns from a two-month let-up after two sound Hawkesbury fourths over 7 ½f, the latest beaten three and a half lengths by Rapid Revenue in soft-ground provincial company. The drop back to 6f is a query, but he has placed twice around this trip, draws barrier 1 and adds a positive gear change. Draws barrier 1, adds blinkers and looks well placed to break through.
3	Back after four weeks following another honest effort at this track, finishing fourth over 7f and beaten a length and a half by Okay Zoomer near the top of an open market. That followed a Cairns second where he covered ground and just lacked the last kick. Fourth here last start after a Cairns second and has clear winning claims. 2nd Pick 3 It's Showtime Jockey: Chris Whiteley Trainer: Janel Ryan J: Chris Whiteley T: Janel Ryan	115	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Back after four weeks following another honest effort at this track, finishing fourth over 7f and beaten a length and a half by Okay Zoomer near the top of an open market. That followed a Cairns second where he covered ground and just lacked the last kick. Fourth here last start after a Cairns second and has clear winning claims.
9	Had a clear excuse at Bowen last start, racing wide throughout before finishing ninth and beaten eight and a half lengths behind Ceretti. Her prior third at this venue was far stronger, when well-supported favourite and beaten just over half a length on soft ground. Lighter weight and track form make her a strong chance. 3rd Pick 9 Belinda's Rubi Jockey: Sean Cormack Trainer: Belynda Kliese J: Sean Cormack T: Belynda Kliese	107	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Had a clear excuse at Bowen last start, racing wide throughout before finishing ninth and beaten eight and a half lengths behind Ceretti. Her prior third at this venue was far stronger, when well-supported favourite and beaten just over half a length on soft ground. Lighter weight and track form make her a strong chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.