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3:22 AM

AU - Townsville - Race 2

Thoroughbred
8 Runners
5f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
15.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

The well-related COPPABELLA ROAD (4) (half to Listed winner and Group 3 placed Catoggio) has been on the doorstep of another victory finishing runner-up in three of his past four and this is not an overly strong affair. Only needs some luck navigating from the wide draw to be playing a major role in the outcome. GOLDEN OCTAVIAN (2) goes well for rider Wiggins who has three wins and three placings from ten steers and is drawn to get all the favours from the inside marble. Looms as the main danger. MAXIMUM POWER (1) has been just behind the placegetters of late and will be rock-hard fit for this. Top-three credentials. OFFICE POLITICS (5) saves his best form for this sprint journey and has to be included in calculations. GALBALAN (3) strips fitter second-up from the spell and looks one for the exotics players.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Coppabella Road silk

Half-brother to Listed winner and Group 3 placed Catoggio. Last start crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 2nd of 11 at Cairns Bm50 on April 9 over 4 ¾f, slow going nose behind Sweet Candy carrying 137lbs at $3.70. The run before that 5th of 8 at Cairns Bm55 on March 26 over 4 ¾f, on heavy track, 3.5 len behind Threebrothers carrying 132lbs at $3.40. Made headway last time. Expected to be very competitive.

1st Pick
4

Coppabella Road

Jockey: Aidan Holt

Trainer: Steven Royes

J: Aidan Holt

T: Steven Royes

219---31%9/4

Analysis

Half-brother to Listed winner and Group 3 placed Catoggio. Last start crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 2nd of 11 at Cairns Bm50 on April 9 over 4 ¾f, slow going nose behind Sweet Candy carrying 137lbs at $3.70. The run before that 5th of 8 at Cairns Bm55 on March 26 over 4 ¾f, on heavy track, 3.5 len behind Threebrothers carrying 132lbs at $3.40. Made headway last time. Expected to be very competitive.

2
Golden Octavian silk

Most recently 5th of 9 at Cairns Bm60 on April 9 over 6 ¼f, slow going 2.75 len behind Thirteen Under carrying 132lbs at $4.40. The start before that 4th of 10 at Cairns Bm70 on March 26 over 4 ¾f, on a wet track, 3.5 len behind Ruby Chicks with 125lbs at $6. Can find form in this suitable contest.

2nd Pick
2

Golden Octavian

Jockey: Ryan Wiggins

Trainer: Stephen Massingham

J: Ryan Wiggins

T: Stephen Massingham

197---40%6/4

Analysis

Most recently 5th of 9 at Cairns Bm60 on April 9 over 6 ¼f, slow going 2.75 len behind Thirteen Under carrying 132lbs at $4.40. The start before that 4th of 10 at Cairns Bm70 on March 26 over 4 ¾f, on a wet track, 3.5 len behind Ruby Chicks with 125lbs at $6. Can find form in this suitable contest.

1
Maximum Power silk

Last start 5th of 10 at this track Bm65 on April 14 over 5f, 1.1 len behind Lowlands with 127lbs at $15. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 10 at this track 0 - 60 on March 31 over 5f, 1.5 len behind Lowlands with 132lbs at $13. Has ability and is one of the major players.

3rd Pick
1

Maximum Power

Jockey: Ivo Fry

Trainer: Graham Hughes

J: Ivo Fry

T: Graham Hughes

137---23%7/2

Analysis

Last start 5th of 10 at this track Bm65 on April 14 over 5f, 1.1 len behind Lowlands with 127lbs at $15. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 10 at this track 0 - 60 on March 31 over 5f, 1.5 len behind Lowlands with 132lbs at $13. Has ability and is one of the major players.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.