AU - Townsville - Race 9

Thoroughbred

19 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

14.0K

VIEW

Verdict

PONTIUS (13) impressed winning his Maiden here on debut however he didn't finish it off from a wide gate following. The blinkers go on for the first time and he has a handy gate and a key jockey switch to Wiggins. Presents fitter and no surprise to see him bounce back. TIME TO PROPHET (3) resumes as favourite in stronger grade and will be better for it. The gate is handy and she's likely to push forward from the awkward gate. Quick improvement is likely. COPPABELLA ROAD (4) rides the speed and deserved his win here this grade and trip. Carries more weight but has been kept on the fresh side and is advantaged by the low barrier. RARE AND RELIABLE (7) resumes and has switched from the Birchley stable. May need one but has saluted over this distance and the betting will be key.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
13	Third race start today. When well in the market at debut, won by a nose at this track 3yo Mdn-Sw December 13 over 5f in soft going defeating Penrod carrying 128lbs at $4.20. Second-up 8th of 14 at this track 0 - 55 on January 6 over 6f, slow going 4.5 len behind Dalt Jaz carrying 127lbs at $8. Major player. 1st Pick 13 Pontius Jockey: Ryan Wiggins Trainer: Steven Royes J: Ryan Wiggins T: Steven Royes	156	-	-	-	11%	17/2
Analysis Third race start today. When well in the market at debut, won by a nose at this track 3yo Mdn-Sw December 13 over 5f in soft going defeating Penrod carrying 128lbs at $4.20. Second-up 8th of 14 at this track 0 - 55 on January 6 over 6f, slow going 4.5 len behind Dalt Jaz carrying 127lbs at $8. Major player.
3	Second run back. First-up after three months 4th of 9 at this track Bm65 on December 28 over 5f, slow going 3 len behind Super Freeze with 126lbs at $3.40. Previously second-up second last of 7 at this track 3&4yo Hcp on March 27 over 7f, in the wet, 2 len behind Arguable carrying 119lbs at $8.50. Fitter and is expected to go close. 2nd Pick 3 Time To Prophet Jockey: Fiona Sandkuhl Trainer: Georgina Holt J: Fiona Sandkuhl T: Georgina Holt	145	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after three months 4th of 9 at this track Bm65 on December 28 over 5f, slow going 3 len behind Super Freeze with 126lbs at $3.40. Previously second-up second last of 7 at this track 3&4yo Hcp on March 27 over 7f, in the wet, 2 len behind Arguable carrying 119lbs at $8.50. Fitter and is expected to go close.
4	Racing well recently. Comes here off a 34-day let-up. Most recently favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a nose at this track 0 - 55 December 13 over 5f on a rain affected track defeating Manic Light carrying 127lbs at $2.70. The run before that tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 3rd of 9 at Cairns Bm55 on November 25 over 4 ¾f, 0.5 len behind Savee with 127lbs at $7.50. Chance again on present form. 3rd Pick 4 Coppabella Road Jockey: Aidan Holt Trainer: Steven Royes J: Aidan Holt T: Steven Royes	152	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Racing well recently. Comes here off a 34-day let-up. Most recently favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a nose at this track 0 - 55 December 13 over 5f on a rain affected track defeating Manic Light carrying 127lbs at $2.70. The run before that tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 3rd of 9 at Cairns Bm55 on November 25 over 4 ¾f, 0.5 len behind Savee with 127lbs at $7.50. Chance again on present form.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.