AU - Townsville - Race 7

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Class 4

Turf

GOOD 4

14.7K

VIEW

Verdict

Open race to close out the card. The well-related ADMITTED (3) (half to G3 winner Heuristic) has been plying his trade in harder south east QLD races and will appreciate the drop back in company here. Tuned up for this with a recent trial placing and gets a stack of weight relief with the 7lbs claim. Rates the testing material. LOWLANDS (9) resumes here but has placed two of three when fresh and is yet to miss a place in three efforts over this track and trip. Watch for a strong showing first-up. KHUMBILA (1) has won two of his past three here and is drawn to get a cosy run in transit from the inside alley. In the mix. CIFONELLI (8) is a last-start winner who shouldn't be underestimated.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Half-brother to Group 3 winner Heuristic. Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of ten weeks. Finished off last campaign second last in a small field at Sunshine Coast Cl4 April 12 over 5f, soft track, 4 len behind Royal Commodore with 129lbs at $6. First up last campaign fourth of 7 at Ipswich Bm70 January 15 over 4f, soft track, 2.75 len behind Mixed Signals carrying 128lbs at $2.50. Anticipating him to hit the ground running this campaign. 1st Pick 3 Admitted Jockey: Mitch Goring Trainer: Matthew Mcguire J: Mitch Goring T: Matthew Mcguire	136	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Half-brother to Group 3 winner Heuristic. Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of ten weeks. Finished off last campaign second last in a small field at Sunshine Coast Cl4 April 12 over 5f, soft track, 4 len behind Royal Commodore with 129lbs at $6. First up last campaign fourth of 7 at Ipswich Bm70 January 15 over 4f, soft track, 2.75 len behind Mixed Signals carrying 128lbs at $2.50. Anticipating him to hit the ground running this campaign.
9	Back from a spell. Finished off last campaign won by 0.5 len this track Bm65 April 14 over 5f defeating Khumbila carrying 127lbs at $1.95. When resuming last campaign third of 12 at this track Cl3-Sw March 15 over 5f, on rain affected going, 0.9 len behind Spirit Of Mac carrying 121lbs at $3.30. Maybe later in the prep. 2nd Pick 9 Lowlands Jockey: Ryan Wiggins Trainer: Stephen Massingham J: Ryan Wiggins T: Stephen Massingham	128	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Back from a spell. Finished off last campaign won by 0.5 len this track Bm65 April 14 over 5f defeating Khumbila carrying 127lbs at $1.95. When resuming last campaign third of 12 at this track Cl3-Sw March 15 over 5f, on rain affected going, 0.9 len behind Spirit Of Mac carrying 121lbs at $3.30. Maybe later in the prep.
1	At the latest run favourite, won by a nose at this track Bm70 May 31 over 6f defeating Dealing's Done carrying 129lbs at $3.20. Before that ran on from midfield, 4th of 13 at this track Bm65 on May 25 over 6f, 2 len behind Cifonelli carrying 130lbs at $6.50. Back in distance and should be hitting the line with gusto. 3rd Pick 1 Khumbila Jockey: Wanderson D'avila Trainer: Bill Kenning J: Wanderson D'avila T: Bill Kenning	141	-	-	-	40%	3/2
Analysis At the latest run favourite, won by a nose at this track Bm70 May 31 over 6f defeating Dealing's Done carrying 129lbs at $3.20. Before that ran on from midfield, 4th of 13 at this track Bm65 on May 25 over 6f, 2 len behind Cifonelli carrying 130lbs at $6.50. Back in distance and should be hitting the line with gusto.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.