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4:43 AM

AU - Townsville - Race 6

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
6.5f
OPEN
Turf
SOFT 5
14.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Several win chances. STATS (4) has finished eighth and sixth in two runs this campaign but both over sharper trips. Has a great record this longer journey and won 3/6 when third-up. Looks well weighted and suspect he's ready to fire. BEAU RAIN (3) resumed from a long spell with a solid fifth here fresh. Strong record course and distance and from six second-up runs has two wins and four minors. Another that will improve into this. SWEET KISSES (5) has been freshened since placing in the same race as Beau Rain. Another with good course and distance stats and looks well weighted here. TYCOON BEAU (6) split Beau Rain and Sweet Kisses two back then was fourth last time on heavy ground. Rates highly on best and can improve with firmer footing. BURRANEER BUOY (7) has been winding up strongly and can run into the finish.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Stats silk

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up settled back and ran on when 8th of 10 at this track Hcp on December 28 over 6f, on a slow track, 8 len behind Cherry Rose with 128lbs at $18. Second-up 6th of 8 at this track Hcp on February 3 over 5f, slow going 6 len behind Roweiner's Dance with 127lbs at $19. Nicely placed at the longer trip and will be hard to beat.

1st Pick
4

Stats

Jockey: Ryan Wiggins

Trainer: Stephen Massingham

J: Ryan Wiggins

T: Stephen Massingham

112---10%10/1

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up settled back and ran on when 8th of 10 at this track Hcp on December 28 over 6f, on a slow track, 8 len behind Cherry Rose with 128lbs at $18. Second-up 6th of 8 at this track Hcp on February 3 over 5f, slow going 6 len behind Roweiner's Dance with 127lbs at $19. Nicely placed at the longer trip and will be hard to beat.

3
Beau Rain silk

Second run back. First-up after six months eased back early on 5th of 8 at this track Hcp on January 24 over 6f, slow going 3 len behind Obligated with 132lbs at $14. Previously second-up 2nd in a small field at this track Hcp on June 7 over 7f, on a slow track, nose behind Stats carrying 119lbs at $3.40. Fitter and expected to improve sharply.

2nd Pick
3

Beau Rain

Jockey: Lacey Morrison

Trainer: Bill Kenning

J: Lacey Morrison

T: Bill Kenning

142---25%3/1

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after six months eased back early on 5th of 8 at this track Hcp on January 24 over 6f, slow going 3 len behind Obligated with 132lbs at $14. Previously second-up 2nd in a small field at this track Hcp on June 7 over 7f, on a slow track, nose behind Stats carrying 119lbs at $3.40. Fitter and expected to improve sharply.

5
Sweet Kisses silk

Returns from a 34-day let-up. Last start sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 8 at this track Hcp on January 24 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Obligated carrying 122lbs at $4.20. The run before that 6th of 10 at this track Hcp on January 16 over 7f, slow going 2 len behind Northern Pride with 119lbs at $4.80. Working up to a win. Nicely weighted and sure to prove hard to beat.

3rd Pick
5

Sweet Kisses

Jockey: Fiona Sandkuhl

Trainer: Georgina Holt

J: Fiona Sandkuhl

T: Georgina Holt

136---25%3/1

Analysis

Returns from a 34-day let-up. Last start sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 8 at this track Hcp on January 24 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Obligated carrying 122lbs at $4.20. The run before that 6th of 10 at this track Hcp on January 16 over 7f, slow going 2 len behind Northern Pride with 119lbs at $4.80. Working up to a win. Nicely weighted and sure to prove hard to beat.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.