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5:25 AM

AU - Townsville - Race 6

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
6f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
14.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

KICKOFF (4) has the right blend of current form and race fitness, having won a BM55 at this track before being beaten a nose in a BM60 here as favourite. She comes in lighter, draws well and has enough local form to be treated as the one to beat. CHARTWELL (1) is the clear danger after a BM70 win at this track and a close Class 5 third behind Metalcraft. Key runner. FABULEAN (6) has been close up in successive runs at Mackay and Bowen, gets Sean Cormack back aboard and is well proven at 6f. LOOMING ONE (9) has found form at this venue, winning last start after a narrow second, but both recent peaks came at BM55 level. Genuine each-way threat.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Kickoff silk

Missed by only a nose in a Benchmark 60 at this track last start, when sent out favourite and bumped late, and that effort came after a Benchmark 55 win at this venue over 5f. She draws to race handy, drops 6lbs from that latest run and Lacey Morrison is back after winning on her at their only pairing. This is a positive set-up for a mare ready to win again.

1st Pick
4

Kickoff

Jockey: Lacey Morrison

Trainer: Steven Royes

J: Lacey Morrison

T: Steven Royes

152---25%3/1

Analysis

Missed by only a nose in a Benchmark 60 at this track last start, when sent out favourite and bumped late, and that effort came after a Benchmark 55 win at this venue over 5f. She draws to race handy, drops 6lbs from that latest run and Lacey Morrison is back after winning on her at their only pairing. This is a positive set-up for a mare ready to win again.

1
Chartwell silk

Went close in a Class 5 over 5f at this track last start, finishing third behind Metalcraft after travelling well and closing strongly, despite racing wide early. That followed a Benchmark 70 win at this venue when he beat Stokomo by a nose. The 6f record is a genuine asset, with two wins and four placings from nine starts at this track and distance, so he rates as a major winning threat again.

2nd Pick
1

Chartwell

Jockey: Fiona Sandkuhl

Trainer: Rhein Sewell

J: Fiona Sandkuhl

T: Rhein Sewell

116---20%4/1

Analysis

Went close in a Class 5 over 5f at this track last start, finishing third behind Metalcraft after travelling well and closing strongly, despite racing wide early. That followed a Benchmark 70 win at this venue when he beat Stokomo by a nose. The 6f record is a genuine asset, with two wins and four placings from nine starts at this track and distance, so he rates as a major winning threat again.

6
Fabulean silk

Has finished third at both runs since resuming further, most recently beaten a length by Diamond Lucy in a 3yo+ Class 3 at Bowen after travelling on speed and holding her ground. Before that she was just over half a length from Humble Hero in a Benchmark 68 at Mackay despite a few tractability issues. Sean Cormack knows her well and she is a serious chance back at 6f.

3rd Pick
6

Fabulean

Jockey: Sean Cormack

Trainer: Jennifer Hatfield

J: Sean Cormack

T: Jennifer Hatfield

151---20%4/1

Analysis

Has finished third at both runs since resuming further, most recently beaten a length by Diamond Lucy in a 3yo+ Class 3 at Bowen after travelling on speed and holding her ground. Before that she was just over half a length from Humble Hero in a Benchmark 68 at Mackay despite a few tractability issues. Sean Cormack knows her well and she is a serious chance back at 6f.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.