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4:40 AM

AU - Townsville - Race 5

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
7f
OPEN
Turf
SOFT 5
15.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

FREE CARRY (2) is having his first run for the new stable but will find this easier than recent Saturday metro efforts. Is a two-time winner over this distance range and should make his presence felt against this line-up. OUTSMARTED (6) has a win and a placing from four outings here and is much better than the recent run suggests. Watch for a spike in form. GOING NUCLEAR (4) has hit the frame at the past couple of runs at this circuit and gets some weight relief with the 3lbs claim. Top-three contender. BEAU RAIN (1) strips fitter second-up from the spell and looks one for the exotics players. CENTRAL PARK (9) best of the rest.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Free Carry silk

Comes here off a 43-day let-up. Most recently led to the turn then faded 7th of 9 at Eagle Farm Cl6-Sw on April 18 over 7f, 3 len behind Ten Deep with 126lbs at $13. The start before that 7th of 10 at Eagle Farm Cl6 on April 4 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Lupine carrying 125lbs at $11. Capable of sharp improvement.

1st Pick
2

Free Carry

Jockey: Tasha Chambers

Trainer: Bill Kenning

J: Tasha Chambers

T: Bill Kenning

175---25%3/1

Analysis

Comes here off a 43-day let-up. Most recently led to the turn then faded 7th of 9 at Eagle Farm Cl6-Sw on April 18 over 7f, 3 len behind Ten Deep with 126lbs at $13. The start before that 7th of 10 at Eagle Farm Cl6 on April 4 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Lupine carrying 125lbs at $11. Capable of sharp improvement.

6
Outsmarted silk

At the latest run eased back early on 10th of 13 at this track Hcp on May 8 over 7f, slow going 3 len behind Smart Legend with 119lbs at $13. The race before that 5th of 7 at Mackay Hcp on May 1 over 6f, 3 len behind Parade Ground carrying 119lbs at $3.80. Finds a nice race and cannot be overlooked.

2nd Pick
6

Outsmarted

Jockey: Sean Cormack

Trainer: Darby Amos

J: Sean Cormack

T: Darby Amos

127---23%7/2

Analysis

At the latest run eased back early on 10th of 13 at this track Hcp on May 8 over 7f, slow going 3 len behind Smart Legend with 119lbs at $13. The race before that 5th of 7 at Mackay Hcp on May 1 over 6f, 3 len behind Parade Ground carrying 119lbs at $3.80. Finds a nice race and cannot be overlooked.

4
Going Nuclear silk

At the latest run 3rd of 13 at this track Hcp on May 8 over 7f, slow going 1.2 len behind Smart Legend with 121lbs at $20. Before that 2nd of 8 at this track Hcp on April 21 over 6f, 0.9 len behind Burraneer Buoy with 116lbs at $10. Has the ability and is among the leading hopes.

3rd Pick
4

Going Nuclear

Jockey: Olivia Kendal

Trainer: Matthew Mcguire

J: Olivia Kendal

T: Matthew Mcguire

123---20%4/1

Analysis

At the latest run 3rd of 13 at this track Hcp on May 8 over 7f, slow going 1.2 len behind Smart Legend with 121lbs at $20. Before that 2nd of 8 at this track Hcp on April 21 over 6f, 0.9 len behind Burraneer Buoy with 116lbs at $10. Has the ability and is among the leading hopes.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.