AU - Townsville - Race 5

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Class 2

Turf

SOFT 5

14.5K

VIEW

Verdict

EXTRA FREE (7) gets the nod on the strength of proven track-and-distance form and a suitable return to 5f after finishing fourth in a 3yo+ Class 4 at Ewan. He was hampered shortly after the start there and covered ground, yet was only beaten two and a half lengths, and his record at this track and distance gives him a solid platform. SPIRITOF THE OCEAN (10) is the immediate threat after going under by just over half a length on soft ground at this venue in a BM55. Right in play. VERY GOOD (8) brings a sound 5f profile and comes through a 3-4yo Open placing at this track, though she was held behind Nottington Prince that day. NOTTINGTON PRINCE (2) resumed with a good second in the same race, has two wins and two placings from five attempts around 5f, and is a genuine player again if he builds off that fresh performance.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Finished fourth in a 3yo+ Class 4 at Ewan last start, beaten two and a half lengths after being hampered shortly after the start and covering ground before flattening late. He was closer than the finishing position suggests in a Class 3 at this track two back, beaten a length and a half after beginning slowly. Back to 5f with weight relief and proven track-and-distance form, he sets the standard. 1st Pick 7 Extra Free Jockey: Adam Sewell Trainer: Scott Seymour J: Adam Sewell T: Scott Seymour	112	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Finished fourth in a 3yo+ Class 4 at Ewan last start, beaten two and a half lengths after being hampered shortly after the start and covering ground before flattening late. He was closer than the finishing position suggests in a Class 3 at this track two back, beaten a length and a half after beginning slowly. Back to 5f with weight relief and proven track-and-distance form, he sets the standard.
10	Lifted sharply when second in a Benchmark 55 on soft ground at this track, beaten just over half a length by Looming One after travelling well from the rear and just missing. That was a clear improvement on her Kilcoy seventh, where she was near the top of betting but failed to finish off. She is still chasing a first 5f win, but repeated placings at the trip make her a major threat. 2nd Pick 10 Spiritof The Ocean Jockey: Ben Kennedy Trainer: Tom Button J: Ben Kennedy T: Tom Button	181	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Lifted sharply when second in a Benchmark 55 on soft ground at this track, beaten just over half a length by Looming One after travelling well from the rear and just missing. That was a clear improvement on her Kilcoy seventh, where she was near the top of betting but failed to finish off. She is still chasing a first 5f win, but repeated placings at the trip make her a major threat.
8	Ran third in a 3-4yo Open at this track last start, beaten two and a half lengths by Briginshaw after sitting close enough but being unable to improve. Her Cairns sixth before that had some merit after jumping awkwardly and being tightened near the ½f. With three wins from ten overall, a win on wet ground and a suitable 5f profile, she remains a strong winning chance. 3rd Pick 8 Very Good Jockey: Lacey Morrison Trainer: John Kilroy J: Lacey Morrison T: John Kilroy	125	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Ran third in a 3-4yo Open at this track last start, beaten two and a half lengths by Briginshaw after sitting close enough but being unable to improve. Her Cairns sixth before that had some merit after jumping awkwardly and being tightened near the ½f. With three wins from ten overall, a win on wet ground and a suitable 5f profile, she remains a strong winning chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).