AU - Townsville - Race 5

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

16.2K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

Tough race. STORM CAPITAL (3) looks hardest to beat. Overdue for a win and freshened since a close-up third over 6f here latest. Looks hard to hold out. MIDDLE CHILD (9) found the 6f a shade far two back but back to the sharper trip latest gave a big sight. Expected to do the same here. WHO ASKED ZOU (5) is a speedy type who could well be over the odds. Runner-up at second run back when led to the post and beaten a head at 100/1. Has a low draw and will take catching again. ROCK ON ANGEL (11) is a mare that has had plenty of chances but has racked up a host of placings. has ability and should be in the mix. RADIO WAVES (2) has been thereabouts and looks next best.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Form hard to fault. Returns from a 42-day let-up. At the latest run 3rd of 10 at this track Mdn-Sw on January 16 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Wired For Fun with 129lbs at $2.60. The run before that took up a position near the tail 3rd of 15 at this track Mdn on January 6 over 5f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Mind Over Matter carrying 123lbs at $6.50. Close to a win and is sure to prove hard to beat. 1st Pick 3 Storm Capital Jockey: Aidan Holt Trainer: Georgina Holt J: Aidan Holt T: Georgina Holt	189	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Returns from a 42-day let-up. At the latest run 3rd of 10 at this track Mdn-Sw on January 16 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Wired For Fun with 129lbs at $2.60. The run before that took up a position near the tail 3rd of 15 at this track Mdn on January 6 over 5f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Mind Over Matter carrying 123lbs at $6.50. Close to a win and is sure to prove hard to beat.
9	Most recently tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at Cairns Mdn on February 16 over 4 ¾f, on heavy track, 2.25 len behind Scarlett Moda carrying 123lbs at $11. The race before that sat on the pace before fading 8th of 11 at this track Mdn-Sw on January 16 over 6f, on a slow track, 7 len behind She's A Sweet Star with 125lbs at $11. Making headway. Looks well placed here. 2nd Pick 9 Middle Child Jockey: Fiona Sandkuhl Trainer: Steven Royes J: Fiona Sandkuhl T: Steven Royes	188	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Most recently tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at Cairns Mdn on February 16 over 4 ¾f, on heavy track, 2.25 len behind Scarlett Moda carrying 123lbs at $11. The race before that sat on the pace before fading 8th of 11 at this track Mdn-Sw on January 16 over 6f, on a slow track, 7 len behind She's A Sweet Star with 125lbs at $11. Making headway. Looks well placed here.
5	Dual acceptor. Third-up today. First-up sat on the pace before fading 13th of 15 at this track Mdn on January 6 over 5f, on a slow track, 11 len behind Mind Over Matter with 122lbs at $101. Second run from a spell gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 8 at Mackay 3yo Mdn on February 13 over 5 ½f, head behind Faraway Downs with 121lbs at $101. Take catching off the low draw. 3rd Pick 5 Who Asked Zou Jockey: Nathan Thomas Trainer: Joshua Manzelmann J: Nathan Thomas T: Joshua Manzelmann	75	-	-	-	11%	17/2
Analysis Dual acceptor. Third-up today. First-up sat on the pace before fading 13th of 15 at this track Mdn on January 6 over 5f, on a slow track, 11 len behind Mind Over Matter with 122lbs at $101. Second run from a spell gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 8 at Mackay 3yo Mdn on February 13 over 5 ½f, head behind Faraway Downs with 121lbs at $101. Take catching off the low draw.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.