AU - Townsville - Race 5

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

14.1K

VIEW

Verdict

NOLAN (2) resumes here but the form he showed when last in work was good enough for a race of this calibre. Yet to miss a drum in four spins around this circuit and can run a big race while fresh. Former NSW galloper RAMIUS (9) is having his first run for the new stable but should find this easier than what he faced down south. Respect any market confidence. SONECHKA (13) has put back-to-back wins together and it's hard to knock mares in form. Do not dismiss lightly. NO LOVE LOST (12) has hit the top-four in 12 of his past 13 starts and is usually thereabouts. Can earn some minor money again. SUPER FREEZE (7) next best from the inside alley.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of eight months. Finished off last preparation fifth of 8 at Mackay Cl3-Sw May 8 over 6f, 4 len behind Gangitano with 128lbs at $5.50. Previously first up, third of 9 at this track Cl3 January 18 over 5f, 1.0 len behind Booming Lad carrying 134lbs at $4.80. Everything points to an effective return. 1st Pick 2 Nolan Jockey: Fiona Sandkuhl Trainer: Steven Royes J: Fiona Sandkuhl T: Steven Royes	109	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of eight months. Finished off last preparation fifth of 8 at Mackay Cl3-Sw May 8 over 6f, 4 len behind Gangitano with 128lbs at $5.50. Previously first up, third of 9 at this track Cl3 January 18 over 5f, 1.0 len behind Booming Lad carrying 134lbs at $4.80. Everything points to an effective return.
9	Back from a long spell. Only had one start last campaign held ground to the line 2nd of 11 at Canberra Cl1 on February 21 over 6f, slow going 1.1 len behind Can Expect Greater carrying 132lbs at $9. First up last campaign 4th of 11 at Newcastle Prov 3yo+ Mdn on June 29 2024 over 6f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind My Mate Cobber with 123lbs at $8.50. A bright start to the prep is anticipated. 2nd Pick 9 Ramius Jockey: Isabella Teh Trainer: Patrick Mcguire J: Isabella Teh T: Patrick Mcguire	58	-	-	-	5%	20/1
Analysis Back from a long spell. Only had one start last campaign held ground to the line 2nd of 11 at Canberra Cl1 on February 21 over 6f, slow going 1.1 len behind Can Expect Greater carrying 132lbs at $9. First up last campaign 4th of 11 at Newcastle Prov 3yo+ Mdn on June 29 2024 over 6f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind My Mate Cobber with 123lbs at $8.50. A bright start to the prep is anticipated.
13	Chasing a hat-trick. Returns from a 54-day let-up. Last start favourite, won by a head at Murwillumbah Bm50 November 4 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating Shannon's Legacy with 129lbs at $2. Before that favourite, won by a neck at Casino Mdn October 25 over 7f defeating Mahmoa carrying 125lbs at $3.30. Definite chance. 3rd Pick 13 Sonechka Jockey: Shane Mcgovern Trainer: Scott Seymour J: Shane Mcgovern T: Scott Seymour	72	-	-	-	2%	50/1
Analysis Chasing a hat-trick. Returns from a 54-day let-up. Last start favourite, won by a head at Murwillumbah Bm50 November 4 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating Shannon's Legacy with 129lbs at $2. Before that favourite, won by a neck at Casino Mdn October 25 over 7f defeating Mahmoa carrying 125lbs at $3.30. Definite chance.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.