AU - Townsville - Race 4

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

35.3K

VIEW

Verdict

The $50,000 Belle Of The Burdekin. Former NSW galloper BIANCA MIA (7) just ran into one better over this track and trip when having her first run for the new stable and should find this assignment easier than what she faced down south. Will be ready to peak now third run back from the spell and is sure to be right there when the whips are cracking. FOOLS PLAY (15) grows a leg for rider Morrison who has two wins and a placing from just four steers. Drawn to get all the favours from the inside alley and rates a genuine top-three prospect. KOBAYASTAR (4) has placed five of six over this course and distance and is usually thereabouts. A must for the exotics players. EMILIA JANE (9) returned in fine fashion with a solid Mackay victory and will have derived a stack of confidence from that outing. Can go back-to-back. COLOURS OF AUTUMN (1) next best despite the awkward draw.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 4th of 9 at Newcastle Bm64 on June 27 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Oakfield Neptune with 125lbs at $5. Second run from a spell held ground to the line 2nd of 8 at this track 3yo Hcp on July 14 over 7f, neck behind Mister Doobee carrying 118lbs at $2.35. Will take plenty of beating. 1st Pick 7 Bianca Mia Jockey: Ben Kennedy Trainer: Tom Button J: Ben Kennedy T: Tom Button	228	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 4th of 9 at Newcastle Bm64 on June 27 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Oakfield Neptune with 125lbs at $5. Second run from a spell held ground to the line 2nd of 8 at this track 3yo Hcp on July 14 over 7f, neck behind Mister Doobee carrying 118lbs at $2.35. Will take plenty of beating.
15	Most recently 7th of 13 at this track Cl3-Sw on August 1 over 6f, 2 len behind Betterlucknexttime with 128lbs at $71. Before that 6th of 13 at this track Bm60 on June 6 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Blackthorn with 126lbs at $6.50. Tough to beat if near her best. 2nd Pick 15 Fools Play Jockey: Lacey Morrison Trainer: Steven Royes J: Lacey Morrison T: Steven Royes	188	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Most recently 7th of 13 at this track Cl3-Sw on August 1 over 6f, 2 len behind Betterlucknexttime with 128lbs at $71. Before that 6th of 13 at this track Bm60 on June 6 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Blackthorn with 126lbs at $6.50. Tough to beat if near her best.
4	Last start sat on the pace when 2nd of 11 at this track F&M Cl6 on July 14 over 6 ½f, 0.7 len behind Upstart Legend carrying 116lbs at $3.80. The run before that from last on the turn 6th of 9 at this track Bm65 on June 22 over 6f, 3 len behind Toranaga with 126lbs at $6.50. Tough to beat. 3rd Pick 4 Kobayastar Jockey: Olivia Kendal Trainer: Matthew Mcguire J: Olivia Kendal T: Matthew Mcguire	121	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Last start sat on the pace when 2nd of 11 at this track F&M Cl6 on July 14 over 6 ½f, 0.7 len behind Upstart Legend carrying 116lbs at $3.80. The run before that from last on the turn 6th of 9 at this track Bm65 on June 22 over 6f, 3 len behind Toranaga with 126lbs at $6.50. Tough to beat.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.