AU - Townsville - Race 4

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

Class 3

Turf

SOFT 5

15.0K

VIEW

Verdict

SMART MISSION (6) has a win around this circuit and will be rock-hard fit for this contest. Reunites with winning hoop Cormack and should be right there when at the business end. ELLIS BEACH (3) was a touch plain at the latest effort but the two wins prior were good enough for a race of this calibre. Can bounce right back. The well-related SHE'S A BEAUTY (5) (half to 2xG2 winner and 3xG1 placed Barb Raider) has been a model of consistency of late and it's hard to knock mares in form. Include with Wiggins on board. TALONS (4) doesn't win out of turn but is usually thereabouts and may trouble the judge with any luck in running. MORDECAI (7) rounds out the selections in a race with only a handful of chances.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Comes here off a 30-day let-up. At the latest run 5th of 9 at Mackay Cl3-Sw on May 1 over 7 ¾f, 2.5 len behind Turn Me Royale with 132lbs at $1.65. Before that raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 9 at Rockhampton Bm60 on April 24 over 1m, slow going nose behind Bold Blaze carrying 136lbs at $2.45. Hard to beat this time. 1st Pick 6 Smart Mission Jockey: Sean Cormack Trainer: Clinton Taylor J: Sean Cormack T: Clinton Taylor	294	-	-	-	40%	6/4
Analysis Comes here off a 30-day let-up. At the latest run 5th of 9 at Mackay Cl3-Sw on May 1 over 7 ¾f, 2.5 len behind Turn Me Royale with 132lbs at $1.65. Before that raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 9 at Rockhampton Bm60 on April 24 over 1m, slow going nose behind Bold Blaze carrying 136lbs at $2.45. Hard to beat this time.
3	At the latest run 6th of 9 at this track Bm60 on May 8 over 7f, slow going 2.75 len behind Alabama Moonlight with 134lbs at $5.50. Before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 1.0 len at this track Bm60 April 14 over 1m defeating Central Park carrying 130lbs at $4.20. Finds a nice race this time and is right in contention. 2nd Pick 3 Ellis Beach Jockey: Aidan Holt Trainer: Georgina Holt J: Aidan Holt T: Georgina Holt	161	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis At the latest run 6th of 9 at this track Bm60 on May 8 over 7f, slow going 2.75 len behind Alabama Moonlight with 134lbs at $5.50. Before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 1.0 len at this track Bm60 April 14 over 1m defeating Central Park carrying 130lbs at $4.20. Finds a nice race this time and is right in contention.
5	Half-sister to dual-Group 2 winner and multiple-Group 1 placed Barb Raider. Last start made ground from midfield, 2nd of 10 at this track Cl2 on May 25 over 7f, head behind Kirikan with 125lbs at $7. The run before that 4th of 10 at Cairns Cl2-Sw on May 15 over 6 ¼f, in the wet, 1.75 len behind Mclovin with 128lbs at $5.50. Expected to feature. 3rd Pick 5 She's A Beauty Jockey: Ryan Wiggins Trainer: Steven Royes J: Ryan Wiggins T: Steven Royes	181	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Half-sister to dual-Group 2 winner and multiple-Group 1 placed Barb Raider. Last start made ground from midfield, 2nd of 10 at this track Cl2 on May 25 over 7f, head behind Kirikan with 125lbs at $7. The run before that 4th of 10 at Cairns Cl2-Sw on May 15 over 6 ¼f, in the wet, 1.75 len behind Mclovin with 128lbs at $5.50. Expected to feature.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.