AU - Townsville - Race 3

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 5

15.1K

VIEW

Verdict

LAST DITCH EFFORT (6) got an overdue win last time out at Mt Isa last time out and will have derived a stack of confidence from that breakthrough victory. Is a five-time winner over this distance range and gets in well at the weights with the 7lbs claim. Should prove very hard to hold out. LOWLANDS (8) loves this track and trip with two wins and a second from four attempts and handles all going. Can go back-to-back without surprising. NAPOLEON STRIKE (4) is a consistent commodity who has remarkably hit the top-five in 20 of his past 21 starts. A must for the multiples. IMPARDOO (2) goes well for hoop Morrison who has eight wins and four placings from just 15 steers. Strips fitter and is in the mix on best figures. HARTSHORN (7) best of the rest.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
6	Last start won by 0.8 len at Mt Isa on August 22 over 5f defeating Napoleon Strike carrying 123lbs at $3.60. The start before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 7 in a Hcp at Mt Isa on August 6 over 6f, 0.5 len behind She Smashes with 123lbs at $12. Better last time and has to be included. 1st Pick 6 Last Ditch Effort Jockey: Samantha Pointon Trainer: Tanya Parry J: Samantha Pointon T: Tanya Parry	99	-	-	-	4%
Analysis Last start won by 0.8 len at Mt Isa on August 22 over 5f defeating Napoleon Strike carrying 123lbs at $3.60. The start before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 7 in a Hcp at Mt Isa on August 6 over 6f, 0.5 len behind She Smashes with 123lbs at $12. Better last time and has to be included.
8	Last start won by 0.6 len at Cairns on August 28 over 4 ¾f defeating Materialist with 125lbs at $6.50. The start before that 8th of 16 in a F&M Bm70 at this track on August 8 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Bianca Mia with 130lbs at $19. Hard to beat on her best form. 2nd Pick 8 Lowlands Jockey: Sean Cormack Trainer: Stephen Massingham J: Sean Cormack T: Stephen Massingham	135	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Last start won by 0.6 len at Cairns on August 28 over 4 ¾f defeating Materialist with 125lbs at $6.50. The start before that 8th of 16 in a F&M Bm70 at this track on August 8 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Bianca Mia with 130lbs at $19. Hard to beat on her best form.
4	At the latest run 2nd in a small field in a Hcp at Mt Isa on August 22 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Last Ditch Effort carrying 137lbs at $15. Before that 4th of 7 in a Hcp at Mt Isa on August 6 over 6f, 6 len behind She Smashes carrying 133lbs at $9.50. Went close last time. Right in the mix again. 3rd Pick 4 Napoleon Strike Jockey: Chris Whiteley Trainer: Tanya Parry J: Chris Whiteley T: Tanya Parry	142	-	-	-	5%
Analysis At the latest run 2nd in a small field in a Hcp at Mt Isa on August 22 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Last Ditch Effort carrying 137lbs at $15. Before that 4th of 7 in a Hcp at Mt Isa on August 6 over 6f, 6 len behind She Smashes carrying 133lbs at $9.50. Went close last time. Right in the mix again.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.