AU - Townsville - Race 3

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 5

14.8K

VIEW

Verdict

It's hard to knock the form of ROWEINER'S DANCE (1) who has strung three wins together on the bounce and is racing high on confidence of late. Has remarkably won 13 races over this course and distance and should be right here at the business end again. RUSSIAN MINT (5) got a well-deserved victory here at the latest effort and winning hoop Bellamy sticks in the irons. No reason why he cannot salute again. SWEET KISSES (4) goes well for rider Sandkuhl who has two wins and three placings from just six steers. Again gets the benefit of her 4lbs claim and can make her presence felt. HELLISH (3) has won two from three at the circuit and should find this easier than recent NSW efforts. Can run a race while fresh. VALENKI (2) rounds out the selections.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	On a three run winning streak. Comes off a 30 day let-up. Most recently favourite, won by 0.5 len at this track Hcp March 15 over 5f on a heavy track defeating Demon Award with 131lbs at $2.05. The race before that favourite, scored a big 5 len win at Home Hill Sw February 14 over 5f on a soft track defeating Real Key with 136lbs at $1.40. Will again prove tough to stop at this favoured circuit. 1st Pick 1 Roweiner's Dance Jockey: Gabrielle Semmens Trainer: Bill Kenning J: Gabrielle Semmens T: Bill Kenning	205	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis On a three run winning streak. Comes off a 30 day let-up. Most recently favourite, won by 0.5 len at this track Hcp March 15 over 5f on a heavy track defeating Demon Award with 131lbs at $2.05. The race before that favourite, scored a big 5 len win at Home Hill Sw February 14 over 5f on a soft track defeating Real Key with 136lbs at $1.40. Will again prove tough to stop at this favoured circuit.
5	Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 3 len at this track Bm75 March 31 over 6f defeating Sand 'N' Power with 120lbs at $2.80. The race before that raced on the pace when 3rd of 9 at this track Hcp on March 15 over 5f, on heavy track, 1.2 len behind Roweiner's Dance carrying 119lbs at $7. Draws a nice barrier and will be very competitive again. 2nd Pick 5 Russian Mint Jockey: Courtney Bellamy Trainer: Tom Button J: Courtney Bellamy T: Tom Button	173	-	-	-	40%	6/4
Analysis Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 3 len at this track Bm75 March 31 over 6f defeating Sand 'N' Power with 120lbs at $2.80. The race before that raced on the pace when 3rd of 9 at this track Hcp on March 15 over 5f, on heavy track, 1.2 len behind Roweiner's Dance carrying 119lbs at $7. Draws a nice barrier and will be very competitive again.
4	At the latest run failed to make an impression, second last of 8 at Cairns Hcp on March 26 over 6 ¼f, on heavy track, 16 len behind Armour Force with 129lbs at $4. The run before that came from midfield and won by 0.8 len at this track Hcp March 5 over 7f in soft going defeating Prince Akeem with 118lbs at $3.70. Goes well here and is sure to prove hard to beat. 3rd Pick 4 Sweet Kisses Jockey: Fiona Sandkuhl Trainer: Georgina Holt J: Fiona Sandkuhl T: Georgina Holt	172	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis At the latest run failed to make an impression, second last of 8 at Cairns Hcp on March 26 over 6 ¼f, on heavy track, 16 len behind Armour Force with 129lbs at $4. The run before that came from midfield and won by 0.8 len at this track Hcp March 5 over 7f in soft going defeating Prince Akeem with 118lbs at $3.70. Goes well here and is sure to prove hard to beat.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.