AU - Townsville - Race 3

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

6.5f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

15.6K

VIEW

Verdict

Big field but MISSISSIPPI DREAM (9) looks well placed to be in the finish. Hasn't been beaten far last three when fighting on bravely. Drawn for a good run and looks a top chance to get off the mark. SMOKIN REELS (4) caught the eye on debut then was sent out favourite last time and was never comfortable, later reported to have sugared a hoof injury. Definitely worth another chance on the narrow loss here on debut. STREAMELOT (12) is a former Victorian having first try in this area for the new yard. Has ability but will need luck from the wide draw. RED CITY SUN (8) finds it tough to break through but finds is a thin race this time and is in the mix.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Form hard to fault. Comes here off a 38-day let-up. Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 10 at Ipswich Mdn on December 17 over 6 ¾f, 0.8 len behind Stabilizer carrying 126lbs at $4. The race before that 4th of 12 at Ipswich F&M Mdn-Sw on November 13 over 6 ¾f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Hidden Future with 128lbs at $9.50. Has fought on hard last two when close to the winner and gets chance. 1st Pick 9 Mississippi Dream Jockey: Frederick Larson Trainer: Lachie Manzelmann J: Frederick Larson T: Lachie Manzelmann	330	-	-	-	63%	3/5
Analysis Form hard to fault. Comes here off a 38-day let-up. Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 10 at Ipswich Mdn on December 17 over 6 ¾f, 0.8 len behind Stabilizer carrying 126lbs at $4. The race before that 4th of 12 at Ipswich F&M Mdn-Sw on November 13 over 6 ¾f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Hidden Future with 128lbs at $9.50. Has fought on hard last two when close to the winner and gets chance.
4	Raced two times to date. At debut, held ground to the line 2nd of 11 at this track Mdn on December 13 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Better Breakout carrying 132lbs at $10. Second-up second last of 11 at this track Mdn-Sw on January 16 over 6f, on a slow track, 12 len behind She's A Sweet Star with 129lbs at $3.10. Hoof injury when safely beaten last time and gets chance to atone. 2nd Pick 4 Smokin Reels Jockey: Jackson Murphy Trainer: Rodney Miller J: Jackson Murphy T: Rodney Miller	105	-	-	-	8%	12/1
Analysis Raced two times to date. At debut, held ground to the line 2nd of 11 at this track Mdn on December 13 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Better Breakout carrying 132lbs at $10. Second-up second last of 11 at this track Mdn-Sw on January 16 over 6f, on a slow track, 12 len behind She's A Sweet Star with 129lbs at $3.10. Hoof injury when safely beaten last time and gets chance to atone.
16	At debut, got back early 8th of 12 at Cairns Mdn-Sw on December 20 over 4 ¾f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Adaj with 123lbs at $21. Expected to do far better this time. Not far away on debut when beaten for speed and got home late. 3rd Pick 16 Essay Wine Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Fred Wieland J: Non Runner T: Fred Wieland	116	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis At debut, got back early 8th of 12 at Cairns Mdn-Sw on December 20 over 4 ¾f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Adaj with 123lbs at $21. Expected to do far better this time. Not far away on debut when beaten for speed and got home late.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.