AU - Townsville - Race 3

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Class 3

Turf

SOFT 5

14.6K

VIEW

Verdict

BLACKTHORN (5) may have suffered from the dreaded second-up syndrome last time out but the two wins prior to start the career were good enough for a race of this calibre. Looks the runner in this field with the most upside and should be right there at the business end. BLUEBIRD BAY (3) got a well-deserved victory around this circuit at the latest effort and will have derived a stack of confidence from that win. Can go back-to-back. HURRICANE ROSIE (9) got the job done over this track and trip last start and winning hoop Morrison stays in the stirrups. In the mix. LONE FORCE (6) has been thereabouts in both runs since joining the new stable and should give backers a sight up on speed.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Third-up today. First-up favourite, won by 0.5 len at this track Bm60 June 6 over 7f defeating Buffet Buster carrying 128lbs at $14. Second run from a spell got back early 6th of 10 at this track Bm55 on June 22 over 7f, 5 len behind Bluebird Bay with 138lbs at $3.30. Can improve. Worth following up. 1st Pick 5 Blackthorn Jockey: Sean Cormack Trainer: Fred Wieland J: Sean Cormack T: Fred Wieland	130	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Third-up today. First-up favourite, won by 0.5 len at this track Bm60 June 6 over 7f defeating Buffet Buster carrying 128lbs at $14. Second run from a spell got back early 6th of 10 at this track Bm55 on June 22 over 7f, 5 len behind Bluebird Bay with 138lbs at $3.30. Can improve. Worth following up.
3	Third-up today. First-up 5th of 9 at Mackay Cl3-Sw on June 11 over 6 ½f, 2.5 len behind Determination carrying 126lbs at $4.60. Second run from a spell ran on from midfield and won by 1.0 len at this track Bm55 June 22 over 7f defeating Betta Al carrying 136lbs at $3.60. Key chance who can play a major role. 2nd Pick 3 Bluebird Bay Jockey: Ryan Wiggins Trainer: Steven Royes J: Ryan Wiggins T: Steven Royes	160	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 5th of 9 at Mackay Cl3-Sw on June 11 over 6 ½f, 2.5 len behind Determination carrying 126lbs at $4.60. Second run from a spell ran on from midfield and won by 1.0 len at this track Bm55 June 22 over 7f defeating Betta Al carrying 136lbs at $3.60. Key chance who can play a major role.
9	Last start won by 0.7 len at this track Bm60 June 16 over 1m defeating Read 'Em And Weep carrying 125lbs at $6.50. The run before that 3rd of 10 at Beaudesert Bm60 on May 23 over 1 m, slow going 6 len behind Flying Bat carrying 127lbs at $5. Big chance again. 3rd Pick 9 Hurricane Rosie Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Sharlee Hoffman J: Non Runner T: Sharlee Hoffman	165	-	-	-	17%	Scratched
Analysis Last start won by 0.7 len at this track Bm60 June 16 over 1m defeating Read 'Em And Weep carrying 125lbs at $6.50. The run before that 3rd of 10 at Beaudesert Bm60 on May 23 over 1 m, slow going 6 len behind Flying Bat carrying 127lbs at $5. Big chance again.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Across the Board

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