AU - Townsville - Race 3

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

14.7K

VIEW

Verdict

It's hard to knock the form of BLACKTHORN (1) who has put back-to-back wins together to start the career and is racing high on confidence. Has plenty of upside and only needs some luck navigating from the sticky draw to be playing a major role in the finish again. TALONS (3) put it all together over this course and distance last time out and winning rider Fry stays on top. Must be included in calculations. LOOK AT ROSA (10) is a two-time winner here who is better than the last couple of efforts suggest. Gets in well at the weights with the claim and looks a strong top-three candidate on best figures. BLUEBIRD BAY (4) wasn't too far off them when having the first run for the new stable and will strip fitter second-up from the break. In the mix. The well-related SILVER CITY (5) (half to Listed winner Tribal Wisdom) best of the rest.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Second-up. Strong on debut won by a head at Muswellbrook Ctry Mdn-Sw January 13 over 7 ¼f on a soft track defeating Krystina Kerima with 128lbs at $2.35. Returned from break won by 0.5 len at this track Bm60 June 6 over 7f defeating Buffet Buster carrying 128lbs at $14. Sure to take some stopping again. 1st Pick 1 Blackthorn Jockey: Sean Cormack Trainer: Fred Wieland J: Sean Cormack T: Fred Wieland	160	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Second-up. Strong on debut won by a head at Muswellbrook Ctry Mdn-Sw January 13 over 7 ¼f on a soft track defeating Krystina Kerima with 128lbs at $2.35. Returned from break won by 0.5 len at this track Bm60 June 6 over 7f defeating Buffet Buster carrying 128lbs at $14. Sure to take some stopping again.
3	Last start came from midfield and won by 0.6 len at this track 0 - 55 June 16 over 7f defeating Colonel Parker with 132lbs at $6.50. The start before that ran second last of 8 at this track Cl3 on May 31 over 1m, 5 len behind Mordecai with 123lbs at $7.50. Big chance to go back-to-back. 2nd Pick 3 Talons Jockey: Ivo Fry Trainer: Graham Hughes J: Ivo Fry T: Graham Hughes	139	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Last start came from midfield and won by 0.6 len at this track 0 - 55 June 16 over 7f defeating Colonel Parker with 132lbs at $6.50. The start before that ran second last of 8 at this track Cl3 on May 31 over 1m, 5 len behind Mordecai with 123lbs at $7.50. Big chance to go back-to-back.
10	At the latest run ran last of 10 at this track 0 - 55 on June 16 over 7f, 6 len behind Talons carrying 123lbs at $17. The run before that 5th of 12 at this track Bm55 on June 6 over 6f, 3 len behind Tipped Off carrying 128lbs at $5. Hard to fault if at her best. 3rd Pick 10 Look At Rosa Jockey: Fiona Sandkuhl Trainer: Bonnie Thomson J: Fiona Sandkuhl T: Bonnie Thomson	122	-	-	-	5%	20/1
Analysis At the latest run ran last of 10 at this track 0 - 55 on June 16 over 7f, 6 len behind Talons carrying 123lbs at $17. The run before that 5th of 12 at this track Bm55 on June 6 over 6f, 3 len behind Tipped Off carrying 128lbs at $5. Hard to fault if at her best.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.