AU - Townsville - Race 3

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 5

14.8K

VIEW

Verdict

MIND OVER MATTER (1) grows a leg for rider Cormack who has three wins from as many steers and didn't put a hoof wrong when last in work. Boasts a win when first-up before and should be right there when the judge calls a halt. NOTTINGTON PRINCE (3) has won over this track and trip, draws the inside alley and gets 4lbs off with the claim. Ticks a few boxes for a race like this. DRAGON TALES (2) may have suffered from the dreaded second-up syndrome last time out but go on the strong win over this course and distance when resuming. Can bounce back. HOT COCOA (7) is lightly raced but has plenty of upside and may make her presence felt. GOLD CLASSIC (8) gets in well at the weights with the claim and may earn some minor money.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of three-and-a-half months. Finished off last campaign won by neck this track Cl3-Sw February 27 over 5f slow track defeating Materialist with 127lbs at $1.85. Previous preparation first-up favourite, to post a big 4.5 len win. This track Mdn January 6 over 5f slow track defeating Niven carrying 126lbs at $2.90. Expect he is primed for a big first-up performance. 1st Pick 1 Mind Over Matter Jockey: Sean Cormack Trainer: Terry Mcgovern J: Sean Cormack T: Terry Mcgovern	162	-	-	-	58%	8/11
Analysis Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of three-and-a-half months. Finished off last campaign won by neck this track Cl3-Sw February 27 over 5f slow track defeating Materialist with 127lbs at $1.85. Previous preparation first-up favourite, to post a big 4.5 len win. This track Mdn January 6 over 5f slow track defeating Niven carrying 126lbs at $2.90. Expect he is primed for a big first-up performance.
3	Last start 5th of 9 at this track 3yo Hcp on May 31 over 6 ½f, 2.5 len behind Toranaga with 131lbs at $6. The run before that 4th in a small field at Cairns 3yo Hcp on May 15 over 6 ¼f, on rain affected going, 4 len behind Betterlucknexttime carrying 132lbs at $6.50. Terrific chance to find winning form. 2nd Pick 3 Nottington Prince Jockey: Fiona Sandkuhl Trainer: Joanna Hassett J: Fiona Sandkuhl T: Joanna Hassett	189	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Last start 5th of 9 at this track 3yo Hcp on May 31 over 6 ½f, 2.5 len behind Toranaga with 131lbs at $6. The run before that 4th in a small field at Cairns 3yo Hcp on May 15 over 6 ¼f, on rain affected going, 4 len behind Betterlucknexttime carrying 132lbs at $6.50. Terrific chance to find winning form.
2	Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up won by a nose at this track 3yo Hcp May 8 over 5f on a rain affected track defeating Nottington Prince with 127lbs at $3. Second-up 7th of 10 at this track Bm60 on May 31 over 5f, 4 len behind Gee Eye Why carrying 133lbs at $6.50. One of the top-three chances. 3rd Pick 2 Dragon Tales Jockey: Aidan Holt Trainer: Georgina Holt J: Aidan Holt T: Georgina Holt	171	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up won by a nose at this track 3yo Hcp May 8 over 5f on a rain affected track defeating Nottington Prince with 127lbs at $3. Second-up 7th of 10 at this track Bm60 on May 31 over 5f, 4 len behind Gee Eye Why carrying 133lbs at $6.50. One of the top-three chances.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.