AU - Townsville - Race 3

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

15.4K

VIEW

Verdict

SMOKIN REELS (2) will find this a little easier than his 1.5 lengths defeat on debut over 6f at this track. Drawn close to the inside and has gate speed. Has been briefly freshened and is ready to win. ROCK ON ANGEL (8) switched from a NSW yard and was run over late well supported here off a 57-day break. Her Lismore placing prior stacks up and the 4lbs claim is handy. She's a player with the extra fitness. NIVEN (1) keeps Wiggins and can build on his distant placing in the same race. Maps to get every chance. MIDDLE CHILD (7) started at $4.80 in the same contest but was only fair to the line. Has to run out a strong 6f but a better effort is anticipated.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	At debut, held ground to the line 2nd of 11 at this track Mdn on December 13 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Better Breakout carrying 132lbs at $10. Better for the experience and can open his account. 1st Pick 2 Smokin Reels Jockey: Jackson Murphy Trainer: Rodney Miller J: Jackson Murphy T: Rodney Miller	142	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis At debut, held ground to the line 2nd of 11 at this track Mdn on December 13 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Better Breakout carrying 132lbs at $10. Better for the experience and can open his account.
8	Most recently failed to make an impression, 12th of 15 at this track Mdn on January 6 over 5f, slow going 8 len behind Mind Over Matter with 127lbs at $3.90. The race before that held ground to the line 3rd of 7 at Lismore Ctry Mdn on November 10 over 5 ½f, slow going 2 len behind Copenhagen Cat carrying 126lbs at $10. Better than the last effort suggests and deserves another chance. 2nd Pick 8 Rock On Angel Jockey: Fiona Sandkuhl Trainer: Georgina Holt J: Fiona Sandkuhl T: Georgina Holt	139	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Most recently failed to make an impression, 12th of 15 at this track Mdn on January 6 over 5f, slow going 8 len behind Mind Over Matter with 127lbs at $3.90. The race before that held ground to the line 3rd of 7 at Lismore Ctry Mdn on November 10 over 5 ½f, slow going 2 len behind Copenhagen Cat carrying 126lbs at $10. Better than the last effort suggests and deserves another chance.
1	Third-up today. Resuming 5th of 12 at Cairns Mdn-Sw on December 20 over 4 ¾f, slow going 1.3 len behind Adaj with 129lbs at $8.50. Last start ran on from midfield, 2nd of 15 at this track Mdn on January 6 over 5f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Mind Over Matter with 130lbs at $9.50. Improver to consider. 3rd Pick 1 Niven Jockey: Ryan Wiggins Trainer: Stephen Massingham J: Ryan Wiggins T: Stephen Massingham	124	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming 5th of 12 at Cairns Mdn-Sw on December 20 over 4 ¾f, slow going 1.3 len behind Adaj with 129lbs at $8.50. Last start ran on from midfield, 2nd of 15 at this track Mdn on January 6 over 5f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Mind Over Matter with 130lbs at $9.50. Improver to consider.

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Bug

An apprentice jockey.

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A male horse that is four years of age or under.

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A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.