AU - Townsville - Race 3

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 5

15.1K

VIEW

Verdict

AGED CARE (5) didn't measure up in the Townsville Cup last time out but the form prior was full of merit. Gets in well at the weights with the 4lbs claim and should find this assingment much more to his liking. Rates the testing material. NORTHERN PRIDE (1) is a six-time winner around this circuit who maps ideally for this from gate two. Looms as the main danger. OUTBACK ACTION (3) returned to the winners' stall over this track and trip at the latest effort and will have derived some confidence from that victory. Can go back-to-back without surprising. HELLISH (2) has two wins and a placing from four attempts over this course and distance and can make his presence felt. REAL KEY (4) will be rock-hard fit for this and may earn some minor money.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Most recently 14th of 16 in a Tvlle Cup at this track on August 8 over 1 ¼m, 17 len behind Leg Drive carrying 119lbs at $31. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a long-neck at this track on August 1 over 1m defeating Free Carry with 119lbs at $11. Prepared to forget last start, capable of turning things around. 1st Pick 5 Aged Care Jockey: Fiona Sandkuhl Trainer: Gary Dickson J: Fiona Sandkuhl T: Gary Dickson	145	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Most recently 14th of 16 in a Tvlle Cup at this track on August 8 over 1 ¼m, 17 len behind Leg Drive carrying 119lbs at $31. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a long-neck at this track on August 1 over 1m defeating Free Carry with 119lbs at $11. Prepared to forget last start, capable of turning things around.
1	At the latest run 4th of 7 in a Hcp at this track on August 18 over 6f, 0.7 len behind Outback Action with 139lbs at $10. The start before that 14th of 16 in a Cleveland Bay at this track on August 8 over 6 ½f, 7 len behind Tambo's Justice with 128lbs at $101. Tough to beat. 2nd Pick 1 Northern Pride Jockey: Samantha Pointon Trainer: Tom Button J: Samantha Pointon T: Tom Button	190	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis At the latest run 4th of 7 in a Hcp at this track on August 18 over 6f, 0.7 len behind Outback Action with 139lbs at $10. The start before that 14th of 16 in a Cleveland Bay at this track on August 8 over 6 ½f, 7 len behind Tambo's Justice with 128lbs at $101. Tough to beat.
3	At the latest run won by a head at this track on August 18 over 6f defeating Hellish with 127lbs at $7. The start before that 11th of 16 in a Cleveland Bay at this track on August 8 over 6 ½f, 5.5 len behind Tambo's Justice with 115lbs at $91. Rates highly on best form. 3rd Pick 3 Outback Action Jockey: Aidan Holt Trainer: Lachie Manzelmann J: Aidan Holt T: Lachie Manzelmann	138	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis At the latest run won by a head at this track on August 18 over 6f defeating Hellish with 127lbs at $7. The start before that 11th of 16 in a Cleveland Bay at this track on August 8 over 6 ½f, 5.5 len behind Tambo's Justice with 115lbs at $91. Rates highly on best form.

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