AU - Townsville - Race 3

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

15.0K

VIEW

Verdict

Tough race with the majority not really known for consistency. TIPPED OFF (2) doesn't win out of turn but has been going really well lately. Ran on hard to finish runner-up at Cairns then finished off strongly again last time there. Tricky gate but has a good record here and looks tough to stop. ZEMOREYA (7) has more upside than most and was off the mark with a maiden win here off a long spell. Will be even fitter and worth following up. AIRBORNE HOTDOG (1) was airborne leading up to last start but went more like a hotdog when he led and dropped right out at Cairns. Out of character and just missed here two back. Certainly worth another chance. LOOMING ONE (5) has a tricky gate but is close to a win and shapes as one of the key chances. FAKE (11) has drawn well and is sure to be thereabouts.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Recent form sound. At the latest run 3rd of 11 in a Cl3-Sw at Cairns on August 29 over 6 ¼f, 1.75 len behind Kirikan carrying 132lbs at $31. Before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 11 in a Bm55 at Cairns on August 22 over 4 ¾f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Latin Boss with 132lbs at $9. Going well and can go close despite the wide draw. 1st Pick 2 Tipped Off Jockey: Amy Graham Trainer: Alwyn Bailey J: Amy Graham T: Alwyn Bailey	151	-	-	-	3%	33/1
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run 3rd of 11 in a Cl3-Sw at Cairns on August 29 over 6 ¼f, 1.75 len behind Kirikan carrying 132lbs at $31. Before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 11 in a Bm55 at Cairns on August 22 over 4 ¾f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Latin Boss with 132lbs at $9. Going well and can go close despite the wide draw.
7	Second-up. First-up after five months won by 0.6 len in a Mdn-Sw at this track on August 30 over 5f on a rain affected track defeating Toi Toi with 129lbs at $5.50. Previously second-up 6th of 8 in a Mdn-Sw at Beaudesert on February 6 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Save The Roses with 127lbs at $4.40. Off the mark with a strong win fresh and can make it back-to-back wins. 2nd Pick 7 Zemoreya Jockey: Ben Kennedy Trainer: Tom Button J: Ben Kennedy T: Tom Button	157	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after five months won by 0.6 len in a Mdn-Sw at this track on August 30 over 5f on a rain affected track defeating Toi Toi with 129lbs at $5.50. Previously second-up 6th of 8 in a Mdn-Sw at Beaudesert on February 6 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Save The Roses with 127lbs at $4.40. Off the mark with a strong win fresh and can make it back-to-back wins.
1	Last start ran last of 11 in a Bm60 at Cairns on August 29 over 4 ¾f, 13 len behind Guac On carrying 129lbs at $7.50. The race before that held ground to the line 2nd of 15 in a Bm55 at this track on August 1 over 5f, 0.7 len behind She's Speedy carrying 133lbs at $12. Out of character last time and certainly worth another chance. 3rd Pick 1 Airborne Hotdog Jockey: Fiona Sandkuhl Trainer: Scott Cooper J: Fiona Sandkuhl T: Scott Cooper	121	-	-	-	8%	12/1
Analysis Last start ran last of 11 in a Bm60 at Cairns on August 29 over 4 ¾f, 13 len behind Guac On carrying 129lbs at $7.50. The race before that held ground to the line 2nd of 15 in a Bm55 at this track on August 1 over 5f, 0.7 len behind She's Speedy carrying 133lbs at $12. Out of character last time and certainly worth another chance.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.