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3:45 AM

AU - Townsville - Race 3

Thoroughbred
8 Runners
5f
OPEN
Turf
SOFT 5
14.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Competitive contest. It's hard to knock the form of ALMIGHTY JAB (6) who has put back-to-back wins together and is racing high on confidence of late. Gets in well at the weights with the 4lbs claim and should get a cosy run in transit from gate two. Goes on top. BLUE STRATUM (7) has placed two from two over this track and trip and will be cherry-ripe now fourth run back from the break. Can make his presence felt. RUSSIAN MINT (5) has only missed a drum once in six spins over this course and distance and rarely puts in a poor one. Has to be included in calculations. VALENKI (3) went down by a narrow margin here at the latest outing and may earn some minor money again. MIDAS STAR (8) goes well for hoop Teh who has three wins and a placing from just four steers. In the mix on best figures.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Almighty Jab silk

Last start won by 0.8 len at this track Bm70 June 16 over 5f defeating Corbusier with 137lbs at $5. The race before that ran on from midfield and won by a head at Cairns Bm70 May 29 over 4 ¾f on a rain affected track defeating New Hampshire with 132lbs at $12. Very smart and is a leading player again.

1st Pick
6

Almighty Jab

Jockey: Fiona Sandkuhl

Trainer: Stephen Massingham

J: Fiona Sandkuhl

T: Stephen Massingham

144---27%11/4

Analysis

Last start won by 0.8 len at this track Bm70 June 16 over 5f defeating Corbusier with 137lbs at $5. The race before that ran on from midfield and won by a head at Cairns Bm70 May 29 over 4 ¾f on a rain affected track defeating New Hampshire with 132lbs at $12. Very smart and is a leading player again.

7
Blue Stratum silk

At the latest run gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 11 at Mackay Hcp on June 11 over 5 ¼f, 0.5 len behind Red Hot Lizzie with 121lbs at $2.70. The race before that 2nd in a small field at this track Hcp on May 25 over 5f, nose behind Hellish with 117lbs at $1.70. Shapes as one of the key chances.

2nd Pick
7

Blue Stratum

Jockey: Sean Cormack

Trainer: Stephen Massingham

J: Sean Cormack

T: Stephen Massingham

182---31%9/4

Analysis

At the latest run gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 11 at Mackay Hcp on June 11 over 5 ¼f, 0.5 len behind Red Hot Lizzie with 121lbs at $2.70. The race before that 2nd in a small field at this track Hcp on May 25 over 5f, nose behind Hellish with 117lbs at $1.70. Shapes as one of the key chances.

5
Russian Mint silk

Most recently 4th of 11 at this track Bm70 on June 16 over 5f, 2 len behind Almighty Jab with 141lbs at $5.50. The run before that crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 4th of 13 at this track Hcp on May 8 over 7f, slow going 1.5 len behind Smart Legend carrying 125lbs at $4.80. Big chance to return to the winner's list.

3rd Pick
5

Russian Mint

Jockey: Ben Kennedy

Trainer: Tom Button

J: Ben Kennedy

T: Tom Button

135---20%4/1

Analysis

Most recently 4th of 11 at this track Bm70 on June 16 over 5f, 2 len behind Almighty Jab with 141lbs at $5.50. The run before that crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 4th of 13 at this track Hcp on May 8 over 7f, slow going 1.5 len behind Smart Legend carrying 125lbs at $4.80. Big chance to return to the winner's list.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.