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4:34 AM

AU - Townsville - Race 3

Thoroughbred
7 Runners
6f
OPEN
Turf
SOFT 5
14.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LEAN EAGLE (5) has a handy record over this track and trip with two wins and a second from four attempts and grows a leg for hoop Wiggins. Handles all going and strikes a very winnable contest here. Should prove very hard to toss against this line-up. RED HOT LIZZIE (3) placed around this circuit in richer company at the latest effort and is drawn to get all the favours from the inside alley. Can figure in the finish again. SPIRIT MEISTER (6) has remarkably hit the top-five in 23 of his past 24 starts and doesn't know how to put in a poor one. Has to be included in calculations. OUTBACK ACTION (4) is a four-time winner over this distance range and is more than capable enough on his day. In the mix. FISTSOFFURY (7) strips fitter third-up and may earn some minor money.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Lean Eagle silk

At the latest run 4th of 13 at this track on August 1 over 6 ½f, 2 len behind Tambo's Justice carrying 134lbs at $8.50. The race before that ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 9 at Cairns on July 23 over 6 ¼f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Spirit Meister carrying 127lbs at $4.20. Will prove very tough to beat.

1st Pick
5

Lean Eagle

Jockey: Ryan Wiggins

Trainer: Stephen Massingham

J: Ryan Wiggins

T: Stephen Massingham

198---29%5/2

Analysis

At the latest run 4th of 13 at this track on August 1 over 6 ½f, 2 len behind Tambo's Justice carrying 134lbs at $8.50. The race before that ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 9 at Cairns on July 23 over 6 ¼f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Spirit Meister carrying 127lbs at $4.20. Will prove very tough to beat.

3
Red Hot Lizzie silk

Last start took up a position near the tail 3rd of 16 at this track on August 8 over 6 ½f, 2 len behind Tambo's Justice with 120lbs at $14. The race before that 5th of 9 at Rockhampton on July 31 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Heartoni carrying 133lbs at $3.40. One of the chief contenders.

2nd Pick
3

Red Hot Lizzie

Jockey: Adam Sewell

Trainer: Lachie Manzelmann

J: Adam Sewell

T: Lachie Manzelmann

159---37%7/4

Analysis

Last start took up a position near the tail 3rd of 16 at this track on August 8 over 6 ½f, 2 len behind Tambo's Justice with 120lbs at $14. The race before that 5th of 9 at Rockhampton on July 31 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Heartoni carrying 133lbs at $3.40. One of the chief contenders.

6
Spirit Meister silk

At the latest run won by 1.0 len at Cairns on July 23 over 6 ¼f in soft going defeating Almighty Jab with 121lbs at $16. The start before that 2nd in a small field at Oak Park on July 3 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Rouge Moulin carrying 133lbs at $4.40. Big chance again.

3rd Pick
6

Spirit Meister

Jockey: Masayuki Abe

Trainer: Rodney Miller

J: Masayuki Abe

T: Rodney Miller

125---10%10/1

Analysis

At the latest run won by 1.0 len at Cairns on July 23 over 6 ¼f in soft going defeating Almighty Jab with 121lbs at $16. The start before that 2nd in a small field at Oak Park on July 3 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Rouge Moulin carrying 133lbs at $4.40. Big chance again.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.