AU - Townsville - Race 1

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

16.2K

VIEW

Verdict

AMBER AFFAIR (3) is unlucky to still be a maiden hitting the top-four at her past five outings and strikes a very winnable contest here. Placed over this track and trip last time out and maps ideally for this from gate two. Rates the testing material. HIGH SOBRIETY (5) has hit the frame at the past couple and looks to be building up to a maiden victory. Looms as the main danger. SHADYVALE AL (2) put in a career-best performance over this course and distance at the latest effort and should get all the favours from the inside marble. Top-three credentials in a race like this. FIGHTING EDGE (7) strips fitter second-up from the spell and may earn some minor money. OSCAR BOOIE (1) next in line with the claim.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	At the latest run 3rd of 11 at this track Mdn on March 31 over 6f, on a slow track, 3 len behind She's A Beauty carrying 119lbs at $3.40. The race before that 4th of 9 at this track Mdn on March 15 over 5f, on a slow track, neck behind Nottington Prince with 116lbs at $3.40. Ready to peak after three runs back and is a winning chance. 1st Pick 3 Amber Affair Jockey: Chris Whiteley Trainer: Rhein Sewell J: Chris Whiteley T: Rhein Sewell	176	-	-	-	48%	11/10
Analysis At the latest run 3rd of 11 at this track Mdn on March 31 over 6f, on a slow track, 3 len behind She's A Beauty carrying 119lbs at $3.40. The race before that 4th of 9 at this track Mdn on March 15 over 5f, on a slow track, neck behind Nottington Prince with 116lbs at $3.40. Ready to peak after three runs back and is a winning chance.
5	Comes here off a 46-day let-up. Most recently tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 8 at this track 3yo Mdn-Sw on February 27 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Airwaves with 123lbs at $6.50. The race before that 2nd of 7 at Home Hill 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on February 14 over 5f, slow going nose behind Miss Kiyoshi with 125lbs at $5. Looks tough to beat in this line-up. 2nd Pick 5 High Sobriety Jockey: Adam Sewell Trainer: Michael Geaney J: Adam Sewell T: Michael Geaney	119	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Comes here off a 46-day let-up. Most recently tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 8 at this track 3yo Mdn-Sw on February 27 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Airwaves with 123lbs at $6.50. The race before that 2nd of 7 at Home Hill 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on February 14 over 5f, slow going nose behind Miss Kiyoshi with 125lbs at $5. Looks tough to beat in this line-up.
2	Most recently made ground from midfield, 2nd of 11 at this track Mdn on March 31 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind She's A Beauty carrying 123lbs at $21. The run before that 4th of 9 at this track Mdn on March 5 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Mr Sugar Daddy with 122lbs at $14. Top chance. 3rd Pick 2 Shadyvale Al Jockey: Ivo Fry Trainer: Melissa Bieri J: Ivo Fry T: Melissa Bieri	105	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Most recently made ground from midfield, 2nd of 11 at this track Mdn on March 31 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind She's A Beauty carrying 123lbs at $21. The run before that 4th of 9 at this track Mdn on March 5 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Mr Sugar Daddy with 122lbs at $14. Top chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.