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Resulted

AU - Toowoomba - Race 3

Thoroughbred
17 Runners
8.1f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
52.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

GALWAY FLYER (13) never looked likely resuming at Doomben but got going late and went better than the form guide reads. Is sure to have come on from that and will eat up the added trip. Maloney taking over is another bonus. Stablemate BLUEPINOT (1) is knocking on the door and looks the immediate danger, though he has to do it under the big weight. Doesn't need to improve much to land the winning blow. LUTON HOO (2) is a distance specialist and gets help at the weights with the 4lbs claimer engaged. Will be warming nicely. HELLO DOLLY DIVA (16) has built nicely into this prep and gets the chance to keep the ball rolling, though it will be interesting to see where she lands from the wide draw.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
13
Galway Flyer silk

Was only tenth when resuming at Doomben, but the margin was just three and a half lengths in Saturday company and he did make some ground from well back after a bump at the start. He had won at Doomben over 1 ¼m before the break, beating Watermelon as favourite. The 1m is new territory but he was savaging the line fresh and Maloney's booking is a big push.

1st Pick
13

Galway Flyer

Jockey: Ryan Maloney

Trainer: Chris Waller

J: Ryan Maloney

T: Chris Waller

127---29%

Analysis

Was only tenth when resuming at Doomben, but the margin was just three and a half lengths in Saturday company and he did make some ground from well back after a bump at the start. He had won at Doomben over 1 ¼m before the break, beating Watermelon as favourite. The 1m is new territory but he was savaging the line fresh and Maloney's booking is a big push.

1
Bluepinot silk

Went within a long neck of Liberty Park in a Benchmark 78 at Doomben last start after being sent out favourite, and that Saturday-company form reads well for this easier assignment. He had also been beaten only a neck in a Class 5 at Doomben, so the recent pattern is reliable. Distance is the query, but the form is strong.

2nd Pick
1

Bluepinot

Jockey: Jace Mcmurray

Trainer: Chris Waller

J: Jace Mcmurray

T: Chris Waller

153---29%

Analysis

Went within a long neck of Liberty Park in a Benchmark 78 at Doomben last start after being sent out favourite, and that Saturday-company form reads well for this easier assignment. He had also been beaten only a neck in a Class 5 at Doomben, so the recent pattern is reliable. Distance is the query, but the form is strong.

12
Dracena silk

Closed well from a slow start when fourth at Eagle Farm over 1m, beaten two and a half lengths by Social Outcast in Saturday company. She now drops back sharply in trip, which is supported by a solid 1m record, and this is easier than that latest assignment. Genuine place hope.

3rd Pick
12

Dracena

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Troy Pascoe

J: Non Runner

T: Troy Pascoe

86---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Closed well from a slow start when fourth at Eagle Farm over 1m, beaten two and a half lengths by Social Outcast in Saturday company. She now drops back sharply in trip, which is supported by a solid 1m record, and this is easier than that latest assignment. Genuine place hope.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.