AU - Taree - Race 8

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

18.8K

VIEW

Verdict

DIFENSIVO (6) progressive gelding who got off the mark at start five with a a tough on-speed win over 5f at Muswellbrook. Finds a winnable contest from the right gate. Go close. BETHSHEBA (11) back in grade on resumption with a gritty on-pace second over 5f at Port Macquarie. Returned a good set of figures on that occasion and looks to have returned well. Respect. BRAZEN BRANDO (13) improved sharply in the rain affected going with a commanding victory over 5f at Tuncurry. Gets weight relief and hard to ignore in his current form. Each way. SAPPHIRE KISS (3) improved sharply from the wide gate when she finished over the top of them to score a nose win over this track and trip. Similar set-up again and stays in the mix.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
6	Form hard to fault. Most recently favourite, won by 0.9 len at Muswellbrook Mdn-Sw January 13 over 5f in soft going defeating Are You Kidding with 127lbs at $2.15. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 8 at Gosford Cg&E Mdn-Sw on December 28 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Capture Me carrying 127lbs at $8.50. In strong yard and worth following up. 1st Pick 6 Difensivo Jockey: Aaron Bullock Trainer: Nacim Dilmi J: Aaron Bullock T: Nacim Dilmi	181	-	-	-	63%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently favourite, won by 0.9 len at Muswellbrook Mdn-Sw January 13 over 5f in soft going defeating Are You Kidding with 127lbs at $2.15. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 8 at Gosford Cg&E Mdn-Sw on December 28 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Capture Me carrying 127lbs at $8.50. In strong yard and worth following up.
11	Second run back. First-up after five months set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 7 at Port Macquarie Bm58 on January 6 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Better Late carrying 126lbs at $31. Previously second-up second last in a small field at Kembla Grange Mid Cl1 on April 19 over 5f, 3.5 len behind Quartz Legend carrying 122lbs at $18. Strips fitter and sure to be thereabouts. 2nd Pick 11 Bethsheba Jockey: Andrew Gibbons Trainer: Nikki Hodgson J: Andrew Gibbons T: Nikki Hodgson	82	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after five months set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 7 at Port Macquarie Bm58 on January 6 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Better Late carrying 126lbs at $31. Previously second-up second last in a small field at Kembla Grange Mid Cl1 on April 19 over 5f, 3.5 len behind Quartz Legend carrying 122lbs at $18. Strips fitter and sure to be thereabouts.
13	At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2.5 len at Tuncurry Bm50 January 17 over 5f on a heavy track defeating I'm Opinionated with 126lbs at $4.40. The start before that ran last of 8 at Port Macquarie Bm50 on January 1 over 5 ½f, 6 len behind Steely Girl with 132lbs at $8. Big chance to go back-to-back. 3rd Pick 13 Brazen Brando Jockey: Emily Farr Trainer: B M Lazzarini J: Emily Farr T: B M Lazzarini	138	-	-	-	10%
Analysis At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2.5 len at Tuncurry Bm50 January 17 over 5f on a heavy track defeating I'm Opinionated with 126lbs at $4.40. The start before that ran last of 8 at Port Macquarie Bm50 on January 1 over 5 ½f, 6 len behind Steely Girl with 132lbs at $8. Big chance to go back-to-back.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.