AU - Taree - Race 4

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

6.2f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

18.8K

VIEW

Verdict

Strong Maiden with plenty of chances. SMASHING NOVA (5) improving with racing and should get the right tempo to finish over the top of these. Covered ground from the outside gate with a fighting second over 6 ¼f at this track. A repeat performance can see him secure his first win. PARFUMIER (10) resumes and having her first run for the Darren Treacy yard. Struggled in her last three runs on the provincial circuit and back without a trial. Lugging bit comes off and has sprinted well fresh in the past. Well placed in this company. RUBINSKY (7) handy mare who stretches out to this trip for the first time. Sat on the fast tempo when showing a ton of grit to run second over 5 ½f at Armidale. Can measure up again from the good gate. KIRKALL (4) resumed in a fairly strong Maiden with a plugging fifth over 6 ?f at Muswellbrook. Tackles an easier contest and stays in the mix.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	Racing well recently. At the latest run sat on the pace when 2nd of 10 at this track Mdn-Sw on January 12 over 6 ¼f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Damons On A Bender carrying 127lbs at $4. The run before that held ground to the line 2nd of 10 at this track Mdn-Sw on December 23 over 6 ½f, head behind Dark Justice carrying 127lbs at $7.50. Should be nice and fit fourth up and can get the win here. 1st Pick 5 Smashing Nova Jockey: Aaron Bullock Trainer: Kris Lees J: Aaron Bullock T: Kris Lees	206	-	-	-	42%
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run sat on the pace when 2nd of 10 at this track Mdn-Sw on January 12 over 6 ¼f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Damons On A Bender carrying 127lbs at $4. The run before that held ground to the line 2nd of 10 at this track Mdn-Sw on December 23 over 6 ½f, head behind Dark Justice carrying 127lbs at $7.50. Should be nice and fit fourth up and can get the win here.
10	Filly back from a spell of three-and-a-half months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last campaign sixth of 11 at Kembla Grange F&M Mdn October 13 over 7 ½f, 2.5 len behind Luna Bay carrying 120lbs at $51. First up last campaign second in a small field at Newcastle 3yo Mdn August 23 over 6 ¼f, on rain affected going, 3.5 len behind Zoufield carrying 123lbs at $7.50. Returns without a trial and can sprint well fresh. 2nd Pick 10 Parfumier Jockey: Kacie Adams Trainer: Darren Treacy J: Kacie Adams T: Darren Treacy	102	-	-	-	8%
Analysis Filly back from a spell of three-and-a-half months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last campaign sixth of 11 at Kembla Grange F&M Mdn October 13 over 7 ½f, 2.5 len behind Luna Bay carrying 120lbs at $51. First up last campaign second in a small field at Newcastle 3yo Mdn August 23 over 6 ¼f, on rain affected going, 3.5 len behind Zoufield carrying 123lbs at $7.50. Returns without a trial and can sprint well fresh.
7	Third-up today. Resuming 2nd in a small field at Kempsey Mdn-Sw on December 15 over 5f, slow going 0.5 len behind Zouking carrying 126lbs at $13. Second-up gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 9 at Armidale Mdn-Sw on January 5 over 5 ½f, 0.8 len behind Corvette Pride carrying 126lbs at $2.40. Rates highly. In form and is a leading hope from the good gate. 3rd Pick 7 Rubinsky Jockey: Lee Magorrian Trainer: Jake Hull J: Lee Magorrian T: Jake Hull	124	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming 2nd in a small field at Kempsey Mdn-Sw on December 15 over 5f, slow going 0.5 len behind Zouking carrying 126lbs at $13. Second-up gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 9 at Armidale Mdn-Sw on January 5 over 5 ½f, 0.8 len behind Corvette Pride carrying 126lbs at $2.40. Rates highly. In form and is a leading hope from the good gate.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.