AU - Taree - Race 4

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Class 2

Turf

GOOD 4

17.7K

VIEW

Verdict

BROWN SUGAR (5) just missed in a Wyong trial and then was too good for the Kembla Grange Maidens on debut. She will have taken fitness and learning, and back to country grade can repeat the dose. ETOILE FILANTE (2) switched from a top Victorian stable to Kris Lees and will be better for his two runs in the region. He wasn't far away at Port Macquarie last time, and has plenty up his sleeve. Maps well, and Bullock's engagement is a push. MAGNOLIA JEWEL (7) beat the above home at Port, leading all the way. Keeps improving and has a low gate. She'll be tough to peg back. CRAZY MIKKI (9) peaks and is busting to win. Has been kept on the fresh side and can use the inside barrier. In the mix.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	Claiming her maiden victory on debut, won by 0.8 len at Kembla Grange Mid Mdn-Sw November 15 over 5f defeating Doralee with 119lbs at $10. Improvement to come and can go on with it. 1st Pick 5 Brown Sugar Jockey: Ashley Morgan Trainer: Adam Duggan J: Ashley Morgan T: Adam Duggan	201	-	-	-	58%
Analysis Claiming her maiden victory on debut, won by 0.8 len at Kembla Grange Mid Mdn-Sw November 15 over 5f defeating Doralee with 119lbs at $10. Improvement to come and can go on with it.
2	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 8th of 10 at Newcastle Prov Bm64 on October 18 over 4 ½f, slow going 4.5 len behind Shambretta with 126lbs at $8. Last start 6th of 9 at Port Macquarie Cl1 on November 13 over 5 ½f, 2.5 len behind Magnolia Jewel with 134lbs at $10. Key runner who is expected to go close. 2nd Pick 2 Etoile Filante Jockey: Aaron Bullock Trainer: Kris Lees J: Aaron Bullock T: Kris Lees	143	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 8th of 10 at Newcastle Prov Bm64 on October 18 over 4 ½f, slow going 4.5 len behind Shambretta with 126lbs at $8. Last start 6th of 9 at Port Macquarie Cl1 on November 13 over 5 ½f, 2.5 len behind Magnolia Jewel with 134lbs at $10. Key runner who is expected to go close.
7	Recent form sound. Last start won by a neck at Port Macquarie Cl1 November 13 over 5 ½f defeating Shotgun Bella carrying 118lbs at $10. The start before that rolled along in front before being edged out 3rd of 8 at Muswellbrook Cl1 on November 2 over 5f, slow going 1.3 len behind Straight Sets carrying 121lbs at $12. Chance to go back-to-back. 3rd Pick 7 Magnolia Jewel Jockey: Jett Newman Trainer: Tracey Bartley J: Jett Newman T: Tracey Bartley	139	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start won by a neck at Port Macquarie Cl1 November 13 over 5 ½f defeating Shotgun Bella carrying 118lbs at $10. The start before that rolled along in front before being edged out 3rd of 8 at Muswellbrook Cl1 on November 2 over 5f, slow going 1.3 len behind Straight Sets carrying 121lbs at $12. Chance to go back-to-back.

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