AU - Tamworth - Race 3

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

28.6K

VIEW

Verdict

FORTHEO (2) fourth-up for this and a win looks imminent. Stalked the speed and kept finding with a courageous second over 7 ¼f at Muswellbrook. Gets the right set-up and no excuses today. HOT CHOCKS (6) back for his second prep when slow into stride for a disappointing sixth over 5 ½f at Scone as the ($1.40 fav). Should appreciate the extra ground and Reece Jones sticks. FLEE WITH ME (9) ran a much better race from back in the field to secure third over 6 ?f at Orange in a Super Maiden. On the quick back-up and has each way claims. FINED FOR SPEEDING (1) set to peak fourth-up from the inside draw. Strong through the line with a game fourth over 6 ?f at Muswellbrook. Gets his chance over this trip.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Form hard to fault. At the latest run made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Muswellbrook Mdn-Sw on April 6 over 7 ¼f, on a slow track, 0.7 len behind Think Back carrying 130lbs at $5. Before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Scone Mdn-Sw on March 20 over 6f, slow going 4 len behind Oakfield Alaska carrying 130lbs at $41. Deep into the prep and no excuses here. 1st Pick 2 Fortheo Jockey: Shannen Llewellyn Trainer: Wayne Wilkes J: Shannen Llewellyn T: Wayne Wilkes	168	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Muswellbrook Mdn-Sw on April 6 over 7 ¼f, on a slow track, 0.7 len behind Think Back carrying 130lbs at $5. Before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Scone Mdn-Sw on March 20 over 6f, slow going 4 len behind Oakfield Alaska carrying 130lbs at $41. Deep into the prep and no excuses here.
11	Third race start today. At long odds at debut, 6th of 8 at Hawkesbury F&M Mdn on March 26 over 5 ½f, slow going 2.5 len behind Ascot Green with 129lbs at $31. Last start ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 10 at Newcastle F&M Mdn-Sw on April 11 over 6 ¼f, 1.75 len behind Bang On Time carrying 127lbs at $51. Rates highly and look for her late over this trip. 2nd Pick 11 Street Force Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Scott Singleton J: Non Runner T: Scott Singleton	141	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Third race start today. At long odds at debut, 6th of 8 at Hawkesbury F&M Mdn on March 26 over 5 ½f, slow going 2.5 len behind Ascot Green with 129lbs at $31. Last start ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 10 at Newcastle F&M Mdn-Sw on April 11 over 6 ¼f, 1.75 len behind Bang On Time carrying 127lbs at $51. Rates highly and look for her late over this trip.
9	At the latest run 3rd of 9 at Orange Super Mdn on April 17 over 6f, 1.5 len behind The Magnet with 117lbs at $31. The start before that from last on the turn 7th of 12 at Dubbo Ctry Mdn-Sw on March 15 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Narmer with 126lbs at $21. Capable of a big finish and gets weight relief again. 3rd Pick 9 Flee With Me Jockey: Jacob Stiff Trainer: Jane Clement J: Jacob Stiff T: Jane Clement	151	-	-	-	9%
Analysis At the latest run 3rd of 9 at Orange Super Mdn on April 17 over 6f, 1.5 len behind The Magnet with 117lbs at $31. The start before that from last on the turn 7th of 12 at Dubbo Ctry Mdn-Sw on March 15 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Narmer with 126lbs at $21. Capable of a big finish and gets weight relief again.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.