AU - Tamworth - Race 2

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

10.4f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

19.3K

VIEW

Verdict

AURORA EFFECT (7) gets back in the running, and has always been hitting the line strongly late. She had no luck at Gunnedah last start, and if the gaps come at the right time here, then she can have the last say. COTO DE CAZA (2) will find this much easier than any of his 4 starts this prep, and a form reversal is on the cards. Each way. CALZINO (6) has a sharp sprint when saved up, and he is in good form at the moment. Keep him safe. BONFIDELITY (4) will have Clayton Gallagher replacing an apprentice with a drop in class here, and she is worth including in all top 4 combos in an even contest.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Form hard to fault. At the latest run ran on from midfield and won by 1.75 len at Scone on August 17 over 1 ¹/16m on a soft track defeating Feazabeel carrying 133lbs at $3.20. The run before that won by 0.7 len at Muswellbrook on August 9 over 7 ½f defeating Linda's Princess with 130lbs at $2.50. Going well and is one of the leading chances. 1st Pick 3 Magic Merlin Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Brett & Georgie Cavanough J: Non Runner T: Brett & Georgie Cavanough	148	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run ran on from midfield and won by 1.75 len at Scone on August 17 over 1 ¹/16m on a soft track defeating Feazabeel carrying 133lbs at $3.20. The run before that won by 0.7 len at Muswellbrook on August 9 over 7 ½f defeating Linda's Princess with 130lbs at $2.50. Going well and is one of the leading chances.
7	At the latest run 9th of 12 in a Cl1-Sw at Gunnedah on August 14 over 1m, slow going 4 len behind Risk Assessment with 126lbs at $3.40. The run before that 8th of 10 in a Cl1-Sw at Scone on July 31 over 1m, 7 len behind Valedor with 122lbs at $11. Expect improvement today. Capable of a better showing. 2nd Pick 7 Aurora Effect Jockey: Ben Looker Trainer: Stirling Osland J: Ben Looker T: Stirling Osland	125	-	-	-	23%
Analysis At the latest run 9th of 12 in a Cl1-Sw at Gunnedah on August 14 over 1m, slow going 4 len behind Risk Assessment with 126lbs at $3.40. The run before that 8th of 10 in a Cl1-Sw at Scone on July 31 over 1m, 7 len behind Valedor with 122lbs at $11. Expect improvement today. Capable of a better showing.
2	Comes off a 31 day let-up. At the latest run sat behind the speed prior to fading ran second last of 11 in a H'way Cl3sw at Randwick on July 25 over 1m, on a slow track, 8 len behind Leovanni with 123lbs at $151. The start before that ran second last of 9 in a Bm72 at Canterbury on June 17 over 1 ³/16m, slow going 7 len behind Think I Will with 120lbs at $101. Prepared to include at this level. 3rd Pick 2 Coto De Caza Jockey: Gabrielle Johnston Trainer: Todd Howlett J: Gabrielle Johnston T: Todd Howlett	95	-	-	-	7%
Analysis Comes off a 31 day let-up. At the latest run sat behind the speed prior to fading ran second last of 11 in a H'way Cl3sw at Randwick on July 25 over 1m, on a slow track, 8 len behind Leovanni with 123lbs at $151. The start before that ran second last of 9 in a Bm72 at Canterbury on June 17 over 1 ³/16m, slow going 7 len behind Think I Will with 120lbs at $101. Prepared to include at this level.

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The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

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