AU - Sunshine Coast - Race 8

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

19.5K

VIEW

Verdict

A tough race to end the program. SUNDAY GEORGIE (11) resumes for Declan Maher and has switched from his brother's yard in Victoria. Didn't come up last campaign in stronger than this, but showed plenty the one before. That form would win this and he has two trials under the saddle. MELTDOWN (6) was only beaten 2.5L at Eagle Farm first-up in a CL1 and then didn't have much luck at the Gold Coast. Goes well this course/distance and delivered his sole third-up outing. The gate is awkward but he rates to be right in it. BRUTAL BOWLER (2) has the ability and has also been racing in stronger. Will present at peak fitness and should be ready to fire. OVAL OFFICE (8) led first-up and was just nudged out in a CL1 at Ballina. Tacked a CL2 there following and was crowded on jumping. Presents fitter and will position forward from a low barrier. Could surprise. HEY CHARDONNAY (15) will be better for the first-up outing. Needs a good ride but is worth considering.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
11	Mare returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last campaign when last of 7 at Ballarat Synthetic F&M Bm64 June 27 over 7f, 15 len behind Claymore Mine with 128lbs at $7.50. First up last campaign third of 11 at Sale Bm58 March 30 over 7f, soft track, 2 len behind Midnight Glow carrying 132lbs at $13. Has the ability and the betting will be key. 1st Pick 11 Sunday Georgie Jockey: Boris Thornton Trainer: Declan Maher J: Boris Thornton T: Declan Maher	95	-	-	-	5%	20/1
Analysis Mare returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last campaign when last of 7 at Ballarat Synthetic F&M Bm64 June 27 over 7f, 15 len behind Claymore Mine with 128lbs at $7.50. First up last campaign third of 11 at Sale Bm58 March 30 over 7f, soft track, 2 len behind Midnight Glow carrying 132lbs at $13. Has the ability and the betting will be key.
6	Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 5th of 11 at Eagle Farm Cl1 on January 7 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Meldubious carrying 126lbs at $14. Second-up 10th of 12 at Gold Coast Cl1-Sw on January 23 over 7f, 6 len behind Vorkuta with 132lbs at $11. Rates highly on his best form. 2nd Pick 6 Meltdown Jockey: Jag Guthmann-Chester Trainer: Matthew Hoysted J: Jag Guthmann-Chester T: Matthew Hoysted	141	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 5th of 11 at Eagle Farm Cl1 on January 7 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Meldubious carrying 126lbs at $14. Second-up 10th of 12 at Gold Coast Cl1-Sw on January 23 over 7f, 6 len behind Vorkuta with 132lbs at $11. Rates highly on his best form.
2	At the latest run settled back and ran on when 7th of 14 at Doomben Cl1 on January 14 over 6 ¾f, 3.5 len behind Chief In Charge carrying 129lbs at $26. The race before that 4th of 10 at this track Cg&E Cl1 on December 20 over 6f, 2.75 len behind The Bear with 129lbs at $12. Rates highly. Should be at his top now and can play a major role. 3rd Pick 2 Brutal Bowler Jockey: Daniel Moor Trainer: Kris Lees J: Daniel Moor T: Kris Lees	178	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis At the latest run settled back and ran on when 7th of 14 at Doomben Cl1 on January 14 over 6 ¾f, 3.5 len behind Chief In Charge carrying 129lbs at $26. The race before that 4th of 10 at this track Cg&E Cl1 on December 20 over 6f, 2.75 len behind The Bear with 129lbs at $12. Rates highly. Should be at his top now and can play a major role.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.