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4:15 AM

AU - Sunshine Coast - Race 3

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
7f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 5
20.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

TIVACIOUS (4) sets the standard off a solid debut fourth at Eagle Farm on heavy ground, where he was doing his best work late after being hampered at the start and settling back. Rodd sticking adds to the case second-up. MARTINDALE KID (2) resumes after being beaten a stretch on debut at this track when near the top of betting, in what has proven a terrific form reference. A recent trial and the 3lbs claim give him a platform to return better. Debutant HOT'N'SMART (5) has won two 5f trials and has Ben Thompson aboard for David Vandyke. Enough to like there, and it'll pay to watch for the market thinks. SYMMETRIQUE (3) strips fitter and is improving. Keeping safe for a minor spot.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Tivacious silk

Made a promising debut at Eagle Farm, finishing fourth over 6f on heavy ground and beaten just under three lengths by Budda Bar after being hampered at the start. He was among the outsiders there, so the effort reads well, and he is rated the strongest exposed profile in the field. New to 7f, but brings the best exposed form.

1st Pick
4

Tivacious

Jockey: Michael Rodd

Trainer: James Healy

J: Michael Rodd

T: James Healy

238---43%11/8

Analysis

Made a promising debut at Eagle Farm, finishing fourth over 6f on heavy ground and beaten just under three lengths by Budda Bar after being hampered at the start. He was among the outsiders there, so the effort reads well, and he is rated the strongest exposed profile in the field. New to 7f, but brings the best exposed form.

2
Martindale Kid silk

Returns from a six-month spell after a debut fourth at this track over 6f on soft ground, when near the top of betting but beaten over 12 lengths by Moshulu Spirit. He failed to finish it off after travelling into the race, so the new 7f trip is the main query. Recent trial and 3lbs claim keep him firmly in the mix.

2nd Pick
2

Martindale Kid

Jockey: Corey Sutherland

Trainer: Paul Jenkins

J: Corey Sutherland

T: Paul Jenkins

46---19%9/2

Analysis

Returns from a six-month spell after a debut fourth at this track over 6f on soft ground, when near the top of betting but beaten over 12 lengths by Moshulu Spirit. He failed to finish it off after travelling into the race, so the new 7f trip is the main query. Recent trial and 3lbs claim keep him firmly in the mix.

5
Hot'n'smart silk

Debuts with a solid grounding, having won a 5f trial at Sunshine Coast Inner Track after earlier trial wins and placings. He is a $130,000 yearling purchase for David Vandyke, and Ben Thompson is a strong booking as the top-ranked jockey for wins at this track. Wide draw is the hurdle, but the profile is strong.

3rd Pick
5

Hot'n'smart

Jockey: Ben Thompson

Trainer: David Vandyke

J: Ben Thompson

T: David Vandyke

90---27%11/4

Analysis

Debuts with a solid grounding, having won a 5f trial at Sunshine Coast Inner Track after earlier trial wins and placings. He is a $130,000 yearling purchase for David Vandyke, and Ben Thompson is a strong booking as the top-ranked jockey for wins at this track. Wide draw is the hurdle, but the profile is strong.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.