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4:05 AM

AU - Sunshine Coast - Race 3

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
8.9f
Class 2
Turf
GOOD 4
19.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

It's hard to knock the form of OLD FAITHFUL (1) who has two wins and two placings from his past four outings and may have turned the corner now. Boasts a win around this circuit and winning rider Guthmann-Chester sticks in the irons. Can continue the purple patch. GOLDEN SMILE (2) is a consistent conveyance who has hit the top-five in ten of her past 11 starts and rarely puts in a poor one. Include in calculations. EMPRESS ASPEN (3) has placed over this track and trip and gets some weight off with Youngberry's claim. Top-three aspirations. SHRIMPTON (7) broke the maiden status in dominant fashion at the latest outing and will have taken some confidence from that victory. Can go back-to-back. SHEDRIVESABENTLEY (6) is a last-start winner who shouldn't be slept on.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Old Faithful silk

At the latest run sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 8 in a Bm60 at this track on September 11 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.1 len behind Shape Of Water with 133lbs at $3.60. The race before that favourite, scored a big 3.5 len win in a 0 - 58 at Ipswich on August 7 over 1 5/16m on a soft track defeating Papal Miss with 131lbs at $2.30. Right in this contest.

1st Pick
1

Old Faithful

Jockey: Jag Guthmann-Chester

Trainer: Stuart Kendrick

J: Jag Guthmann-Chester

T: Stuart Kendrick

142---27%11/4

Analysis

At the latest run sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 8 in a Bm60 at this track on September 11 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.1 len behind Shape Of Water with 133lbs at $3.60. The race before that favourite, scored a big 3.5 len win in a 0 - 58 at Ipswich on August 7 over 1 5/16m on a soft track defeating Papal Miss with 131lbs at $2.30. Right in this contest.

2
Golden Smile silk

Comes here off a 36-day let-up. Last start 4th of 9 in a Bm62 at Gold Coast Poly on August 15 over 1 ¼m, 2.5 len behind Brain Wave with 131lbs at $7. The race before that faded in the straight 5th of 8 in a Bm68 at Gold Coast on July 25 over 1m, slow going 6 len behind Sarah's Sonnets with 126lbs at $3.30. One of the better chances.

2nd Pick
2

Golden Smile

Jockey: Daniel Moor

Trainer: Kris Lees

J: Daniel Moor

T: Kris Lees

118---16%11/2

Analysis

Comes here off a 36-day let-up. Last start 4th of 9 in a Bm62 at Gold Coast Poly on August 15 over 1 ¼m, 2.5 len behind Brain Wave with 131lbs at $7. The race before that faded in the straight 5th of 8 in a Bm68 at Gold Coast on July 25 over 1m, slow going 6 len behind Sarah's Sonnets with 126lbs at $3.30. One of the better chances.

3
Empress Aspen silk

Most recently 7th of 9 in a Cl2 at Ipswich on August 27 over 1 ³/16m, slow going 8 len behind Rosso Levanto with 120lbs at $8. The start before that 2nd in a small field in a Cl3 at Toowoomba on August 22 over 1 5/16m, 0.7 len behind Cigar Man carrying 129lbs at $1.80. Better than that latest effort and can improve sharply.

3rd Pick
3

Empress Aspen

Jockey: Bella Youngberry

Trainer: Corey & Kylie Geran

J: Bella Youngberry

T: Corey & Kylie Geran

199---14%13/2

Analysis

Most recently 7th of 9 in a Cl2 at Ipswich on August 27 over 1 ³/16m, slow going 8 len behind Rosso Levanto with 120lbs at $8. The start before that 2nd in a small field in a Cl3 at Toowoomba on August 22 over 1 5/16m, 0.7 len behind Cigar Man carrying 129lbs at $1.80. Better than that latest effort and can improve sharply.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.