AU - Sunshine Coast - Race 3

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

20.9K

VIEW

Verdict

KUIA MA (2) did some early work after a poor jump then found plenty in the latter stages to hang on for second when resuming over this distance at Ipswich last start. Kept fresh since that return a month ago. Brings better form here than the key rivals and looks a great chance to go one better. RED MOON RISING (9) hasn't fired since a placing on debut here last November. Steps up in distance today and can improve without surprising in a race that lacks depth. HURKLE DURKLE (4) went close two back over this distance at Kilcoy then knocked up badly at the end of 5 ½f at Toowoomba most recently. Tongue tie goes on which may explain that last failure. Can improve back up to her preferred trip. EVERYREADY BUNNY (12) returns from a 12-month spell in a new stable. No trial form to assist but it is worth noting the blinkers go on for the first time. Betting watch advised. INDAMOUSE (1) can do better back in trip off a five-week let-up.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Second run back. First-up after six months held ground to the line 2nd of 11 at Ipswich Mdn on June 25 over 6f, slow going 0.8 len behind La Profecia with 130lbs at $9. Previously second-up 4th of 9 at this track 3yo C&G Mdn on December 14 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Camelight with 131lbs at $14. No luck again with the barrier draw but with that run under the belt he looks the testing material. 1st Pick 2 Kuia Ma Jockey: Jake Bayliss Trainer: Jamie Bayliss J: Jake Bayliss T: Jamie Bayliss	120	-	-	-	35%	15/8
Analysis Second run back. First-up after six months held ground to the line 2nd of 11 at Ipswich Mdn on June 25 over 6f, slow going 0.8 len behind La Profecia with 130lbs at $9. Previously second-up 4th of 9 at this track 3yo C&G Mdn on December 14 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Camelight with 131lbs at $14. No luck again with the barrier draw but with that run under the belt he looks the testing material.
9	Most recently 7th of 9 at Gold Coast 3yo Mdn-Sw on July 4 over 5f, 5.5 len behind Starlightning carrying 123lbs at $31. The race before that 4th of 10 at Ipswich 3yo Mdn on June 4 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Racketeer with 123lbs at $26. Not a great draw again but should fare a lot better in this suitable contest. 2nd Pick 9 Red Moon Rising Jockey: Unknown Jockey Trainer: Chris Anderson J: Unknown Jockey T: Chris Anderson	79	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Most recently 7th of 9 at Gold Coast 3yo Mdn-Sw on July 4 over 5f, 5.5 len behind Starlightning carrying 123lbs at $31. The race before that 4th of 10 at Ipswich 3yo Mdn on June 4 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Racketeer with 123lbs at $26. Not a great draw again but should fare a lot better in this suitable contest.
4	At the latest run raced on the pace before fading ran last of 11 at Toowoomba 3yo Mdn on July 3 over 5 ½f, 8 len behind Tassortium carrying 128lbs at $13. The race before that tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 9 at Kilcoy 2&3yo F Mdn-Sw on June 20 over 6f, slow going 0.6 len behind Enchaanted with 125lbs at $5. Best form stacks up so deserves another chance. 3rd Pick 4 Hurkle Durkle Jockey: Emily Lang Trainer: Tony Gollan J: Emily Lang T: Tony Gollan	152	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis At the latest run raced on the pace before fading ran last of 11 at Toowoomba 3yo Mdn on July 3 over 5 ½f, 8 len behind Tassortium carrying 128lbs at $13. The race before that tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 9 at Kilcoy 2&3yo F Mdn-Sw on June 20 over 6f, slow going 0.6 len behind Enchaanted with 125lbs at $5. Best form stacks up so deserves another chance.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.