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5:24 AM

AU - Sunshine Coast - Race 5

Thoroughbred
15 Runners
10.9f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
20.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SOUTHBY (4) has been plying his trade in Saturday metro grade of late and will find this assignment much more to his liking. Has a win and two seconds from four attempts over this staying journey and gets Rodd on top to navigate from the sticky draw. Will prove very hard to toss.TEWKESBURY (2) made up some steady ground when resuming last time out and will appreciate the extra trip here. Right in this contest. CIGAR MAN (1) got the job done at Toowoomba at the latest outing and winning rider Keeley retains the mount. Top-three candidate on that form. LORD PROTECTOR (9) has a win and a second from two spins around this circuit and may make his presence felt. TRIPLE TIME (5) is a last-start winner who shouldn't be underestimated.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Southby silk

Last start 6th of 9 in a Bm80 at Doomben on August 22 over 1m, 8 len behind Diamond Show with 115lbs at $7.50. The run before that 4th of 11 in a Bm78 at Eagle Farm on August 8 over 1 ½m, 0.9 len behind Chillaxing with 116lbs at $4.80. Hard to beat on his best form.

1st Pick
4

Southby

Jockey: Michael Rodd

Trainer: Tony Georgieff

J: Michael Rodd

T: Tony Georgieff

160---29%5/2

Analysis

Last start 6th of 9 in a Bm80 at Doomben on August 22 over 1m, 8 len behind Diamond Show with 115lbs at $7.50. The run before that 4th of 11 in a Bm78 at Eagle Farm on August 8 over 1 ½m, 0.9 len behind Chillaxing with 116lbs at $4.80. Hard to beat on his best form.

2
Tewkesbury silk

Second-up. First-up after four months 5th of 10 in a Bm65 at Ipswich on August 14 over 1 m, 3.5 len behind Divil A Bit carrying 127lbs at $17. Previously second-up 4th of 8 in a Bm64 at Bendigo on April 24 2025 over 1m, 1.0 len behind Itsukushima with 132lbs at $18. Looks hard to beat in this line up.

2nd Pick
2

Tewkesbury

Jockey: Mitch Goring

Trainer: Emma Fouchard

J: Mitch Goring

T: Emma Fouchard

122---6%18/1

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after four months 5th of 10 in a Bm65 at Ipswich on August 14 over 1 m, 3.5 len behind Divil A Bit carrying 127lbs at $17. Previously second-up 4th of 8 in a Bm64 at Bendigo on April 24 2025 over 1m, 1.0 len behind Itsukushima with 132lbs at $18. Looks hard to beat in this line up.

1
Cigar Man silk

At the latest run raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.7 len at Toowoomba on August 22 over 1 5/16m defeating Empress Aspen with 132lbs at $3.60. Before that failed to make an impression, ran last of 8 in a Bm62 at this track on August 9 over 1m, 6 len behind Lord Protector with 131lbs at $6.50. Likely to feature.

3rd Pick
1

Cigar Man

Jockey: Aidan Keeley

Trainer: Annabel & Rob Archibald

J: Aidan Keeley

T: Annabel & Rob Archibald

117---4%25/1

Analysis

At the latest run raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.7 len at Toowoomba on August 22 over 1 5/16m defeating Empress Aspen with 132lbs at $3.60. Before that failed to make an impression, ran last of 8 in a Bm62 at this track on August 9 over 1m, 6 len behind Lord Protector with 131lbs at $6.50. Likely to feature.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.