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4:20 AM

AU - Sunshine Coast - Race 5

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
5f
OPEN
Turf
HEAVY 8
35.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ZIA MARIA (9) is a last-start winner two-and-a-half weeks ago, scoring by 1.4 lengths over 4f at Ipswich. Drawn to get a cosy run in transit from gate three and is sure to measure up again. SCARTOON (5) missed the placings when resuming two runs back then did a good job last start but just found one better over 4f at Ipswich, beaten only 1.4 lengths. It doesn't get any easier but on her best form she is right in contention. LONESOME STAR (8) finished 2 lengths away in fourth last time out over 4f at Ipswich after being prominent at the turn when first-up from a spell. Steps up in journey today and has winning claims on best figures. SLING (4) will strip fitter second-up from the spell and may earn some minor money.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Zia Maria silk

Most recently won by 1.4 len at Ipswich 2yo Hcp June 4 over 4f in soft going defeating Scartoon carrying 123lbs at $4. The start before that 4th of 7 at Gold Coast Poly 2yo Mdn-Sw on May 16 over 5 ½f, 2.75 len behind West Coast with 125lbs at $7. Sure to get all the favours from barrier three and can go back-to-back.

1st Pick
9

Zia Maria

Jockey: Damien Boche

Trainer: Barry Lockwood & Emma-Jane Vincent

J: Damien Boche

T: Barry Lockwood & Emma-Jane Vincent

125---10%9/1

Analysis

Most recently won by 1.4 len at Ipswich 2yo Hcp June 4 over 4f in soft going defeating Scartoon carrying 123lbs at $4. The start before that 4th of 7 at Gold Coast Poly 2yo Mdn-Sw on May 16 over 5 ½f, 2.75 len behind West Coast with 125lbs at $7. Sure to get all the favours from barrier three and can go back-to-back.

5
Scartoon silk

Third-up today. First-up raced on the speed throughout before fading to run last of 12 at Gold Coast Mm Nat 2yo SW on May 22 over 5f, slow going 13 len behind The Next Episode carrying 121lbs at $81. Second-up 2nd of 9 at Ipswich 2yo Hcp on June 4 over 4f, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Zia Maria with 126lbs at $3.60. Fitter now and rates a key chance in this line-up.

2nd Pick
5

Scartoon

Jockey: Leah Martyn

Trainer: Kelly Schweida

J: Leah Martyn

T: Kelly Schweida

92---14%13/2

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up raced on the speed throughout before fading to run last of 12 at Gold Coast Mm Nat 2yo SW on May 22 over 5f, slow going 13 len behind The Next Episode carrying 121lbs at $81. Second-up 2nd of 9 at Ipswich 2yo Hcp on June 4 over 4f, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Zia Maria with 126lbs at $3.60. Fitter now and rates a key chance in this line-up.

8
Lonesome Star silk

Second-up. First-up after three months 4th of 9 at Ipswich 2yo Hcp on June 4 over 4f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Zia Maria with 121lbs at $12. Previously second-up 4th of 9 at Toowoomba 2yo Mdn-Sw on February 21 over 5f, 8 len behind On The Clock with 123lbs at $11. Worth following up.

3rd Pick
8

Lonesome Star

Jockey: Courtney Bellamy

Trainer: Greg Wright

J: Courtney Bellamy

T: Greg Wright

86---8%13/1

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after three months 4th of 9 at Ipswich 2yo Hcp on June 4 over 4f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Zia Maria with 121lbs at $12. Previously second-up 4th of 9 at Toowoomba 2yo Mdn-Sw on February 21 over 5f, 8 len behind On The Clock with 123lbs at $11. Worth following up.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.