AU - Sunshine Coast - Race 5

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Class 1

Turf

GOOD 4

18.5K

VIEW

Verdict

THE BEAR (2) was outgraded first-up and then raced in a 65 this track/trip beaten a nose. They've always had an opinion of this fellow, and he should go on to better things this preparation. Has an inside barrier and the 4lbs claim brings him right into it. BILLY BOOM (13) peaks off a narrow defeat here over shorter and has a couple of key gear chances. Maps well and is well in the mix. ROCHEDALE HERO (1) showed plenty at the trials before winning an Ipswich Maiden on debut, heavily bet. This is a step up, but he's going to win more races and may begin that progression here. BRUTAL BOWLER (7) is a second-up winner with plenty to give. May need longer now, but keep onside.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Third-up today. First-up got back early 9th of 13 at this track 3yo Qlty on November 22 over 5f, 6 len behind Get Ready Lass carrying 126lbs at $61. Second-up raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 9 at this track Bm65 on December 5 over 6f, nose behind Colleano with 123lbs at $7.50. Fitter now and making headway. Well placed to go one better. 1st Pick 2 The Bear Jockey: Olivia Webb Trainer: Sharryn Livingstone J: Olivia Webb T: Sharryn Livingstone	200	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Third-up today. First-up got back early 9th of 13 at this track 3yo Qlty on November 22 over 5f, 6 len behind Get Ready Lass carrying 126lbs at $61. Second-up raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 9 at this track Bm65 on December 5 over 6f, nose behind Colleano with 123lbs at $7.50. Fitter now and making headway. Well placed to go one better.
12	Third-up today. First-up favourite, won by 1.75 len at Ballina Mdn-Sw November 14 over 5f on a rain affected track defeating Darling Take Care with 123lbs at $2.25. Last start 2nd of 10 at Grafton Bm58 on November 30 over 5f, 0.5 len behind Dizzy Dee carrying 128lbs at $1.85. Expect a bold showing again. 2nd Pick 12 The Torque Xpress Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Matthew Dunn J: Non Runner T: Matthew Dunn	142	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Third-up today. First-up favourite, won by 1.75 len at Ballina Mdn-Sw November 14 over 5f on a rain affected track defeating Darling Take Care with 123lbs at $2.25. Last start 2nd of 10 at Grafton Bm58 on November 30 over 5f, 0.5 len behind Dizzy Dee carrying 128lbs at $1.85. Expect a bold showing again.
13	Form hard to fault. Most recently made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 10 at this track 0 - 58 on November 30 over 5f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Belle Affair carrying 127lbs at $2.15. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 7 at this track 0 - 55 on November 4 over 5f, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Riva D'amor with 131lbs at $2.15. Has the ability and is one of the major players. 3rd Pick 13 Billy Boom Jockey: Cody Collis Trainer: Darryl Hansen J: Cody Collis T: Darryl Hansen	100	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 10 at this track 0 - 58 on November 30 over 5f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Belle Affair carrying 127lbs at $2.15. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 7 at this track 0 - 55 on November 4 over 5f, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Riva D'amor with 131lbs at $2.15. Has the ability and is one of the major players.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.