AU - Sunshine Coast - Race 5

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

21.0K

VIEW

Verdict

Plenty of question marks surround POINT VEGA (5) on debut but she is worth the gamble. Has trialled once, scoring by 7.2 lengths on the inner track here back in July, and has not been produced since. Clearly very smart but the betting on race day will tell the tale. GEITZ (14) was in the money for the fourth time in her career recently, catching the eye in the closing stages of an 5 ½f Gatton maiden. Very fit after two runs back and has placed two of three at 5f. Plenty to like about her chances. HELLO PUNTERS (8) last raced seven weeks ago when in the money over 4f at Kilcoy. Will go fast and give backers a sight. TROFEO (6) on debut is worth monitoring closely as the Vandyke yard has a reputation with the newcomers.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Paul Jenkins trained three-year-old gelding lining up for debut. Spaced his opposition in a trial win last July and hasn't been sighted since. Betting crucial but on what we have seen he is above average. 1st Pick 5 Point Vega Jockey: Jake Bayliss Trainer: Paul Jenkins J: Jake Bayliss T: Paul Jenkins	34	-	-	-	56%
Analysis Paul Jenkins trained three-year-old gelding lining up for debut. Spaced his opposition in a trial win last July and hasn't been sighted since. Betting crucial but on what we have seen he is above average.
10	At the latest run 2nd in a small field at this track Mdn on February 1 over 5f, 2 len behind Unfaithful carrying 127lbs at $2.50. The race before that of 14 at Gold Coast Mm Mdn on January 17 over 5 ½f, slow going 12 len behind Melanite carrying 121lbs at $71. Has the numbers to take this out. 2nd Pick 10 Mashean Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Annabel & Rob Archibald J: Non Runner T: Annabel & Rob Archibald	199	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis At the latest run 2nd in a small field at this track Mdn on February 1 over 5f, 2 len behind Unfaithful carrying 127lbs at $2.50. The race before that of 14 at Gold Coast Mm Mdn on January 17 over 5 ½f, slow going 12 len behind Melanite carrying 121lbs at $71. Has the numbers to take this out.
14	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 9 at this track 3yo Mdn-Sw on January 9 over 5f, slow going 3 len behind Cryptic Beauty carrying 120lbs at $5.50. Second-up 2nd of 12 at Gatton 3yo Mdn-Sw on January 25 over 5 ½f, 1.0 len behind Captain Bull carrying 123lbs at $5.50. Should give a good account. 3rd Pick 14 Geitz Jockey: Frederick Larson Trainer: Tony & Maddysen Sears J: Frederick Larson T: Tony & Maddysen Sears	143	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 9 at this track 3yo Mdn-Sw on January 9 over 5f, slow going 3 len behind Cryptic Beauty carrying 120lbs at $5.50. Second-up 2nd of 12 at Gatton 3yo Mdn-Sw on January 25 over 5 ½f, 1.0 len behind Captain Bull carrying 123lbs at $5.50. Should give a good account.

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Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

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An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.