AU - Sunshine Coast - Race 5

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

19.6K

VIEW

Verdict

KIWI RAIDER (9) was bought out of Victoria after a few starts, and she made a winning return in impressive fashion, settling close to the speed before drawing clear to score by 2 lengths at this track. She looks capable of going back-to-back. METAL MAN (2) was equally impressive when breaking through comfortably at the Gold Coast, and he won't find this much harder. He has the scope to continue to race his way through the grades this season. OUT OF SQUARE (4) resumes after an 11-week break and has shown enough ability to be competitive fresh. He joins the powerful Tony Gollan stable, and that usually means a form reversal is about to happen. Follow the market moves. JIMMY'S BROTHER (5) was disappointing when well beaten over 5f here last start but is capable of much better. He will improve quickly with racing, and he would not be a surprise winner of this race.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Second-up. First-up after two months favourite, won by 2 len at this track Cl1 July 12 over 5f on a soft track defeating Estee Emm with 119lbs at $1.95. Previously second-up ran second last in a small field at Pakenham Bm62 on May 8 over 5f, on a wet track, 2.25 len behind Electric Star with 127lbs at $4.60. Fitter again and expected to go close. 1st Pick 9 Kiwi Raider Jockey: Leah Martyn Trainer: Tony Gollan J: Leah Martyn T: Tony Gollan	147	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after two months favourite, won by 2 len at this track Cl1 July 12 over 5f on a soft track defeating Estee Emm with 119lbs at $1.95. Previously second-up ran second last in a small field at Pakenham Bm62 on May 8 over 5f, on a wet track, 2.25 len behind Electric Star with 127lbs at $4.60. Fitter again and expected to go close.
2	Dual acceptor. Last start favourite, came from midfield and won by 2.25 len at Gold Coast Cl1 July 18 over 5f on a rain affected track defeating I Am Gone with 132lbs at $1.35. The run before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 10 at Ipswich Cl1 on June 25 over 6f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Venom Rush with 131lbs at $1.90. Draws well and is a strong winning chance. 2nd Pick 2 Metal Man Jockey: Cejay Graham Trainer: Kelly Schweida J: Cejay Graham T: Kelly Schweida	154	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Dual acceptor. Last start favourite, came from midfield and won by 2.25 len at Gold Coast Cl1 July 18 over 5f on a rain affected track defeating I Am Gone with 132lbs at $1.35. The run before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 10 at Ipswich Cl1 on June 25 over 6f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Venom Rush with 131lbs at $1.90. Draws well and is a strong winning chance.
4	Back from a spell. Finished off last preparation ran last of 11 at Morphettville Parks Bm78 on May 16 over 5f, 6 len behind Mintulee carrying 116lbs at $7. Won previous preparation first up came home strongly from last on the turn and won by 2 len at Morphettville Parks F&M Bm68 December 6 over 5f defeating Bellentia with 129lbs at $2.60. Finished fourth in a Morphettville Parks trial over 5f on May 28. Everything points to a bright return. 3rd Pick 4 Out Of Square Jockey: Ben Thompson Trainer: Tony Gollan J: Ben Thompson T: Tony Gollan	142	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Back from a spell. Finished off last preparation ran last of 11 at Morphettville Parks Bm78 on May 16 over 5f, 6 len behind Mintulee carrying 116lbs at $7. Won previous preparation first up came home strongly from last on the turn and won by 2 len at Morphettville Parks F&M Bm68 December 6 over 5f defeating Bellentia with 129lbs at $2.60. Finished fourth in a Morphettville Parks trial over 5f on May 28. Everything points to a bright return.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.