AU - Sunshine Coast - Race 5

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 6

21.2K

VIEW

Verdict

OUR MATE LOCKY (1) went down by a narrow margin in town last time out and will appreciate the drop back in grade here. Will be rock-hard fit for this and should be right there when the judge calls a halt. PARADISE AS USUAL (5) has been thereabouts in harder contests of late and gets some weight off from the favourable draw. Watch for a spike in form. PRIZE WITNESS (2) is unlucky to still be a maiden finishing runner-up in both runs this campaign and this is not an overly strong affair. Top-three credentials. RUSTY TYCOON (3) placed over this mile journey two back before just missing the frame in town last start. Don't dismiss lightly. STRIKE ME PINK (8) rounds out the selections.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	At the latest run 2nd of 8 at Doomben 3yo Mdn-Sw on April 1 over 1m, slow going head behind Outta Reef carrying 128lbs at $8.50. The run before that 6th of 12 at Doomben 3yo Mdn-Sw on March 18 over 6 ¾f, 7 len behind Illegal Justice carrying 128lbs at $3.80. Shapes as a key runner. 1st Pick 1 Our Mate Locky Jockey: Jake Bayliss Trainer: Jamie Bayliss J: Jake Bayliss T: Jamie Bayliss	135	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis At the latest run 2nd of 8 at Doomben 3yo Mdn-Sw on April 1 over 1m, slow going head behind Outta Reef carrying 128lbs at $8.50. The run before that 6th of 12 at Doomben 3yo Mdn-Sw on March 18 over 6 ¾f, 7 len behind Illegal Justice carrying 128lbs at $3.80. Shapes as a key runner.
5	Most recently from last on the turn second last of 8 at Doomben 3yo Mdn-Sw on April 1 over 1m, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Outta Reef carrying 123lbs at $5. The run before that 6th of 13 at Eagle Farm 3yo Hcp on March 7 over 1m, slow going 4.5 len behind North Pole with 115lbs at $18. Nicely placed and is among the leading chances. 2nd Pick 5 Paradise As Usual Jockey: Chelsea Baker Trainer: Harold Norman J: Chelsea Baker T: Harold Norman	128	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Most recently from last on the turn second last of 8 at Doomben 3yo Mdn-Sw on April 1 over 1m, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Outta Reef carrying 123lbs at $5. The run before that 6th of 13 at Eagle Farm 3yo Hcp on March 7 over 1m, slow going 4.5 len behind North Pole with 115lbs at $18. Nicely placed and is among the leading chances.
2	Third-up today. Resuming made ground from midfield, 2nd of 8 at Taree Mdn on March 10 over 6 ¼f, slow going 2.25 len behind O'britzelle carrying 125lbs at $2.70. Last start made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track 3yo Mdn on March 29 over 7f, on a slow track, neck behind Clive's Glory with 123lbs at $20. Promising galloper. Expected to be in the finish again. 3rd Pick 2 Prize Witness Jockey: Daniel Moor Trainer: Kris Lees J: Daniel Moor T: Kris Lees	112	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming made ground from midfield, 2nd of 8 at Taree Mdn on March 10 over 6 ¼f, slow going 2.25 len behind O'britzelle carrying 125lbs at $2.70. Last start made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track 3yo Mdn on March 29 over 7f, on a slow track, neck behind Clive's Glory with 123lbs at $20. Promising galloper. Expected to be in the finish again.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.