AU - Sunshine Coast - Race 2

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 9

19.7K

VIEW

Verdict

WAVERLEY (6) gets top billing after a luckless first-up fourth in a BM62 at Gold Coast, where he began slowly and was held up near the 2f before closing off strongly. He's won at the mile and handles wet ground, so the rise to this trip looks a positive second-up. CASTAWAY (3) is the obvious danger after justifying favouritism here three weeks ago when making a mess of his maiden rivals. Thompson sticks from a good draw and the rise in trip shouldn't bother. FIFTH FORCE (4) has to rebound from a plain run at Ipswich, yet his previous CL3 third at this venue had merit after he was held up, and his distance record is strong. Can bounce back on the quick turnaround. BOSSIRI (12) closed well for third here two weeks ago in CL1 company. Worth respecting but she's yet to prove useful on rain affected going. Treading cautiously.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
6	Resumed with a strong-enough fourth in a BM62 over 7f at Gold Coast, beaten just over two lengths by Tam Na Ghar despite being slow away and held up near the 2f. He had earlier run third in a BM62 at Gatton over 1 ¼m as favourite, showing he can sustain a finish. Handles wet ground and looks the one to beat. 1st Pick 6 Waverley Jockey: Boris Thornton Trainer: Glenn Thornton J: Boris Thornton T: Glenn Thornton	138	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Resumed with a strong-enough fourth in a BM62 over 7f at Gold Coast, beaten just over two lengths by Tam Na Ghar despite being slow away and held up near the 2f. He had earlier run third in a BM62 at Gatton over 1 ¼m as favourite, showing he can sustain a finish. Handles wet ground and looks the one to beat.
3	Led throughout first-up in a Mdn over 7f at this track, beating Rising Queen by just under four lengths as favourite and giving Ben Thompson a winning ride to retain. The step to 1m is the clear new test, as he has not raced at around this distance before, but barrier 3 should let him use the same on-speed pattern. The mile is new, but the upside is clear. 2nd Pick 3 Castaway Jockey: Ben Thompson Trainer: Garnett Taylor J: Ben Thompson T: Garnett Taylor	143	-	-	-	27%
Analysis Led throughout first-up in a Mdn over 7f at this track, beating Rising Queen by just under four lengths as favourite and giving Ben Thompson a winning ride to retain. The step to 1m is the clear new test, as he has not raced at around this distance before, but barrier 3 should let him use the same on-speed pattern. The mile is new, but the upside is clear.
4	Was plain at Ipswich last week when seventh in a BM62, beaten six and a half lengths after being close enough and failing to quicken. The start prior is the stronger pointer: third in a Class 3 at this track, beaten just over a length after being held up in the straight. Proven at 1m and wet ground brings him right into it. 3rd Pick 4 Fifth Force Jockey: Archie Mccolm Trainer: Billy Healey J: Archie Mccolm T: Billy Healey	127	-	-	-	9%
Analysis Was plain at Ipswich last week when seventh in a BM62, beaten six and a half lengths after being close enough and failing to quicken. The start prior is the stronger pointer: third in a Class 3 at this track, beaten just over a length after being held up in the straight. Proven at 1m and wet ground brings him right into it.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.