AU - Scone - Race 9

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

Unknown

Turf

GOOD 4

180.8K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

Most of the chances here went around in the 6 ½f Hawkesbury Crown a fortnight ago. SURFIN' BIRD (9) was denied by the barest margin when resuming in that Group 3 feature after giving everything in the closing stages. Crossed from a wide alley that day but draws in close this time. Fitter and looks ready to go one better. ARRIVING HOME (12) led and gave a great sight at Hawkesbury but was gunned down late and finished 0.6 lengths off Surfin' Bird. Meets her 2kgs better so there won't be much in it again. OH DIAMOND LIL (6) choked down when fresh from a spell last start so the run is best overlooked. Has won at this level and is capable of testing this field if all is well. COUNTYOURBLESSINGS (15) closed in great style to finish midfield when resuming in the Gold Rush. Another ½f on a roomier track brings her right into calculations. MORE TERRITORIES (11) has been freshened up since an eye-catching effort in the G2 Sapphire at Randwick. Will get back but watch for her late.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
9	Second run back. First-up after six months tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 13 at Hawkesbury in the G3 Hawk Crown on May 2 over 6 ½f, nose behind Chidiac carrying 123lbs at $5. Previously second-up 7th of 12 at Sandown-Lakeside 3yo Bm64 on July 9 over 7f, slow going 3.5 len behind Legacy Bay carrying 127lbs at $10. Back in great shape and is worth following. 1st Pick 9 Surfin' Bird Jockey: Rachel King Trainer: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott J: Rachel King T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott	188	-	-	-	50%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after six months tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 13 at Hawkesbury in the G3 Hawk Crown on May 2 over 6 ½f, nose behind Chidiac carrying 123lbs at $5. Previously second-up 7th of 12 at Sandown-Lakeside 3yo Bm64 on July 9 over 7f, slow going 3.5 len behind Legacy Bay carrying 127lbs at $10. Back in great shape and is worth following.
12	Recent form sound. At the latest run gave a sight but was run down late 3rd of 13 at Hawkesbury in the G3 Hawk Crown on May 2 over 6 ½f, 0.7 len behind Chidiac carrying 123lbs at $20. The race before that tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 3rd of 10 at Hawkesbury Bm78 on April 8 over 6 ½f, 0.6 len behind Spione carrying 132lbs at $9.50. Went close last time. Game in defeat last time and will be hard to catch again. 2nd Pick 12 Arriving Home Jockey: Alysha Collett Trainer: Bjorn Baker J: Alysha Collett T: Bjorn Baker	136	-	-	-	9%
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run gave a sight but was run down late 3rd of 13 at Hawkesbury in the G3 Hawk Crown on May 2 over 6 ½f, 0.7 len behind Chidiac carrying 123lbs at $20. The race before that tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 3rd of 10 at Hawkesbury Bm78 on April 8 over 6 ½f, 0.6 len behind Spione carrying 132lbs at $9.50. Went close last time. Game in defeat last time and will be hard to catch again.
6	Second-up. First-up after six months sat behind the speed prior to fading to run last of 13 at Hawkesbury in the G3 Hawk Crown on May 2 over 6 ½f, 5.5 len behind Chidiac carrying 128lbs at $3.30. Previously second-up 9th of 14 at Randwick Bm78 on June 7 over 7f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Thunderlips carrying 130lbs at $4.40. Can improve sharply with that run under her belt. 3rd Pick 6 Oh Diamond Lil Jockey: Jason Collett Trainer: David Pfieffer J: Jason Collett T: David Pfieffer	139	-	-	-	12%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after six months sat behind the speed prior to fading to run last of 13 at Hawkesbury in the G3 Hawk Crown on May 2 over 6 ½f, 5.5 len behind Chidiac carrying 128lbs at $3.30. Previously second-up 9th of 14 at Randwick Bm78 on June 7 over 7f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Thunderlips carrying 130lbs at $4.40. Can improve sharply with that run under her belt.

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