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5:19 AM

AU - Scone - Race 5

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
5.5f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
18.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

TICKELOVA (2) sets the standard after a sharp first-up second at Newcastle, where she led, looked the winner and spaced the rest despite being an outside chance in betting. The 5 ½f is still to be answered after one previous unplaced attempt around the trip, but she comes back from provincial company and has the strongest recent race performance. UMBUSI (7) is the immediate danger off a sound debut fourth at this track, with the wide run throughout giving that effort more merit than the margin alone. SHASORT (12) finished behind Umbusi in the same race but closed from well back at long odds, suggesting natural improvement can bring her into the contest. MIDNIGHT REVOLT (8) debuts for Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott, has had two Randwick trials and is a half sister to Listed winner Whispered Secret, so it would not surprise if that stable polish brings her forward on race day.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Tickelova silk

Returns from a five-week let-up after a strong first-up second at Newcastle, beaten just over half a length by Lucsain after leading and looking the winner. She comes back from provincial company, with Aaron Bullock a strong booking at this track. Trip is the query, but her latest form sets the mark.

1st Pick
2

Tickelova

Jockey: Aaron Bullock

Trainer: Kris Lees

J: Aaron Bullock

T: Kris Lees

158---16%11/2

Analysis

Returns from a five-week let-up after a strong first-up second at Newcastle, beaten just over half a length by Lucsain after leading and looking the winner. She comes back from provincial company, with Aaron Bullock a strong booking at this track. Trip is the query, but her latest form sets the mark.

7
Umbusi silk

Produced a sound debut fourth at this track, beaten just over two lengths by The Wildling after covering ground throughout, with stewards confirming he raced wide the entire race. That effort looks better than the bare result and he meets Shasort again after beating her home there. Clear danger with natural improvement from the good gate.

2nd Pick
7

Umbusi

Jockey: Mikayla Weir

Trainer: Scott Singleton

J: Mikayla Weir

T: Scott Singleton

126---31%9/4

Analysis

Produced a sound debut fourth at this track, beaten just over two lengths by The Wildling after covering ground throughout, with stewards confirming he raced wide the entire race. That effort looks better than the bare result and he meets Shasort again after beating her home there. Clear danger with natural improvement from the good gate.

12
Shasort silk

Made an encouraging debut at this track when fifth behind The Wildling, beaten three and a half lengths after settling well back and making solid inroads at long odds. She did finish behind Umbusi in that race, but the closing effort suggested there is improvement to come. Must turn the tables on Umbusi, but has upside.

3rd Pick
12

Shasort

Jockey: Alysha Collett

Trainer: Annabel & Rob Archibald

J: Alysha Collett

T: Annabel & Rob Archibald

87---16%11/2

Analysis

Made an encouraging debut at this track when fifth behind The Wildling, beaten three and a half lengths after settling well back and making solid inroads at long odds. She did finish behind Umbusi in that race, but the closing effort suggested there is improvement to come. Must turn the tables on Umbusi, but has upside.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.