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Resulted

AU - Scone - Race 3

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
8.4f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
18.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

OCEAN TSUNAMI (3) sets the standard after winning by a nose in Class 3 at Randwick, and she now comes back from Saturday company with a strong profile at this track and distance. Her Rosehill fifth before that had enough interference to be more valuable than the margin suggests, so she looks the horse to beat third-up. GRANDINI (6) has not threatened in two runs this campaign, but both were stronger assignments, including a BM82 fifth at this venue, and her distance record plus the 7lbs claim keep her right in the contest. ALABAMA BLITZ (7) has to rebound from a last at Newcastle, yet her prior second at this track showed she can be competitive when ridden more patiently. Winkers first time can do the trick. DISCO PRINCE (4) was at big odds when second in BM66 grade and has a sound each-way profile if he repeats that effort. Ready for this trip.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Ocean Tsunami silk

Took the next step when winning a Class 3 at Randwick by a nose, doing it despite being bumped early and unbalanced near the 1 ¾f. That followed a Rosehill fifth as favourite where she over-raced and struck interference, so there was more merit in that run than the result shows. Strong profile and the one to beat in this vein of form.

1st Pick
3

Ocean Tsunami

Jockey: Jasmine Urquhart-Warren

Trainer: Scott Singleton

J: Jasmine Urquhart-Warren

T: Scott Singleton

262---90%

Analysis

Took the next step when winning a Class 3 at Randwick by a nose, doing it despite being bumped early and unbalanced near the 1 ¾f. That followed a Rosehill fifth as favourite where she over-raced and struck interference, so there was more merit in that run than the result shows. Strong profile and the one to beat in this vein of form.

6
Grandini silk

Drops back from a BM82 at this venue after finishing fifth, beaten five lengths, when she worked home fairly without threatening. Her Muswellbrook sixth in Open grade two back was better than the market expected, beaten a length and a half after beginning slowly. Third-up mare with solid 1 ¹/16m figures and a strong winning case.

2nd Pick
6

Grandini

Jockey: Anna Weatherlake

Trainer: Rodney Northam

J: Anna Weatherlake

T: Rodney Northam

105---5%

Analysis

Drops back from a BM82 at this venue after finishing fifth, beaten five lengths, when she worked home fairly without threatening. Her Muswellbrook sixth in Open grade two back was better than the market expected, beaten a length and a half after beginning slowly. Third-up mare with solid 1 ¹/16m figures and a strong winning case.

7
Alabama Blitz silk

Gets an easier meeting than the Newcastle provincial assignment, but the last-start BM68 run was disappointing, finishing last and beaten over 12 lengths after being near the top of betting. Her prior second at this track was far more encouraging, coming from well back to be beaten two and a half lengths. Winkers go on and she gets a much better setup.

3rd Pick
7

Alabama Blitz

Jockey: Alysha Collett

Trainer: Cameron Crockett

J: Alysha Collett

T: Cameron Crockett

155---19%

Analysis

Gets an easier meeting than the Newcastle provincial assignment, but the last-start BM68 run was disappointing, finishing last and beaten over 12 lengths after being near the top of betting. Her prior second at this track was far more encouraging, coming from well back to be beaten two and a half lengths. Winkers go on and she gets a much better setup.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.