AU - Scone - Race 2

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

18.6K

VIEW

Verdict

REELFLARE (2) sets the standard after going within a long neck of Imperial Code at Kembla Grange, and that provincial placing looks strong enough for a Mdn at Scone. She was also sound on debut at Newcastle, so her profile is building the right way third-up, with first-time blinkers adding another positive. SHANTI (3) was much sharper at Beaumont (Newcastle), beaten just over a length by Stunning Future, though the new 1m test keeps her a shade below the top pair. MOONGLEAM (5) improved into third at Muswellbrook and has placed on her only wet-track run, giving her a solid minor-placing profile if she holds that second-up improvement. POST MARK (1) debut placing gives him some hope, but he was beaten as favourite last start and tackles 1m for the first time. Watch for any market confidence.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Built nicely from her debut fourth at Newcastle, finishing second at Kembla Grange last start when beaten a long neck by Imperial Code after settling well back and being pipped late. This is easier than that provincial assignment, and first-time blinkers are a further positive third-up. The 1m is the query, but she is the one to beat. 1st Pick 2 Reelflare Jockey: Anna Roper Trainer: John O'shea & Tom Charlton J: Anna Roper T: John O'shea & Tom Charlton	189	-	-	-	50%
Analysis Built nicely from her debut fourth at Newcastle, finishing second at Kembla Grange last start when beaten a long neck by Imperial Code after settling well back and being pipped late. This is easier than that provincial assignment, and first-time blinkers are a further positive third-up. The 1m is the query, but she is the one to beat.
7	Closed off strongly from well back to finish third in a Class 1 at Taree last start, beaten just under two lengths by Purple Haze on soft ground. That form reads well dropping to Mdn grade, particularly with a previous placing from one attempt at this distance. Proven at 1m and has a strong winning case. 2nd Pick 7 Fly The Wind Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Matthew Smith J: Non Runner T: Matthew Smith	169	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Closed off strongly from well back to finish third in a Class 1 at Taree last start, beaten just under two lengths by Purple Haze on soft ground. That form reads well dropping to Mdn grade, particularly with a previous placing from one attempt at this distance. Proven at 1m and has a strong winning case.
3	Ran a much better race at Beaumont (newcastle) last start, holding second and finishing beaten just over a length behind Stunning Future on soft ground after being near the top of betting. The run prior at Rosehill was plain, beaten over 13 lengths, so consistency is still to be proven. Looking for the trip fourth up and has solid claims. 3rd Pick 3 Shanti Jockey: Louis-Philippe Beuzelin Trainer: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott J: Louis-Philippe Beuzelin T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott	165	-	-	-	40%
Analysis Ran a much better race at Beaumont (newcastle) last start, holding second and finishing beaten just over a length behind Stunning Future on soft ground after being near the top of betting. The run prior at Rosehill was plain, beaten over 13 lengths, so consistency is still to be proven. Looking for the trip fourth up and has solid claims.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.