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6:10 AM

AU - Sapphire Coast - Race 6

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
6f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 5
17.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

CASINO SHAW (11) ticks plenty of boxes today and looks the one to beat at start seven. Sat on the good tempo from the wide gate when a gritty second over 6f at this track. Kept fresh and she gets a much better set-up today. YOU COUNT (10) struck trouble at the start and got further back than expected when a poor eighth over 5 ½f at Nowra. Only has to jump cleanly to figure prominently. SETTA ICON (1) resumes from a lengthy break. Outclassed when eighth over 5f at Kembla Grange on June 20, 2024. Fitted with the two slick trials and can overcome the sticky draw. EMPRESS IRENE (13) started hard in the market at her second career start when a plugging fifth over 5 ½f at Nowra. Can race a little closer from the inside gate and play a leading role.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
11
Casino Shaw silk

Comes here off a 32-day let-up. Last start held ground to the line 2nd of 9 at this track Mdn-Sw on October 30 over 6f, 2 len behind Zoucat carrying 126lbs at $6. The race before that 6th of 9 at Nowra Ctry Mdn-Sw on October 19 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Cosmic Attraction with 126lbs at $31. Made headway last time. Finds her race at strat seven to get off the mark.

1st Pick
11

Casino Shaw

Jockey: Amy Mclucas

Trainer: Shaun Coady

J: Amy Mclucas

T: Shaun Coady

123---16%11/2

Analysis

Comes here off a 32-day let-up. Last start held ground to the line 2nd of 9 at this track Mdn-Sw on October 30 over 6f, 2 len behind Zoucat carrying 126lbs at $6. The race before that 6th of 9 at Nowra Ctry Mdn-Sw on October 19 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Cosmic Attraction with 126lbs at $31. Made headway last time. Finds her race at strat seven to get off the mark.

10
You Count silk

Last start ran last of 8 at Nowra Mdn-Sw on November 17 over 5 ½f, 5.5 len behind Battle Warrior carrying 126lbs at $6.50. Before that 3rd in a small field at this track Ctry Mdn-Sw on October 30 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Sunrise Ridge with 128lbs at $2. Slow into stride last start and can bounce back.

2nd Pick
10

You Count

Jockey: Jack Martin

Trainer: Jamie Stewart

J: Jack Martin

T: Jamie Stewart

105---17%5/1

Analysis

Last start ran last of 8 at Nowra Mdn-Sw on November 17 over 5 ½f, 5.5 len behind Battle Warrior carrying 126lbs at $6.50. Before that 3rd in a small field at this track Ctry Mdn-Sw on October 30 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Sunrise Ridge with 128lbs at $2. Slow into stride last start and can bounce back.

1
Setta Icon silk

Resuming off 17 months break after having had one race start. At debut last start 8th of 11 at Kembla Grange 2yo Mdn-Sw on June 20 2024 over 5f, slow going 4.5 len behind Island Dec with 126lbs at $26. Had six recent trials to get ready for this. Last trial Was second in a 4 ½f barrier trial on November 18 at Rosehill. Expected to feature.

3rd Pick
1

Setta Icon

Jockey: Ms Robyn Freeman

Trainer: Anthony Mountney

J: Ms Robyn Freeman

T: Anthony Mountney

62---23%7/2

Analysis

Resuming off 17 months break after having had one race start. At debut last start 8th of 11 at Kembla Grange 2yo Mdn-Sw on June 20 2024 over 5f, slow going 4.5 len behind Island Dec with 126lbs at $26. Had six recent trials to get ready for this. Last trial Was second in a 4 ½f barrier trial on November 18 at Rosehill. Expected to feature.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.