AU - Randwick Kensington - Race 7

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

6.2f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

41.6K

VIEW

Verdict

ISLAND DEC (3) is desperate for some sting out of the ground and looks to get the right set-up for this. Snagged back from the wide draw and wasn't that far away on the line when eighth over 6 ½f at Rosehill in Midway class. Tempo suits and can turn things around. BLUE MONDAY (8) resumes from a lengthy break. Had a throw at the stumps with a tidy seventh in the G3 James Carr over 7f at Randwick two back. Goes well fresh and has genuine claims from the rails draw. SCENIC POINT (2) strongly fancied on resumption with a tough on pace fifth from the sticky draw over 5 ½f at Randwick in BM78 class. Since fitted with a 4f trial win at Warwick Farm. Can get the job done. REFLECT (1) smart mare who finished a close-up sixth in the G3 Kembla Grange Classic over 1m last March. Slashing return when a narrow fifth over 6f at Warwick Farm. Maps well again and will keep improving as she gets out in trip. Place best.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 11th of 13 in a Mares Bm78 at Randwick on September 5 over 5 ½f, 4 len behind Ernaux with 125lbs at $31. Second run from a spell 8th of 10 in a Midway Bm72 at Rosehill on September 26 over 6 ½f, 1.75 len behind Call Me Sassy with 126lbs at $19. Terrific chance to return to form on a rain affected deck. 1st Pick 3 Island Dec Jockey: Tommy Berry Trainer: Robert & Luke Price J: Tommy Berry T: Robert & Luke Price	120	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 11th of 13 in a Mares Bm78 at Randwick on September 5 over 5 ½f, 4 len behind Ernaux with 125lbs at $31. Second run from a spell 8th of 10 in a Midway Bm72 at Rosehill on September 26 over 6 ½f, 1.75 len behind Call Me Sassy with 126lbs at $19. Terrific chance to return to form on a rain affected deck.
8	Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of five months. Finished off last preparation eighth of 11 at Wagga Mtc Gneas May 1 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Cosmic Avenger carrying 125lbs at $3. Previous preparation first-up favourite, won by 2.5 len Albury Bm58 March 20 over 5f slow track defeating Rosie's Prophecy carrying 130lbs at $5. Back from a lengthy break and can sprint well fresh. 2nd Pick 8 Blue Monday Jockey: Jean Van Overmeire Trainer: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter J: Jean Van Overmeire T: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter	158	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of five months. Finished off last preparation eighth of 11 at Wagga Mtc Gneas May 1 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Cosmic Avenger carrying 125lbs at $3. Previous preparation first-up favourite, won by 2.5 len Albury Bm58 March 20 over 5f slow track defeating Rosie's Prophecy carrying 130lbs at $5. Back from a lengthy break and can sprint well fresh.
2	Second-up today. Last run did the work up front then tired 5th of 13 in a Mares Bm78 at Randwick on September 5 over 5 ½f, 1.75 len behind Ernaux with 123lbs at $4.40. At only start last preparation ran last of 10 in a Bm70 at Sandown-Lakeside on March 25 over 6f, slow going 9 len behind Shaime carrying 128lbs at $6.50. Capable of testing this weaker field. 3rd Pick 2 Scenic Point Jockey: Adam Hyeronimus Trainer: Joseph Pride J: Adam Hyeronimus T: Joseph Pride	133	-	-	-	35%	15/8
Analysis Second-up today. Last run did the work up front then tired 5th of 13 in a Mares Bm78 at Randwick on September 5 over 5 ½f, 1.75 len behind Ernaux with 123lbs at $4.40. At only start last preparation ran last of 10 in a Bm70 at Sandown-Lakeside on March 25 over 6f, slow going 9 len behind Shaime carrying 128lbs at $6.50. Capable of testing this weaker field.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).