AU - Randwick Kensington - Race 7

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

42.4K

VIEW

Verdict

SUPERMASSIVE (1) came out quickly from the wide gate and showed a stack of tenacity in the heavy (8) going to go under narrowly with the 131lbs when second over 6 ½f at Warwick Farm. Has a similar set-up for this and can get the trip fourth-up. REAL BAKER (11) demolished a handy field first-up at Bathurst, then faded late in the heavy going when seventh over 6 ¼f at Canterbury. Drops 9lbs in weight today and will appreciate a firmer surface. Expected to go close. BARBRAY (8) capable on his day and was not that far from the winner when fifth over 6 ¼f at Canterbury. Tommy Berry hops aboard and he should get a better tempo for this. Solid top-three player. RIMBAUD (5) has his hoof on the till fourth-up and looking for this trip and further now. Kept finding in the heavy going with a gritty third over 6 ½f at Warwick Farm in this class. Stays in the mix.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 12 at Warwick Farm Bm72 on May 20 over 6 ½f, in the wet, 0.5 len behind Sanctified with 131lbs at $7. The run before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 11 at Warwick Farm Cg&E Bm72 on May 6 over 6 ½f, 2.5 len behind Iceman carrying 131lbs at $3. At his peak for this and can go one better on a firmer deck. 1st Pick 1 Supermassive Jockey: Tim Clark Trainer: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott J: Tim Clark T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott	209	-	-	-	36%
Analysis Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 12 at Warwick Farm Bm72 on May 20 over 6 ½f, in the wet, 0.5 len behind Sanctified with 131lbs at $7. The run before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 11 at Warwick Farm Cg&E Bm72 on May 6 over 6 ½f, 2.5 len behind Iceman carrying 131lbs at $3. At his peak for this and can go one better on a firmer deck.
8	Second run back. First-up after four months 5th of 9 at Canterbury 4yo+ Bm72 on May 27 over 6 ¼f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Laurel Hill with 121lbs at $7. Previously second-up 4th of 11 at Randwick Bm78 on December 27 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Interjection carrying 120lbs at $14. Capable on his day and will be savaging the line strongly. 2nd Pick 8 Barbray Jockey: Tommy Berry Trainer: Chris Waller J: Tommy Berry T: Chris Waller	125	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after four months 5th of 9 at Canterbury 4yo+ Bm72 on May 27 over 6 ¼f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Laurel Hill with 121lbs at $7. Previously second-up 4th of 11 at Randwick Bm78 on December 27 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Interjection carrying 120lbs at $14. Capable on his day and will be savaging the line strongly.
11	At the latest run did the work up front then tired 7th of 9 at Canterbury 3yo Bm64 on May 27 over 6 ¼f, on rain affected going, 4.5 len behind Cheeky Smirk carrying 130lbs at $3.10. The race before that favourite, won by 4.5 len at Bathurst Bm66 May 12 over 6f defeating Scopics with 125lbs at $1.50. Well-placed at the weights over the extra trip. 3rd Pick 11 Real Baker Jockey: Winona Costin Trainer: Bjorn Baker J: Winona Costin T: Bjorn Baker	125	-	-	-	17%
Analysis At the latest run did the work up front then tired 7th of 9 at Canterbury 3yo Bm64 on May 27 over 6 ¼f, on rain affected going, 4.5 len behind Cheeky Smirk carrying 130lbs at $3.10. The race before that favourite, won by 4.5 len at Bathurst Bm66 May 12 over 6f defeating Scopics with 125lbs at $1.50. Well-placed at the weights over the extra trip.

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