AU - Randwick Kensington - Race 6

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

41.6K

VIEW

Verdict

OCTA DE LAGO (4) made good progress last time in and caught the eye on resumption when returning slick figures to secure fourth over 6 ½f at Warwick Farm. Should measure up from the low draw. TRUE TO FORM (2) smart fresh gelding resuming. Held his own with a gritty on speed second over 6 ¾f at Doomben in C6 class last May. Primed with the two trials and J Mac hops aboard. Leading contender. FLYING FROM ABOVE (7) is racing in career-best form and kept fresh for this. Took control early when back in trip for a game victory over 1m at Warwick Farm. Kept ticking over with a 5 ¼f trial at Randwick. Awkward map today and not to be overlooked. ANYTHINK GOES (1) tackled the Wyong Gold Cup last time with a fighting second over 1 5/16m in Listed class. Place best with the claim.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Recent form sound. At the latest run rolled along in front before being edged out 3rd of 9 in a Bm78 at Warwick Farm on September 23 over 6 ½f, slow going 1.3 len behind Monte Kate with 129lbs at $4.40. The run before that rolled along in front before being edged out 3rd of 9 in a Midway Bm72 at Randwick on September 5 over 7f, 1.2 len behind Barrengarry carrying 133lbs at $3. Definite top-three prospect who will take catching. 1st Pick 3 Felix Majestic Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Gary Nickson J: Non Runner T: Gary Nickson	196	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run rolled along in front before being edged out 3rd of 9 in a Bm78 at Warwick Farm on September 23 over 6 ½f, slow going 1.3 len behind Monte Kate with 129lbs at $4.40. The run before that rolled along in front before being edged out 3rd of 9 in a Midway Bm72 at Randwick on September 5 over 7f, 1.2 len behind Barrengarry carrying 133lbs at $3. Definite top-three prospect who will take catching.
4	Second run back. First-up after five months ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 9 in a Bm78 at Warwick Farm on September 23 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Monte Kate carrying 132lbs at $13. Previously second-up 2nd of 9 in a Bm64 at Beaumont (Newcastle) on December 13 over 6 ¼f, 1.0 len behind Duvana carrying 129lbs at $1.85. Eye catching return and is expected to do much better. 2nd Pick 4 Octa De Lago Jockey: Dylan Gibbons Trainer: Richard Litt J: Dylan Gibbons T: Richard Litt	152	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Second run back. First-up after five months ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 9 in a Bm78 at Warwick Farm on September 23 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Monte Kate carrying 132lbs at $13. Previously second-up 2nd of 9 in a Bm64 at Beaumont (Newcastle) on December 13 over 6 ¼f, 1.0 len behind Duvana carrying 129lbs at $1.85. Eye catching return and is expected to do much better.
7	Form hard to fault. Comes off a 35 day let-up. Last start won by a long-neck in a Bm72 at Warwick Farm on September 2 over 1m defeating Sneaky Choice with 121lbs at $8. The start before that set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 7 in a Bm78 at Rosehill on August 15 over 1 ³/16m, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Concordia Wind carrying 118lbs at $18. One of the major players kept up to the mark with a 5 ¼f tick over trial. 3rd Pick 7 Flying From Above Jockey: Adam Hyeronimus Trainer: Edward Cummings J: Adam Hyeronimus T: Edward Cummings	101	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Comes off a 35 day let-up. Last start won by a long-neck in a Bm72 at Warwick Farm on September 2 over 1m defeating Sneaky Choice with 121lbs at $8. The start before that set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 7 in a Bm78 at Rosehill on August 15 over 1 ³/16m, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Concordia Wind carrying 118lbs at $18. One of the major players kept up to the mark with a 5 ¼f tick over trial.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.