AU - Randwick Kensington - Race 5

Thoroughbred

19 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

39.6K

VIEW

Verdict

MOTHER GOOSE (6) met with some midrace interference then recovered to grab third last start over 6f at Canterbury. Gets out to 7f for the first time which looks an excellent option. Cherry ripe after two runs back and is a big chance to double her win tally. ELIVINA (8) put in the big strides late but missed by just under a length when resuming over this distance at Kembla last time out. Lightly raced mare who won at this stage last prep so she can build on that promising effort. VIRGIL'S GIFT (14) won on debut then led but just failed to hang on over 7 ½f at Rosehill recently. Promising filly who should be hard to reel in coming back a little in distance. The consistent EMBALLEE (5) gets back in her races then finds the line. Coming back a little in trip doesn't look ideal but in a race that lacks depth she is a sound top three prospect. AURA (7) will find this a lot harder than the Kembla maiden she took out last time. Exotics only.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
6	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming held ground to the line 2nd of 8 at Wyong F&M Cl1 on October 30 over 6f, 1.5 len behind My Bella Vista with 130lbs at $4.20. Last start 3rd of 9 at Canterbury Mares Bm64 on November 19 over 6f, 3 len behind Tequila Baby with 131lbs at $3.60. Going well and the extra furlong today is the key. 1st Pick 6 Mother Goose Jockey: Anna Roper Trainer: Gary Portelli J: Anna Roper T: Gary Portelli	117	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming held ground to the line 2nd of 8 at Wyong F&M Cl1 on October 30 over 6f, 1.5 len behind My Bella Vista with 130lbs at $4.20. Last start 3rd of 9 at Canterbury Mares Bm64 on November 19 over 6f, 3 len behind Tequila Baby with 131lbs at $3.60. Going well and the extra furlong today is the key.
8	Second-up. First-up after five months 2nd of 9 at Kembla Grange Cl1 on November 4 over 7f, 0.8 len behind Storm Season carrying 125lbs at $7.50. Previously second-up won by 0.6 len at Newcastle Super Mdn-Sw April 26 over 7 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Covert Thinking with 125lbs at $4. Won her maiden second-up last prep so worth following up. 2nd Pick 8 Elivina Jockey: Kerrin Mcevoy Trainer: Kerry Parker J: Kerrin Mcevoy T: Kerry Parker	100	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after five months 2nd of 9 at Kembla Grange Cl1 on November 4 over 7f, 0.8 len behind Storm Season carrying 125lbs at $7.50. Previously second-up won by 0.6 len at Newcastle Super Mdn-Sw April 26 over 7 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Covert Thinking with 125lbs at $4. Won her maiden second-up last prep so worth following up.
14	Third race start today. When well in the market at debut, favourite, won by 1.3 len at Kembla Grange F&M Mdn-Sw October 25 over 6f defeating La Basilique with 119lbs at $1.90. Second-up held ground to the line 2nd of 8 at Rosehill F&M Bm64 on November 12 over 7 ½f, head behind The Mona Lisa with 127lbs at $1.80. Promising filly who is good enough to test this line-up. 3rd Pick 14 Virgil's Gift Jockey: Rachel King Trainer: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott J: Rachel King T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott	187	-	-	-	46%
Analysis Third race start today. When well in the market at debut, favourite, won by 1.3 len at Kembla Grange F&M Mdn-Sw October 25 over 6f defeating La Basilique with 119lbs at $1.90. Second-up held ground to the line 2nd of 8 at Rosehill F&M Bm64 on November 12 over 7 ½f, head behind The Mona Lisa with 127lbs at $1.80. Promising filly who is good enough to test this line-up.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.