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Resulted

AU - Randwick Kensington - Race 4

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
5.7f
Benchmark
Turf
HEAVY 8
42.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

HEZDARNHOTTOO (4) returned with a strong run for third 2 back and then raced on speed at Flemington before fading late, after racing too keenly during the running over 5 ½f. JMac steps into the irons for his peak run, and he can take this out. GRAND PRAIRIE (3) was very good when resuming at Warwick Farm, finishing a nose back from the winner after travelling handy to the pace throughout. He put in some big efforts in good company during the spring, and he can go one better here. HAY STREET (9) broke through stylishly at Rosehill over 6f last start, and he drops 13lbs for this assignment. Stick with him. UNSTOPABULL (7) has been mixing his form, but from a handy gate, he is a top 4 chance in this een field. PIASTRI (1) needed his fresh run, and he can be a quick improver, so check the market moves.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Surf's Up silk

Dual acceptor. Resumes after a break of four-and-a-half months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign eighth of 16 at Flemington in the G3 Red Roses November 6 over 5 ½f, 5 len behind Point Barrow carrying 121lbs at $6. First up last campaign second of 8 at Warwick Farm 3yo Bm64 September 3 over 6f, soft track, a neck behind Cantiamo with 127lbs at $14. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Expected to feature.

1st Pick
8

Surf's Up

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Chris Waller

J: Non Runner

T: Chris Waller

98---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Dual acceptor. Resumes after a break of four-and-a-half months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign eighth of 16 at Flemington in the G3 Red Roses November 6 over 5 ½f, 5 len behind Point Barrow carrying 121lbs at $6. First up last campaign second of 8 at Warwick Farm 3yo Bm64 September 3 over 6f, soft track, a neck behind Cantiamo with 127lbs at $14. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Expected to feature.

4
Hezdarnhottoo silk

Third-up today. First-up rolled along in front then was edged out late 3rd of 9 at Rosehill 3&4yo Bm78 on February 21 over 5 ½f, 0.9 len behind Signor Tortoni carrying 129lbs at $14. Second-up raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 8 at Flemington Bm84 on March 7 over 5 ½f, 4 len behind Verdoux with 125lbs at $6.50. Fitter and rates a key chance this line-up.

2nd Pick
4

Hezdarnhottoo

Jockey: James Mcdonald

Trainer: Bjorn Baker

J: James Mcdonald

T: Bjorn Baker

184---29%

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up rolled along in front then was edged out late 3rd of 9 at Rosehill 3&4yo Bm78 on February 21 over 5 ½f, 0.9 len behind Signor Tortoni carrying 129lbs at $14. Second-up raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 8 at Flemington Bm84 on March 7 over 5 ½f, 4 len behind Verdoux with 125lbs at $6.50. Fitter and rates a key chance this line-up.

3
Grand Prairie silk

Second run back. First-up after four months sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at Warwick Farm Bm78 on March 11 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, nose behind Our Queen with 130lbs at $9.50. Previously second-up ran on from midfield, 2nd of 7 at Rosehill 3&4yo Bm72 on August 2 over 6f, on a wet track, 3 len behind Stardeel carrying 119lbs at $3.40. Looks hard to beat.

3rd Pick
3

Grand Prairie

Jockey: Tom Sherry

Trainer: Peter Snowden

J: Tom Sherry

T: Peter Snowden

221---36%

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after four months sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at Warwick Farm Bm78 on March 11 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, nose behind Our Queen with 130lbs at $9.50. Previously second-up ran on from midfield, 2nd of 7 at Rosehill 3&4yo Bm72 on August 2 over 6f, on a wet track, 3 len behind Stardeel carrying 119lbs at $3.40. Looks hard to beat.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.