AU - Randwick Kensington - Race 4

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

8.9f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

41.6K

VIEW

Verdict

STANDARD DEVIATION (6) finds an easier contest fourth up and no excuses today from the good draw. Three weeks between runs when he held his ground to the line with a close-up fourth over 1 ³/16m at Canterbury. Ticks all the right boxes with J Mac aboard. SNEAKY CHOICE (7) underrated mare who maps well today at her fifth run for the prep. Savaged the line two back when second at Warwick Farm. Jumped in class and chipped away late for a plugging fifth over the 1m at Warwick Farm in BM78 grade. Winning jockey hops back aboard and sure to be thereabouts. LEICA STORM (4) placed at the trip and deserves another chance today. Shouldered the 129lbs with a close-up fifth over 1m at Warwick Farm. Will roll forward and give plenty of cheek. BOTANICAL BOY (1) is starting to hit his straps after launching late with the 132lbs to salute as fav in a tight finish over 1m at Warwick Farm. Adept in all conditions and keep safe.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
6	Recent form sound. Last start 4th of 10 in a 5yo+ Bm72 at Canterbury on September 16 over 1 ³/16m, 1.4 len behind Doradus with 127lbs at $4. Before that 2nd of 7 in a Bm72 at Canterbury on August 26 over 1 ³/16m, slow going neck behind Fioprospero carrying 125lbs at $5.50. Thereabouts in his three runs back and no excuses today. 1st Pick 6 Standard Deviation Jockey: James Mcdonald Trainer: Chris Waller J: James Mcdonald T: Chris Waller	150	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start 4th of 10 in a 5yo+ Bm72 at Canterbury on September 16 over 1 ³/16m, 1.4 len behind Doradus with 127lbs at $4. Before that 2nd of 7 in a Bm72 at Canterbury on August 26 over 1 ³/16m, slow going neck behind Fioprospero carrying 125lbs at $5.50. Thereabouts in his three runs back and no excuses today.
7	Most recently 5th of 8 in a F&M Bm78 at Warwick Farm on September 23 over 1m, slow going 3.5 len behind Samarelle carrying 122lbs at $6.50. The run before that 2nd of 9 in a Bm72 at Warwick Farm on September 2 over 1m, long-neck behind Flying From Above carrying 123lbs at $26. Drops in grade and will have little trouble running the extra trip, respect. 2nd Pick 7 Sneaky Choice Jockey: Tommy Berry Trainer: Brad Widdup J: Tommy Berry T: Brad Widdup	112	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Most recently 5th of 8 in a F&M Bm78 at Warwick Farm on September 23 over 1m, slow going 3.5 len behind Samarelle carrying 122lbs at $6.50. The run before that 2nd of 9 in a Bm72 at Warwick Farm on September 2 over 1m, long-neck behind Flying From Above carrying 123lbs at $26. Drops in grade and will have little trouble running the extra trip, respect.
4	Most recently 5th of 10 in a Cg&E Bm72 at Warwick Farm on September 23 over 1m, slow going 1.0 len behind Botanical Boy carrying 129lbs at $4.40. The run before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 9 in a Bm72 at Warwick Farm on September 2 over 1m, 3 len behind Flying From Above carrying 130lbs at $3.20. Fitter now and anticipating a big run. 3rd Pick 4 Leica Storm Jockey: Zac Lloyd Trainer: Matthew Smith J: Zac Lloyd T: Matthew Smith	155	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Most recently 5th of 10 in a Cg&E Bm72 at Warwick Farm on September 23 over 1m, slow going 1.0 len behind Botanical Boy carrying 129lbs at $4.40. The run before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 9 in a Bm72 at Warwick Farm on September 2 over 1m, 3 len behind Flying From Above carrying 130lbs at $3.20. Fitter now and anticipating a big run.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.