AU - Randwick Kensington - Race 4

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

5.5f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 6

63.1K

VIEW

Verdict

HAPPY BELLIE (7) led for home and looked a chance but she found one better late when resuming from a long break over this distance at Gosford last time out. Fitter for that hit-out and with Nash going on she might prove tough to catch. MIA BALLERINA (8) has been in the money at all three runs this time in work, most recently over 5f at Kembla when handy all the way. Cherry ripe and from gate one is a definite contender. SIESTA (9) is back after a twenty-week absence. Competitive at all three runs in the maiden prep. Looks ready for this judging by a soft trial win at Warwick Farm on 3 March. IMPERIAL STATE (2) returns from a five-month break as a gelding so he can improve on what we saw last time in work. EMERY (5) did a fair job in the two runs of her maiden prep. In the mix first-up from a nineteen-week spell.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Resumes after a break of five-and-a-half months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation when last of 11 at Rosehill Super 3yo Mdn-Sw October 2 over 7f, soft track, 15 len behind The Three Hundred carrying 121lbs at $12. First up last campaign second of 7 at Newcastle Super 3yo Mdn-Sw August 15 over 4 ½f, on rain affected going, 8 len behind Runranirun with 121lbs at $1.40. Should kick off this prep in a positive manner. 1st Pick 6 Extreme Diva Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: John O'shea & Tom Charlton J: Non Runner T: John O'shea & Tom Charlton	185	-	-	-	14%	Scratched
Analysis Resumes after a break of five-and-a-half months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation when last of 11 at Rosehill Super 3yo Mdn-Sw October 2 over 7f, soft track, 15 len behind The Three Hundred carrying 121lbs at $12. First up last campaign second of 7 at Newcastle Super 3yo Mdn-Sw August 15 over 4 ½f, on rain affected going, 8 len behind Runranirun with 121lbs at $1.40. Should kick off this prep in a positive manner.
7	Second run back. First-up after 10 months tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd in a small field at Gosford Super Mdn on February 22 over 5 ½f, slow going 0.7 len behind Tassaal with 128lbs at $1.70. Previously second-up 3rd of 12 at Kembla Grange 2yo Mdn-Sw on April 27 over 6f, 3 len behind Lazzura with 121lbs at $6.50. Further improvement in store. 2nd Pick 7 Happy Bellie Jockey: Nash Rawiller Trainer: Bjorn Baker J: Nash Rawiller T: Bjorn Baker	143	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after 10 months tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd in a small field at Gosford Super Mdn on February 22 over 5 ½f, slow going 0.7 len behind Tassaal with 128lbs at $1.70. Previously second-up 3rd of 12 at Kembla Grange 2yo Mdn-Sw on April 27 over 6f, 3 len behind Lazzura with 121lbs at $6.50. Further improvement in store.
8	Form hard to fault. Last start 3rd in a small field at Kembla Grange Mdn-Sw on February 25 over 5f, slow going 1.5 len behind Be Quiet with 125lbs at $2.90. The start before that rolled along in front before being edged out 2nd of 7 at Wyong F&M Mdn on February 13 over 5 ½f, 5.5 len behind Written Scandal with 130lbs at $2.60. Great chance to win with the aid of the inside alley. 3rd Pick 8 Mia Ballerina Jockey: Zac Lloyd Trainer: Chris Waller J: Zac Lloyd T: Chris Waller	155	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start 3rd in a small field at Kembla Grange Mdn-Sw on February 25 over 5f, slow going 1.5 len behind Be Quiet with 125lbs at $2.90. The start before that rolled along in front before being edged out 2nd of 7 at Wyong F&M Mdn on February 13 over 5 ½f, 5.5 len behind Written Scandal with 130lbs at $2.60. Great chance to win with the aid of the inside alley.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.