AU - Randwick - Race 2

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

9.9f

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 7

173.6K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

Tough race. PROFOUNDLY (7) never on the track and kept surging with a gritty third over 1m in the G3 Kembla Grange Classic. Kept up to the mark with a 6f tick over trial and gets the gun run. Genuine contender. FEMININO (4) shed her Maiden tag two-back, then turned in a courageous effort from the outside gate to grip on with a nose win over 1m in the G3 Kembla Grange Classic. Drawn out again and not sure where her ceiling is. Keep safe. CLASSIC GEM (6) Group placed Maiden filly who strips fitter with her eye-catching return when second in the G3 Alexandra Stakes over 1m at Caulfield. Trip suits and not to be underestimated. SPICY LU (1) huge run second-up when sat on the solid tempo before tiring late for a respectable eighth over 1m at Kembla Grange. Can slide across from the wide gate and figure prominently. SOVERATO (3) big jump in class when fourth in the G2 Phar Lap over 7 ½f at Rosehill. Ready for the trip fourth-up with J Mac aboard.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
7	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.8 len at Warwick Farm F&M Bm72 February 18 over 7f defeating Autumn Dream with 127lbs at $5.50. Second run from a spell 3rd of 16 at Kembla Grange in the G3 Kg Classic on March 13 over 1m, on a slow track, neck behind Feminino carrying 121lbs at $8. Progressive filly who gets the right run today, go close. 1st Pick 7 Profoundly Jockey: Tommy Berry Trainer: Michael Freedman J: Tommy Berry T: Michael Freedman	139	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.8 len at Warwick Farm F&M Bm72 February 18 over 7f defeating Autumn Dream with 127lbs at $5.50. Second run from a spell 3rd of 16 at Kembla Grange in the G3 Kg Classic on March 13 over 1m, on a slow track, neck behind Feminino carrying 121lbs at $8. Progressive filly who gets the right run today, go close.
4	Chasing a hat-trick. Most recently ran on from midfield and won by a nose at Kembla Grange G3 Kg Classic March 13 over 1m on a soft track defeating Burn The Sky with 121lbs at $12. The run before that came from midfield and won by 0.5 len at Warwick Farm Mdn February 4 over 7f in soft going defeating Double Vision with 123lbs at $4.40. Well placed. Tenacious winner at Kembla Grange and hard to beat again. 2nd Pick 4 Feminino Jockey: Tim Clark Trainer: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott J: Tim Clark T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott	145	-	-	-	12%
Analysis Chasing a hat-trick. Most recently ran on from midfield and won by a nose at Kembla Grange G3 Kg Classic March 13 over 1m on a soft track defeating Burn The Sky with 121lbs at $12. The run before that came from midfield and won by 0.5 len at Warwick Farm Mdn February 4 over 7f in soft going defeating Double Vision with 123lbs at $4.40. Well placed. Tenacious winner at Kembla Grange and hard to beat again.
6	Dual acceptor. Second run back. First-up after four months ran on strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 7 at Caulfield in the G3 Alexandra Stks on March 21 over 1m, 0.8 len behind Getta Good Feeling carrying 123lbs at $7. Previously second-up 2nd of 7 at Seymour 3yo F Mdn-Sw on August 15 over 7f, slow going 1.0 len behind Yum with 126lbs at $5. One of the best Maiden fillies in the country due for a change of luck. 3rd Pick 6 Classic Gem Jockey: Damian Lane Trainer: Dominic Sutton J: Damian Lane T: Dominic Sutton	105	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Dual acceptor. Second run back. First-up after four months ran on strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 7 at Caulfield in the G3 Alexandra Stks on March 21 over 1m, 0.8 len behind Getta Good Feeling carrying 123lbs at $7. Previously second-up 2nd of 7 at Seymour 3yo F Mdn-Sw on August 15 over 7f, slow going 1.0 len behind Yum with 126lbs at $5. One of the best Maiden fillies in the country due for a change of luck.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.