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4:20 AM

AU - Queanbeyan - Race 4

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
8f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
19.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BIG TIME CHARLIE (2) is likely to be better over further, but he comes into calculations racing over the mile on resumption. Was plain before the break, but his form prior is hard to knock and if he can return in similar fashion, this is well within his grasp.TIDAL RUSH (1) was no match for the winner but held his own in a BM74 here last time out at this trip. He was big odds there, but this is an easier race and if he can run up to that level again from an inside barrier, he can put his best foot forward. I DOUBT IT (7) draws the inside and can play a leading role. TAKE THE CHANCE (9) is on the quick turnaround today but her recent form stacks right up. Live chance if she handles the back up.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
The Adige silk

Finished over the top of them to win a Class 1 at this track last start, beating Melodia Perfecta by just over half a length after travelling well from the rear. That was a decisive rebound from his Moruya run on soft ground, and he now reaches peak fitness third-up. Third-up now and brings the strongest winning profile.

1st Pick
3

The Adige

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Joe Cleary

J: Non Runner

T: Joe Cleary

122---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Finished over the top of them to win a Class 1 at this track last start, beating Melodia Perfecta by just over half a length after travelling well from the rear. That was a decisive rebound from his Moruya run on soft ground, and he now reaches peak fitness third-up. Third-up now and brings the strongest winning profile.

2
Big Time Charlie silk

Returns from a five-month break after ending last preparation with a second-last in a BM65 at Canberra Acton, beaten over 10 lengths by Tavijewel when near the top of an open market. His earlier BM55 win there was much better, beating Region Time by two and a half lengths after leading. If forward enough, his best form is right up to winning this.

2nd Pick
2

Big Time Charlie

Jockey: Claire Ramsbotham

Trainer: Luke Pepper

J: Claire Ramsbotham

T: Luke Pepper

95---10%10/1

Analysis

Returns from a five-month break after ending last preparation with a second-last in a BM65 at Canberra Acton, beaten over 10 lengths by Tavijewel when near the top of an open market. His earlier BM55 win there was much better, beating Region Time by two and a half lengths after leading. If forward enough, his best form is right up to winning this.

5
The Hard Road silk

Broke through in a Mdn at this venue last start, beating Aquilino by just over half a length as favourite despite being tightened near the 1 ½f. That showed more polish than his Illawarra Grange sixth, where he was big odds and only moderate late. Wide draw and 1m are the main tests.

3rd Pick
5

The Hard Road

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Joseph Ible

J: Non Runner

T: Joseph Ible

108---8%

Scratched

Analysis

Broke through in a Mdn at this venue last start, beating Aquilino by just over half a length as favourite despite being tightened near the 1 ½f. That showed more polish than his Illawarra Grange sixth, where he was big odds and only moderate late. Wide draw and 1m are the main tests.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.