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5:50 AM

AU - Port Macquarie - Race 8

Thoroughbred
18 Runners
7.5f
Benchmark
Turf
HEAVY 8
19.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Open race. DAMASCUS GATE (1) led for home last start over this distance at Muswellbrook but was swamped late and missed the placings. That run came off a five-day back-up which may have backfired. Likely leader from the good gate and will be tough to get past. ARCHIE MAXIMUS (2) took charge a fair way from home then went on to record a dominant maiden victory over 5 ?f at Grafton last time out. Up sharply in trip off a six-week let-up which is concerning, but he is progressing well and is in good hands. Stablemate AUTUMN MISS (4) returned to form last start when runner-up over 1 m at Beaudesert. Back a little in grade today and should be in the finish again. HIGHWIRE GIRL (7) led for home but found one better over 1m at Coffs Harbour recently. Cherry ripe after three runs back and should give a great sight up in the leading division. Last start Tuncurry maiden winner DIANELLA (11) faces a big class rise but is lightly raced and progressing well.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Damascus Gate silk

At the latest run led to the turn then faded 6th of 10 at Muswellbrook Bm58 on May 1 over 7 ½f, 3.5 len behind Oenology carrying 128lbs at $6.50. The race before that 4th of 10 at this track Bm66 on April 26 over 1m, slow going 1.2 len behind Strobing carrying 128lbs at $6.50. Hard to beat on his best form.

1st Pick
1

Damascus Gate

Jockey: Hollie Hull

Trainer: Carlos Antonio

J: Hollie Hull

T: Carlos Antonio

198---10%9/1

Analysis

At the latest run led to the turn then faded 6th of 10 at Muswellbrook Bm58 on May 1 over 7 ½f, 3.5 len behind Oenology carrying 128lbs at $6.50. The race before that 4th of 10 at this track Bm66 on April 26 over 1m, slow going 1.2 len behind Strobing carrying 128lbs at $6.50. Hard to beat on his best form.

2
Archie Maximus silk

Recent form sound. Comes here off a 41-day let-up. Last start favourite, won by 3 len at Grafton Ctry Mdn April 7 over 5f defeating Amazigh Torque carrying 129lbs at $1.60. The run before that raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 9 at Gold Coast Mdn on March 21 over 6f, 2.75 len behind On The Throne carrying 125lbs at $7. Heading the right way and looks a key runner again.

2nd Pick
2

Archie Maximus

Jockey: Aaron Bullock

Trainer: Matthew Dunn

J: Aaron Bullock

T: Matthew Dunn

128---25%3/1

Analysis

Recent form sound. Comes here off a 41-day let-up. Last start favourite, won by 3 len at Grafton Ctry Mdn April 7 over 5f defeating Amazigh Torque carrying 129lbs at $1.60. The run before that raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 9 at Gold Coast Mdn on March 21 over 6f, 2.75 len behind On The Throne carrying 125lbs at $7. Heading the right way and looks a key runner again.

4
Autumn Miss silk

Racing well recently. At the latest run raced on the pace when 2nd of 9 at Beaudesert Bm65 on April 25 over 1 m, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind The Catch carrying 123lbs at $6. The run before that 4th of 11 at Grafton Ctry Bm58 on April 7 over 1m, 1.0 len behind Lady Alabama carrying 131lbs at $7.50. Back in form last start and is strong top-three hope.

3rd Pick
4

Autumn Miss

Jockey: Nick Heywood

Trainer: Matthew Dunn

J: Nick Heywood

T: Matthew Dunn

122---17%5/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. At the latest run raced on the pace when 2nd of 9 at Beaudesert Bm65 on April 25 over 1 m, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind The Catch carrying 123lbs at $6. The run before that 4th of 11 at Grafton Ctry Bm58 on April 7 over 1m, 1.0 len behind Lady Alabama carrying 131lbs at $7.50. Back in form last start and is strong top-three hope.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.