AU - Port Macquarie - Race 7

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

18.8K

VIEW

Verdict

AEROFOIL (9) got too far back fresh then progressed nicely last time out when sent forward here and never gave his rivals a sniff. Draws to do the same, so if he can hold that form he can repeat the dose. ROYAL TEENS (10) is knocking on the door and will appreciate returning to this track where he boasts a strong record. Draws well and has fresh legs. Big threat. FANCY SHOULDER (13) made a bright in the new colours when resuming off a long break at Inverell. Found the line nicely for third last time and is heading the right way but she will need some luck from out there. TRYANZA (6) has been thereabouts in his two runs back and has enough early dash to offset the wide alley if they want. Fitter and is in the mix.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Third-up today. Resuming eased back early on 9th of 14 at Taree Cl1 on June 23 over 5f, on heavy track, 5.5 len behind Immortal Storm carrying 122lbs at $91. Second-up won by 4.5 len at this track Bm50 July 4 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating Winter Storm with 129lbs at $6.50. Racing well. Will give a great sight again. 1st Pick 9 Aerofoil Jockey: Danny Peisley Trainer: John A Sprague J: Danny Peisley T: John A Sprague	135	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming eased back early on 9th of 14 at Taree Cl1 on June 23 over 5f, on heavy track, 5.5 len behind Immortal Storm carrying 122lbs at $91. Second-up won by 4.5 len at this track Bm50 July 4 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating Winter Storm with 129lbs at $6.50. Racing well. Will give a great sight again.
10	Recent form sound. Comes off a 38 day let-up. At the latest run ran on from midfield, 4th of 14 at Taree Ctry Bm58 on June 23 over 6 ¼f, in the wet, 2.25 len behind Got The Smarts with 127lbs at $7. The start before that 4th of 10 at Taree Ctry Bm58 on June 5 over 6 ½f, on a wet track, 5.5 len behind Mosgiel Daisy carrying 128lbs at $7. Can turn things around. 2nd Pick 10 Royal Teens Jockey: Grant Buckley Trainer: Terry Evans J: Grant Buckley T: Terry Evans	80	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Comes off a 38 day let-up. At the latest run ran on from midfield, 4th of 14 at Taree Ctry Bm58 on June 23 over 6 ¼f, in the wet, 2.25 len behind Got The Smarts with 127lbs at $7. The start before that 4th of 10 at Taree Ctry Bm58 on June 5 over 6 ½f, on a wet track, 5.5 len behind Mosgiel Daisy carrying 128lbs at $7. Can turn things around.
13	Third-up today. First-up tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2.5 len at Inverell F&M Bm58 June 19 over 5 ¼f defeating On My Command carrying 125lbs at $3.80. Last start ran on from midfield, 3rd of 14 at Grafton F&M Bm58 on July 19 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Hayley's Rocket with 125lbs at $6. Leading contender. 3rd Pick 13 Fancy Shoulder Jockey: Bailey Wheeler Trainer: Daniel Wheeler J: Bailey Wheeler T: Daniel Wheeler	78	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Third-up today. First-up tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2.5 len at Inverell F&M Bm58 June 19 over 5 ¼f defeating On My Command carrying 125lbs at $3.80. Last start ran on from midfield, 3rd of 14 at Grafton F&M Bm58 on July 19 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Hayley's Rocket with 125lbs at $6. Leading contender.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.