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8:41 AM

AU - Pinjarra - Race 8

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
7f
Class 3
Turf
GOOD 4
20.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BERRY BLAST (7) is inching toward another win, missing in a photo finish last start over 6 ½f at Northam last week. She jumped favourite there and her maiden win came when third-up last campaign. Showed her class last start and despite drawing out again, she can go one better this time around. RUBENS' CEILING (1) disappointed fresh and has been back to the trials since that effort where he looked back on song. He should find a good position from the barrier and coming back to an easier race this time is a big tick. Still has good upside and can't be left out of calculations. LEETRON (2) was too good last start at 7f here. That form has already been franked and it may have been again today. Back out in trip is no issue and he can repeat the dose. DOMINANT FORCE (11) can go one better this time around after a good effort here last time. BACK TO BONDI (5) is better than he showed fresh and can improve quickly.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Berry Blast silk

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 2nd of 10 at Pinjarra Scarpside Cl1 F&M on June 24 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Swansee carrying 129lbs at $4.80. Last start came from midfield, 2nd of 13 at Northam Cl3 on July 9 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, nose behind Classic Ruler with 125lbs at $2.50. Rates highly. Knocking on the door and makes plenty of appeal on the quick turnaround.

1st Pick
7

Berry Blast

Jockey: Clint Johnston-Porter

Trainer: Simon A Miller

J: Clint Johnston-Porter

T: Simon A Miller

147---35%15/8

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 2nd of 10 at Pinjarra Scarpside Cl1 F&M on June 24 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Swansee carrying 129lbs at $4.80. Last start came from midfield, 2nd of 13 at Northam Cl3 on July 9 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, nose behind Classic Ruler with 125lbs at $2.50. Rates highly. Knocking on the door and makes plenty of appeal on the quick turnaround.

1
Rubens' Ceiling silk

Second run back. Comes off a 54-day let-up. First-up after six months 8th of 10 at Belmont Park 3yo Plate on May 23 over 6f, 7 len behind Ourgirlcanrun carrying 128lbs at $31. Previously second-up was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by a head at Ascot 3yo Plate October 18 over 7f defeating Saam Time Lucky with 123lbs at $7.50. Can improve quickly getting out in distance.

2nd Pick
1

Rubens' Ceiling

Jockey: Victoria Corver

Trainer: Ryan Hill

J: Victoria Corver

T: Ryan Hill

120---15%6/1

Analysis

Second run back. Comes off a 54-day let-up. First-up after six months 8th of 10 at Belmont Park 3yo Plate on May 23 over 6f, 7 len behind Ourgirlcanrun carrying 128lbs at $31. Previously second-up was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by a head at Ascot 3yo Plate October 18 over 7f defeating Saam Time Lucky with 123lbs at $7.50. Can improve quickly getting out in distance.

2
Leetron silk

Recent form sound. Last start won by 0.9 len at this track Cl3 C&G July 2 over 6f in soft going defeating True Fiction with 127lbs at $9. The start before that set the pace for much of the race 3rd of 12 at Belmont Park Grad Hcp 60+ on June 13 over 7f, slow going 2 len behind Territory Man carrying 121lbs at $19. Back in form and can go on with it.

3rd Pick
2

Leetron

Jockey: Patrick Carbery

Trainer: Fred Kersley

J: Patrick Carbery

T: Fred Kersley

103---15%6/1

Analysis

Recent form sound. Last start won by 0.9 len at this track Cl3 C&G July 2 over 6f in soft going defeating True Fiction with 127lbs at $9. The start before that set the pace for much of the race 3rd of 12 at Belmont Park Grad Hcp 60+ on June 13 over 7f, slow going 2 len behind Territory Man carrying 121lbs at $19. Back in form and can go on with it.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.