AU - Orange - Race 7

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

20.9K

VIEW

Verdict

Tough contest to end the day. XCEPTIONAL SPIRIT (11) strengthened up over the break and looks hard to catch again with the claim. Went out hard and nailed late with a respectable third over 4 ½f at Queanbeyan. Has the gate speed to take up a forward position. CAN DO IT (2) saves his best for the home track and this trip. Returned from a lengthy break with a game third from off the speed over 5f here. Has a good second up record and maps to get the gun run. BROGANS CREEK (12) deep into the campaign and returned to form with a game victory over 5 ½f in a BM50 at Mudgee on a rain affected track. Senior rider hops aboard and sure to be thereabouts. WELLSPRING (4) is stepping out at this track for the first time. Last appeared when he scored over 5f at Grenfell on September 26. Can feature.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
11	Third-up today. Resumes off a 41 day letup. First-up won by 4 len in a Mdn-Sw at Canberra Acton on August 21 over 5f defeating Three Wishes carrying 117lbs at $10. Second run from a spell 3rd of 9 in a Cl1 at Queanbeyan on September 8 over 4 ½f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind La Stiava with 122lbs at $2.90. Fitter and is among the winning hopes. 1st Pick 11 Xceptional Spirit Jockey: Emma Ly Trainer: Matthew Kelley J: Emma Ly T: Matthew Kelley	150	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Third-up today. Resumes off a 41 day letup. First-up won by 4 len in a Mdn-Sw at Canberra Acton on August 21 over 5f defeating Three Wishes carrying 117lbs at $10. Second run from a spell 3rd of 9 in a Cl1 at Queanbeyan on September 8 over 4 ½f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind La Stiava with 122lbs at $2.90. Fitter and is among the winning hopes.
2	Second-up. First-up after nine months 3rd of 10 in a Ctry Bm58 at this track on October 8 over 5f, 2.75 len behind Vicious Rumour with 130lbs at $16. Previously second-up took up a position near the tail 2nd of 12 in a Bm66 at Dubbo on November 1 over 5f, 1.5 len behind Beaumista with 122lbs at $31. Further improvement in store from a soft gate. 2nd Pick 2 Can Do It Jockey: Leeshelle Small Trainer: Alison Smith J: Leeshelle Small T: Alison Smith	113	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after nine months 3rd of 10 in a Ctry Bm58 at this track on October 8 over 5f, 2.75 len behind Vicious Rumour with 130lbs at $16. Previously second-up took up a position near the tail 2nd of 12 in a Bm66 at Dubbo on November 1 over 5f, 1.5 len behind Beaumista with 122lbs at $31. Further improvement in store from a soft gate.
12	Most recently won by a neck in a Bm50 at Mudgee on October 3 over 5 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Ready For Lift Off with 121lbs at $5.50. The run before that sat behind the speed prior to fading ran second last of 8 in a Bm58 at Bathurst on September 13 over 6f, slow going 3 len behind Trifecta Ruby carrying 121lbs at $20. Back in winning form and is worth following up. 3rd Pick 12 Brogans Creek Jockey: Clayton Gallagher Trainer: Toby Pracey J: Clayton Gallagher T: Toby Pracey	135	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Most recently won by a neck in a Bm50 at Mudgee on October 3 over 5 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Ready For Lift Off with 121lbs at $5.50. The run before that sat behind the speed prior to fading ran second last of 8 in a Bm58 at Bathurst on September 13 over 6f, slow going 3 len behind Trifecta Ruby carrying 121lbs at $20. Back in winning form and is worth following up.

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Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

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