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6:03 AM

AU - Orange - Race 6

Thoroughbred
16 Runners
6.5f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
17.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ASSOCIATE (8) ran a terrific race to finish second when resuming in open company over this distance at Moruya two back. Subsequently struggled in a Randwick Highway over 7f. Back in his right race today and appeals as the one to beat. MASTER OF DISGUISE (11) was scratched from Canterbury on Wednesday to be kept for this. Led and tried hard but found one better last time out over 5 ?f at Albury. Yet to prove herself beyond six furlongs but with the light weight from a good draw she gets her chance. ROUGE MOULIN (6) is knocking on the door, the latest offering a closing second over 6f at Warren. Has raced once over this distance at got the cash. Very fit and after the claim is very nicely placed. LIFE'S A PARTY (10) has a similar profile to Rouge Moulin with some recent minor placings over shorter journeys. Will put herself in the race and should be in the finish. Distance specialist SCOPICS (15) caught the eye at Kembla last start and is a chance down in the weights.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Associate silk

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 14 at Moruya Legend Of Sth on October 3 over 6 ½f, 1.3 len behind Urafiki carrying 123lbs at $6.50. Second run from a spell 8th of 15 at Randwick Highway-C3 on November 1 over 7f, slow going 5 len behind Lovewillcomelater carrying 134lbs at $12. Capable of a better showing. Big drop in class today and should play a major role.

1st Pick
8

Associate

Jockey: Pierre Boudvillain

Trainer: Danielle Seib

J: Pierre Boudvillain

T: Danielle Seib

201---20%4/1

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 14 at Moruya Legend Of Sth on October 3 over 6 ½f, 1.3 len behind Urafiki carrying 123lbs at $6.50. Second run from a spell 8th of 15 at Randwick Highway-C3 on November 1 over 7f, slow going 5 len behind Lovewillcomelater carrying 134lbs at $12. Capable of a better showing. Big drop in class today and should play a major role.

11
Master Of Disguise silk

Most recently gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 9 at Albury Twilight Bm86 on November 7 over 5f, 0.5 len behind Zethus carrying 115lbs at $2.45. The start before that led to the turn then faded 6th of 9 at Randwick Kensington F&M Bm72 on October 8 over 6 ¼f, 4 len behind Rubi's Serve with 129lbs at $9. Doesn't need to improve much to salute.

2nd Pick
11

Master Of Disguise

Jockey: Dale Cole

Trainer: Danielle Seib

J: Dale Cole

T: Danielle Seib

158---27%11/4

Analysis

Most recently gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 9 at Albury Twilight Bm86 on November 7 over 5f, 0.5 len behind Zethus carrying 115lbs at $2.45. The start before that led to the turn then faded 6th of 9 at Randwick Kensington F&M Bm72 on October 8 over 6 ¼f, 4 len behind Rubi's Serve with 129lbs at $9. Doesn't need to improve much to salute.

6
Rouge Moulin silk

Form hard to fault. Most recently sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 9 at Warren Club Sprnt on November 9 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Stratified carrying 123lbs at $2.90. The race before that 3rd of 9 at Coonabarabran Sprint Bm80 on October 26 over 5 ½f, 3 len behind Enterprise Legend with 127lbs at $3.40. Rates highly. Finding the line well so an extra ½f looks a nice option.

3rd Pick
6

Rouge Moulin

Jockey: Izzy Neale

Trainer: Brett Robb

J: Izzy Neale

T: Brett Robb

98---8%12/1

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Most recently sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 9 at Warren Club Sprnt on November 9 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Stratified carrying 123lbs at $2.90. The race before that 3rd of 9 at Coonabarabran Sprint Bm80 on October 26 over 5 ½f, 3 len behind Enterprise Legend with 127lbs at $3.40. Rates highly. Finding the line well so an extra ½f looks a nice option.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.