AU - Orange - Race 4

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

6.4f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

19.4K

VIEW

Verdict

BASTION (8) has been in the betting at all four runs to date but only hit her straps last start, leading for much of the way before finding one better over 7 ¼f at Queanbeyan. Drawn to enjoy the perfect run and in a modest affair can go one better. MARY LE BONE (3) has not raced since holding on well for third over 7 ¼f at Queanbeyan back on 12 October. Has had plenty of chances but her form stacks up better than most in this line-up. STREET SKATER (4) did a good job to hang on for third in an unsuitably short 4 ½f scamper at Coonabarabran recently. That was his first run for nine weeks so there is plenty of improvement in store. VASTLY (6) is a Press Statement four-year-old on debut for the Brett Robb stable. Best of three trials was the latest at Dubbo when edged out. Betting holds the key. ROSIE I AM (11) is a chance if she finds the form that saw her finish second over 6f at Bathurst two runs back.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Last start set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 9 at Queanbeyan Ctry Mdn-Sw on November 11 over 7 ¼f, long-neck behind Tis No Man with 127lbs at $5.50. The run before that sat on the pace before fading to run last of 8 at Sapphire Coast Mdn on October 30 over 1m, 6 len behind Pretty Please with 126lbs at $6.50. Nice effort last time. Starting to put it together and is good enough to win this. 1st Pick 8 Bastion Jockey: Pierre Boudvillain Trainer: Danielle Seib J: Pierre Boudvillain T: Danielle Seib	225	-	-	-	35%	15/8
Analysis Last start set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 9 at Queanbeyan Ctry Mdn-Sw on November 11 over 7 ¼f, long-neck behind Tis No Man with 127lbs at $5.50. The run before that sat on the pace before fading to run last of 8 at Sapphire Coast Mdn on October 30 over 1m, 6 len behind Pretty Please with 126lbs at $6.50. Nice effort last time. Starting to put it together and is good enough to win this.
3	Comes here off a 40-day let-up. Last start raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 8 at Queanbeyan Ctry Mdn on October 12 over 7 ¼f, 2 len behind One More Bout with 128lbs at $7. Before that raced on the speed throughout before fading to run last of 10 at Cootamundra Ctry Mdn-Sw on October 5 over 7f, 8 len behind Doubtfree with 123lbs at $16. Freshened up since that encouraging effort last time and is a definite threat. 2nd Pick 3 Mary Le Bone Jockey: Jake Pracey-Holmes Trainer: Bill Hayes J: Jake Pracey-Holmes T: Bill Hayes	109	-	-	-	4%	25/1
Analysis Comes here off a 40-day let-up. Last start raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 8 at Queanbeyan Ctry Mdn on October 12 over 7 ¼f, 2 len behind One More Bout with 128lbs at $7. Before that raced on the speed throughout before fading to run last of 10 at Cootamundra Ctry Mdn-Sw on October 5 over 7f, 8 len behind Doubtfree with 123lbs at $16. Freshened up since that encouraging effort last time and is a definite threat.
4	Second run back. First-up after two months 3rd of 10 at Coonabarabran Ctry Mdn-Sw on October 26 over 4 ½f, 3.5 len behind Supreme Style with 130lbs at $10. Previously second-up 5th of 12 at Narromine Ctry Mdn on August 24 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Mere Mortal carrying 130lbs at $3.50. Fitter and worth following up. 3rd Pick 4 Street Skater Jockey: Wendy Peel Trainer: Stephen Edwards J: Wendy Peel T: Stephen Edwards	88	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Second run back. First-up after two months 3rd of 10 at Coonabarabran Ctry Mdn-Sw on October 26 over 4 ½f, 3.5 len behind Supreme Style with 130lbs at $10. Previously second-up 5th of 12 at Narromine Ctry Mdn on August 24 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Mere Mortal carrying 130lbs at $3.50. Fitter and worth following up.

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