AU - Orange - Race 3

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 10

18.9K

VIEW

Verdict

TARTAN TIGER (9) worked home well into third without ever looking the winner on debut over 6f at Wyong last start. Tackles a far easier maiden this time and the extra furlong looks perfect. Hard to tip against. IVY PRINCESS (7) made significant improvement last time out when lining up for the second time although she was safely held in a 7 ½f Goulburn maiden. Can improve further with that extra race experience on board. SPLENDID MAGNUS (8) was pushed along after a slow start to race handy then boxed on gamely to finish second recently over 6f at Cowra. Plenty to like about that performance and another 1f should suit. One of the chief contenders. AEROSTERN BRO (1) has been freshened up since a mediocre effort over this course and distance five weeks ago. May have resented the blinkers on that occasion and they come off. Worth another chance. CARAFE (4) can improve over a bit more ground this afternoon.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
9	At debut, 3rd of 8 at Wyong F&M Mdn-Sw on January 25 over 6f, 2.5 len behind In Limbo with 120lbs at $8. Back to a country maiden so she looks poised to open her account. 1st Pick 9 Tartan Tiger Jockey: Olivia Chambers Trainer: Bjorn Baker J: Olivia Chambers T: Bjorn Baker	138	-	-	-	56%
Analysis At debut, 3rd of 8 at Wyong F&M Mdn-Sw on January 25 over 6f, 2.5 len behind In Limbo with 120lbs at $8. Back to a country maiden so she looks poised to open her account.
7	Raced twice to date. At long odds at debut, 10th of 13 at Kembla Grange Mdn on January 3 over 6 ½f, 8 len behind Oui Flourish carrying 123lbs at $31. Last start 6th of 11 at Goulburn Mdn-Sw on January 27 over 7 ½f, 4 len behind Toussaint carrying 125lbs at $26. Open to further improvement so worth keeping in mind. 2nd Pick 7 Ivy Princess Jockey: Shaun Guymer Trainer: Richard & Will Freedman J: Shaun Guymer T: Richard & Will Freedman	128	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Raced twice to date. At long odds at debut, 10th of 13 at Kembla Grange Mdn on January 3 over 6 ½f, 8 len behind Oui Flourish carrying 123lbs at $31. Last start 6th of 11 at Goulburn Mdn-Sw on January 27 over 7 ½f, 4 len behind Toussaint carrying 125lbs at $26. Open to further improvement so worth keeping in mind.
8	Third-up today. Resuming 4th of 9 at Moruya Ctry Mdn on January 5 over 5f, 4 len behind Shezain carrying 121lbs at $5. Last start raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 10 at Cowra Ctry Mdn on January 18 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Dubbo Boy with 121lbs at $6. Fitter now and making headway. Nicely drawn and ready to peak. 3rd Pick 8 Splendid Magnus Jockey: Damon Budler Trainer: Natalie Jarvis J: Damon Budler T: Natalie Jarvis	166	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming 4th of 9 at Moruya Ctry Mdn on January 5 over 5f, 4 len behind Shezain carrying 121lbs at $5. Last start raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 10 at Cowra Ctry Mdn on January 18 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Dubbo Boy with 121lbs at $6. Fitter now and making headway. Nicely drawn and ready to peak.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.