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Resulted

AU - Nowra - Race 4

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
5f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 5
19.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MILK FOAM (9) drops back a few levels today and ready to get off the mark from the better gate. Covered a stack of ground in the run with a fading eighth over 4 ½f at Newcastle. Gets the gun run with regular rider jumping back on and will give this a mighty shake. RED LIGHT RACHEL (10) total forgive from the wide gate with a fading sixth over 6 ½f at Canberra. Can stalk the tempo and figure prominently. DEFIANCE (1) returns a gelding from a lengthy spell and finds a soft option here. Ridden out to score in both trials and expected to take a hand in the finish. SILVERWATER KID (4) D'argento gelding from Bounding Badger on debut. Ran second at recent trial. Keep an eye on the market.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Milk Foam silk

Most recently second last of 9 at Newcastle 3yo+ Mdn-Hcp on February 28 over 4 ½f, slow going 8 len behind Precious Girl carrying 126lbs at $9.50. The start before that 3rd of 10 at Gosford Super Mdn on February 5 over 5f, 1.1 len behind Charka with 125lbs at $21. Best form stacks up nicely and set to bounce back from the low gate.

1st Pick
9

Milk Foam

Jockey: Alysha Collett

Trainer: Gary Portelli

J: Alysha Collett

T: Gary Portelli

122---12%

Analysis

Most recently second last of 9 at Newcastle 3yo+ Mdn-Hcp on February 28 over 4 ½f, slow going 8 len behind Precious Girl carrying 126lbs at $9.50. The start before that 3rd of 10 at Gosford Super Mdn on February 5 over 5f, 1.1 len behind Charka with 125lbs at $21. Best form stacks up nicely and set to bounce back from the low gate.

5
Bedda Mia silk

Recent form sound. Most recently raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 8 at Kembla Grange Mdn-Sw on February 24 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Fairway To Heaven with 119lbs at $4.60. The run before that made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 7 at Kembla Grange 4yo+ MDN-Sw on February 17 over 5f, 1.3 len behind Zing To Me with 119lbs at $61. Has her hoof on the till in a winnable race.

2nd Pick
5

Bedda Mia

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Anthony Mountney

J: Non Runner

T: Anthony Mountney

148---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Recent form sound. Most recently raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 8 at Kembla Grange Mdn-Sw on February 24 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Fairway To Heaven with 119lbs at $4.60. The run before that made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 7 at Kembla Grange 4yo+ MDN-Sw on February 17 over 5f, 1.3 len behind Zing To Me with 119lbs at $61. Has her hoof on the till in a winnable race.

10
Red Light Rachel silk

Lining up for just third start. At debut, raced on the pace when 3rd of 12 at Canberra Mdn-Sw on February 6 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Divine Secrets carrying 125lbs at $15. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 9 at Canberra Mdn on February 20 over 6 ½f, 4 len behind Silver Touch with 125lbs at $8.50. Will be hard to beat from

3rd Pick
10

Red Light Rachel

Jockey: Andrew Calder

Trainer: Gary Portelli

J: Andrew Calder

T: Gary Portelli

114---10%

Analysis

Lining up for just third start. At debut, raced on the pace when 3rd of 12 at Canberra Mdn-Sw on February 6 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Divine Secrets carrying 125lbs at $15. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 9 at Canberra Mdn on February 20 over 6 ½f, 4 len behind Silver Touch with 125lbs at $8.50. Will be hard to beat from

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.