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4:10 AM

AU - Nowra - Race 3

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
6f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
19.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ALOTTOSAY (7) has been placed in all three starts and just failed at Sapphire Coast on the heavy last time. Well drawn and good chance to break through. CAMMI (2) has been around the mark with four placings from 11 starts including a solid third at Nowra last time. One of the chances again. ASTERIDE (8) has had a few chances but fitter for two runs back and from the inside is open to improvement. SHOREMAN (1) and SNUBA (5) are big market watches.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Alottosay silk

Racing well. At the latest run 2nd in a small field at Sapphire Coast Ctry Mdn-Sw on April 4 over 5f, on rain affected going, long-neck behind Throw One In with 125lbs at $2.20. Before that 2nd of 10 at this track Ctry Mdn-Sw on February 9 over 5 ½f, slow going 6 len behind Rose Aye carrying 125lbs at $12. Looks well placed to break through.

1st Pick
7

Alottosay

Jockey: Jess Taylor

Trainer: Brian Adams

J: Jess Taylor

T: Brian Adams

195---50%1/1

Analysis

Racing well. At the latest run 2nd in a small field at Sapphire Coast Ctry Mdn-Sw on April 4 over 5f, on rain affected going, long-neck behind Throw One In with 125lbs at $2.20. Before that 2nd of 10 at this track Ctry Mdn-Sw on February 9 over 5 ½f, slow going 6 len behind Rose Aye carrying 125lbs at $12. Looks well placed to break through.

2
Cammi silk

Recent form sound. Comes here off a 56-day let-up. At the latest run raced on the pace when 3rd of 10 at this track Ctry Mdn-Sw on February 23 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Remadosi carrying 126lbs at $13. The race before that 4th in a small field at Goulburn Ctry Mdn-Sw on February 11 over 6 ½f, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Adventure Seeker carrying 126lbs at $7.50. Been around the mark and gets another chance coming back in trip.

2nd Pick
2

Cammi

Jockey: Winona Costin

Trainer: Terry Robinson

J: Winona Costin

T: Terry Robinson

114---10%10/1

Analysis

Recent form sound. Comes here off a 56-day let-up. At the latest run raced on the pace when 3rd of 10 at this track Ctry Mdn-Sw on February 23 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Remadosi carrying 126lbs at $13. The race before that 4th in a small field at Goulburn Ctry Mdn-Sw on February 11 over 6 ½f, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Adventure Seeker carrying 126lbs at $7.50. Been around the mark and gets another chance coming back in trip.

8
Asteride silk

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 6th of 11 at Goulburn Ctry Mdn on March 23 over 5f, 4 len behind Zoutempus with 121lbs at $31. Second run from a spell didn't do much in the run home, 5th of 12 at Gundagai Mdn on April 6 over 5f, 8 len behind Christmas Star with 123lbs at $13. Fitter for two runs back and look for improvement.

3rd Pick
8

Asteride

Jockey: Molly Bourke

Trainer: Sarah Murray-Leslie

J: Molly Bourke

T: Sarah Murray-Leslie

105---12%15/2

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 6th of 11 at Goulburn Ctry Mdn on March 23 over 5f, 4 len behind Zoutempus with 121lbs at $31. Second run from a spell didn't do much in the run home, 5th of 12 at Gundagai Mdn on April 6 over 5f, 8 len behind Christmas Star with 123lbs at $13. Fitter for two runs back and look for improvement.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.