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Resulted

AU - Northam - Race 8

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
6.5f
Class 3
Turf
GOOD 4
21.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

PROPERATA (8) has the right profile after tackling Open grade at Belmont Park at his past two runs, beaten a head by Gaintree before covering ground when fourth to Rocktex. Had a two-month freshen and looked good at the trials recently. Hard to beat. SWIFT TALKER (3) is better than two plain finishing positions suggest, with the latest run at Ascot coming after he raced wide and the 4lbs claim helps him rebound. MIND FIELD (2) has been close enough in stronger NMW1Y and 1 Metro Win company, handles wet ground, and his record at the distance keeps him firmly in the mix despite the wide draw. ARIZONA SKY (5) resumes from a five month break and has trialled well, she can sprint well fresh in this line up.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Properata silk

Returns from a two-month let-up after a fourth to Rocktex in Open grade at Belmont Park, where racing wide throughout told late. He had missed by only a head behind Gaintree in Open company the start prior, and a solid second in a Belmont Park trial suggests he has been kept up to the mark. Strongest winning case.

1st Pick
8

Properata

Jockey: Chris Parnham

Trainer: Daniel & Ben Pearce

J: Chris Parnham

T: Daniel & Ben Pearce

115---46%

Analysis

Returns from a two-month let-up after a fourth to Rocktex in Open grade at Belmont Park, where racing wide throughout told late. He had missed by only a head behind Gaintree in Open company the start prior, and a solid second in a Belmont Park trial suggests he has been kept up to the mark. Strongest winning case.

3
Swift Talker silk

Had excuses when second last to Javelin Strike at Ascot, beaten two and a half lengths after racing wide in mid-week company. The prior Open run at Belmont Park was also plain, but he has won at this track and distance and the 4lbs apprentice claim eases the top-weight impost. Track-and-trip win keeps him right in the winning mix.

2nd Pick
3

Swift Talker

Jockey: Jefferson Tsang

Trainer: Simon A Miller

J: Jefferson Tsang

T: Simon A Miller

108---12%

Analysis

Had excuses when second last to Javelin Strike at Ascot, beaten two and a half lengths after racing wide in mid-week company. The prior Open run at Belmont Park was also plain, but he has won at this track and distance and the 4lbs apprentice claim eases the top-weight impost. Track-and-trip win keeps him right in the winning mix.

2
Mind Field silk

Made late ground after beginning slowly when fifth to My Jimmy in NMW1Y grade at Ascot, beaten two and a half lengths in Saturday company. He had been only a length and a half from Marcos at Belmont Park two back and now finds an easier meeting. Wide barrier is the niggle, but clearly good enough.

3rd Pick
2

Mind Field

Jockey: Brad Parnham

Trainer: Ryan Hill

J: Brad Parnham

T: Ryan Hill

125---15%

Analysis

Made late ground after beginning slowly when fifth to My Jimmy in NMW1Y grade at Ascot, beaten two and a half lengths in Saturday company. He had been only a length and a half from Marcos at Belmont Park two back and now finds an easier meeting. Wide barrier is the niggle, but clearly good enough.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.