AU - Northam - Race 7

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

10.9f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

19.7K

VIEW

Verdict

SWEET SURRENDER (10) flew home from the back of the pack to win by 0.7L at Pinjarra last start over 1 ?m. She's a lightly-raced filly with a stack of upside and she looks well suited to the rise in trip. Drawn better this time and she can bring up back-to-back victories. BAY STREET (11) is knocking on the door following a 0.9L defeat at Pinjarra most recently. The wide draw is a niggle, though Chris Parnham hops in the saddle now and if there's some speed up front, he's sure to be flying home late in the race. GRAND RESERVE (1) comes through the same race as Bay Street and narrowly beat him home last start when sitting up on the speed. He should be prominent in the run yet again and he'll be hard to gun down the claim of ZJP. ELEGANT INDI (9) didn't get a crack at it last start and with a clearer passage this time she can get back to winning ways. DARK LOOKS (6) just missed last start and can go one better this time around despite the wide alley.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	Third-up today. First-up 4th of 10 at Bunbury Mdn on June 5 over 7f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Cheeto with 123lbs at $2.25. Second run from a spell favourite, came home strongly from last on the turn and won by 0.7 len at Pinjarra Scarpside Mdn June 19 over 1m in soft going defeating Pretey Royal with 123lbs at $2.25. Profiles nicely. Up in trip looks to suit and she can go back-to-back. 1st Pick 10 Sweet Surrender Jockey: Clint Johnston-Porter Trainer: Michael Grantham J: Clint Johnston-Porter T: Michael Grantham	153	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 4th of 10 at Bunbury Mdn on June 5 over 7f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Cheeto with 123lbs at $2.25. Second run from a spell favourite, came home strongly from last on the turn and won by 0.7 len at Pinjarra Scarpside Mdn June 19 over 1m in soft going defeating Pretey Royal with 123lbs at $2.25. Profiles nicely. Up in trip looks to suit and she can go back-to-back.
11	Form hard to fault. Last start 4th of 12 at Pinjarra Scarpside Rtg 54+ on June 19 over 1m, on a slow track, 0.9 len behind Starwalker with 122lbs at $5. The run before that ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 9 at Bunbury Cl5 on June 5 over 1 m, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Angel's My Name carrying 126lbs at $5. Went close last time. Racing in good order and won't be far away. 2nd Pick 11 Bay Street Jockey: Chris Parnham Trainer: Michael Grantham J: Chris Parnham T: Michael Grantham	142	-	-	-	11%	17/2
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start 4th of 12 at Pinjarra Scarpside Rtg 54+ on June 19 over 1m, on a slow track, 0.9 len behind Starwalker with 122lbs at $5. The run before that ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 9 at Bunbury Cl5 on June 5 over 1 m, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Angel's My Name carrying 126lbs at $5. Went close last time. Racing in good order and won't be far away.
1	At the latest run held ground to the line 3rd of 12 at Pinjarra Scarpside Rtg 54+ on June 19 over 1m, on a slow track, 0.7 len behind Starwalker carrying 129lbs at $5.50. The start before that did the work up front then tired 7th of 11 at Pinjarra Scarpside Grad Hcp 60+ on May 31 over 1m, slow going 4 len behind Dennis Choux with 131lbs at $5. Big chance with a repeat of the latest effort. 3rd Pick 1 Grand Reserve Jockey: Zephen Johnston-Porter Trainer: Daniel Morton J: Zephen Johnston-Porter T: Daniel Morton	172	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis At the latest run held ground to the line 3rd of 12 at Pinjarra Scarpside Rtg 54+ on June 19 over 1m, on a slow track, 0.7 len behind Starwalker carrying 129lbs at $5.50. The start before that did the work up front then tired 7th of 11 at Pinjarra Scarpside Grad Hcp 60+ on May 31 over 1m, slow going 4 len behind Dennis Choux with 131lbs at $5. Big chance with a repeat of the latest effort.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.