AU - Northam - Race 6

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Class 3

Turf

GOOD 4

20.8K

VIEW

Verdict

RORY'S REVENGE (4) is the one to beat after breaking through at this venue as favourite, storming home from well back to score by a nose. Going straight into a CL3 is the obvious test, but his record at this track and distance, the William Pike booking and recent improvement make him the runner with the most upside. VANCOUVER STORM (10) has the strongest recent benchmark, having run second to Grandad's Adiction in a NMW1Y at Belmont after being slow to begin. That was a strong return to form and this looks to shape similarly with Faithfull still on board. He's a track and trip winner previously and can go one better this time. BOUSSAC (5) comes through the same Belmont Park race, beaten just under a length after jumping awkwardly. He's building nicely and can't be left out of calculations. ACTA NON VERBA (2) worked home well for third most recently is suited getting back to 1m. Can go on with it. LA EXCELLENCE (6) won't be far away.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Broke through at this venue last start, winning a 3yo+ Maiden by a nose as favourite after launching from well back. That followed a solid fourth here when unwanted in betting, so his form is heading the right way. Ran over the top to score last start and he looks set to go on with the job. 1st Pick 4 Rory's Revenge Jockey: William Pike Trainer: Summer Dickson J: William Pike T: Summer Dickson	146	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Broke through at this venue last start, winning a 3yo+ Maiden by a nose as favourite after launching from well back. That followed a solid fourth here when unwanted in betting, so his form is heading the right way. Ran over the top to score last start and he looks set to go on with the job.
10	Ran second in a 3yo+ NMW1Y at Belmont Park, beaten just over half a length by Grandad's Adiction after being slow to begin. That followed a seventh at this venue on soft ground where he again missed the start, raced wide and was not beaten far. Just missed last time out but gets plenty inf his favour to go one better this time. 2nd Pick 10 Vancouver Storm Jockey: Natasha Faithfull Trainer: Donna Riordan J: Natasha Faithfull T: Donna Riordan	127	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Ran second in a 3yo+ NMW1Y at Belmont Park, beaten just over half a length by Grandad's Adiction after being slow to begin. That followed a seventh at this venue on soft ground where he again missed the start, raced wide and was not beaten far. Just missed last time out but gets plenty inf his favour to go one better this time.
5	Went close in a 3yo+ NMW1Y at Belmont Park, finishing third to Grandad's Adiction and beaten just under a length after jumping awkwardly and covering ground. He was also held up when closing off over 7f the run prior, so there is substance to the improvement. Improving with every run this time in and a forward showing is on the cards. 3rd Pick 5 Boussac Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Meryl Hayley J: Non Runner T: Meryl Hayley	106	-	-	-	19%	Scratched
Analysis Went close in a 3yo+ NMW1Y at Belmont Park, finishing third to Grandad's Adiction and beaten just under a length after jumping awkwardly and covering ground. He was also held up when closing off over 7f the run prior, so there is substance to the improvement. Improving with every run this time in and a forward showing is on the cards.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.