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7:35 AM

AU - Northam - Race 4

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
7f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 5
16.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

HOYA DESTROYER (2) is knocking on the door of his maiden victory, finishing 1.5L off the winner when settling a long way back. He should be able to settle much closer this time around from a better gate and his recent ratings stack right up in this field. Can shed the maiden tag. VEXATIOUS ROSE (8) flew home from the back as a 20-1 chance at Belmont last time out, finishing 3.1L off the winner. Can land in a better spot today from a favourable barrier and she looks to have good ability. Can improve now third-up and make her presence felt. RIBELLATO (1) gets the visors on today following a 4.9L defeat at this track last time out. Been freshened since that effort and if he can find the front, he'll be hard to mow down. INVINCIBLE THIEF (6) will be fitter for a couple of trials coming in and this looks a nice spot for her first-up. DELICATE WARRIOR (3) disappointed in his only run last campaign and can bounce back.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Hoya Destroyer silk

Form hard to fault. At the latest run settled towards the rear 2nd of 14 at Belmont Park Mdn on September 24 over 7f, 1.5 len behind Linchpin carrying 128lbs at $11. The start before that 2nd of 7 at Belmont Park Cl1 C&G on September 10 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.9 len behind Maxwhooshtapin with 130lbs at $2. Right on the cusp and gets his chance today.

1st Pick
2

Hoya Destroyer

Jockey: Steven Parnham

Trainer: Stefan Vahala

J: Steven Parnham

T: Stefan Vahala

186---37%7/4

Analysis

Form hard to fault. At the latest run settled towards the rear 2nd of 14 at Belmont Park Mdn on September 24 over 7f, 1.5 len behind Linchpin carrying 128lbs at $11. The start before that 2nd of 7 at Belmont Park Cl1 C&G on September 10 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.9 len behind Maxwhooshtapin with 130lbs at $2. Right on the cusp and gets his chance today.

8
Vexatious Rose silk

Having third race start. At big odds at debut, 3rd of 12 at this track Mdn on September 14 over 6 ½f, slow going 0.9 len behind Manjeri with 123lbs at $41. Second-up 3rd of 14 at Belmont Park Mdn on September 24 over 7f, 3 len behind Linchpin with 123lbs at $21. Brings the right form to the table. Has plenty of upside and can land the knockout blow this time.

2nd Pick
8

Vexatious Rose

Jockey: Jason Whiting

Trainer: Jeremy Easthope

J: Jason Whiting

T: Jeremy Easthope

108---23%7/2

Analysis

Having third race start. At big odds at debut, 3rd of 12 at this track Mdn on September 14 over 6 ½f, slow going 0.9 len behind Manjeri with 123lbs at $41. Second-up 3rd of 14 at Belmont Park Mdn on September 24 over 7f, 3 len behind Linchpin with 123lbs at $21. Brings the right form to the table. Has plenty of upside and can land the knockout blow this time.

1
Ribellato silk

Racing well recently. Comes off a 34 day let-up. Last start raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 8 at this track Mdn on September 4 over 1m, slow going 5 len behind Bondi Star carrying 121lbs at $8.50. The race before that set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 7 at Bunbury All Weather Mdn on August 21 over 1m, 6 len behind Bella Violetta with 121lbs at $2.50. Had plenty of chances but he's hard to knock on recent form.

3rd Pick
1

Ribellato

Jockey: Laqdar Ramoly

Trainer: Simon Barrass

J: Laqdar Ramoly

T: Simon Barrass

73---10%9/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. Comes off a 34 day let-up. Last start raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 8 at this track Mdn on September 4 over 1m, slow going 5 len behind Bondi Star carrying 121lbs at $8.50. The race before that set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 7 at Bunbury All Weather Mdn on August 21 over 1m, 6 len behind Bella Violetta with 121lbs at $2.50. Had plenty of chances but he's hard to knock on recent form.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.