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6:19 AM

AU - Northam - Race 2

Thoroughbred
15 Runners
6.5f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 5
16.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

FILA MIA (8) stuck on gamely when sitting on the pace first-up, finishing 1.5L. She went to a new level when out in trip as a 2Y), going under narrowly in the Sires. Looks well placed off the first-up run and if she can improve as anticipated, she'll be very hard to beat. MALAGARASI (5) is a son of Smart Missile on debut for Team Williams. He's shown enough at the trials coming in to suggest he's got some ability, and the 6 ½f trip looks ideal on debut. Can make an immediate impact. SPELLBORN (7) is another debutant, this time out of the Vahala camp where he ran behind a subsequent debut winner at his latest trial. He maps to get his chance from the draw and if he can run up to his trial performance, he'll be in the finish. DIAMOND WARRIOR (1) is some query off his latest trial, but his form last campaign makes for good reading. Worth including. OLAF THE SNOWMAN (3) was solid first-up from a mile back and is not to be discounted.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Fila Mia silk

Second-up. First-up after five months tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 9 at Belmont Park 3yo Mdn on September 24 over 5f, 1.5 len behind Long Service Leaf with 121lbs at $6.50. Previously second-up 4th of 12 at Ascot 2yo Swp on May 3 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Capitola carrying 119lbs at $4.60. Up in trip looks a key today and she can land the knockout blow.

1st Pick
8

Fila Mia

Jockey: Holly Watson

Trainer: Jayce Buckley

J: Holly Watson

T: Jayce Buckley

118---31%9/4

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after five months tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 9 at Belmont Park 3yo Mdn on September 24 over 5f, 1.5 len behind Long Service Leaf with 121lbs at $6.50. Previously second-up 4th of 12 at Ascot 2yo Swp on May 3 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Capitola carrying 119lbs at $4.60. Up in trip looks a key today and she can land the knockout blow.

5
Malagarasi silk

Gelding by Smart Missile facing the starter for the first time. Finished fourth in a Lark Hill trial over 4 ¾f on September 22. Has shown enough at the trials to suggest he can run well on debut.

2nd Pick
5

Malagarasi

Jockey: Lucy Fiore

Trainer: Grant & Alana Williams

J: Lucy Fiore

T: Grant & Alana Williams

109---10%10/1

Analysis

Gelding by Smart Missile facing the starter for the first time. Finished fourth in a Lark Hill trial over 4 ¾f on September 22. Has shown enough at the trials to suggest he can run well on debut.

7
Spellborn silk

Three-year-old gelding (Peltzer - Tituba) who was bought for AUD $ 30,000 (Inglis 2024 Premier Yearling Sale). He has three recent trials prior to his debut today. Runner-up in a Belmont Park trial over 5f on September 15. Trialled around a handy one recently and can feature.

3rd Pick
7

Spellborn

Jockey: Damien Boutet

Trainer: Stefan Vahala

J: Damien Boutet

T: Stefan Vahala

38---10%10/1

Analysis

Three-year-old gelding (Peltzer - Tituba) who was bought for AUD $ 30,000 (Inglis 2024 Premier Yearling Sale). He has three recent trials prior to his debut today. Runner-up in a Belmont Park trial over 5f on September 15. Trialled around a handy one recently and can feature.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.